# 0x7a46

## Recent Posts

- [The Delegation Problem: How AI Agents Trade Without Holding Your Private Key](https://paragraph.com/@0x7a46ed1543d7218c9322d9d6ee8b72ea60ae025e/the-delegation-problem-how-ai-agents-trade-without-holding-your-private-key): On-chain spend limits, EIP-712 signed intents, and why session keys are more honest than API rate limits.
- [Measuring LLM Calibration With Real Money: Why Prediction Markets Beat Benchmarks](https://paragraph.com/@0x7a46ed1543d7218c9322d9d6ee8b72ea60ae025e/measuring-llm-calibration-with-real-money-why-prediction-markets-beat-benchmarks): A model that says "90% yes" and is right 90% of the time is well-calibrated. A model that says "90% yes" and is right 55% of the time has a calibration problem. Most benchmarks don't catch the difference.
- [The Two-Product Split: Why Prediction Markets Are Becoming Two Different Businesses](https://paragraph.com/@0x7a46ed1543d7218c9322d9d6ee8b72ea60ae025e/the-two-product-split-why-prediction-markets-are-becoming-two-different-businesses): Subtitle: Kalshi runs sports at $2B a week. Polymarket rebuilds its exchange for financial signals. The category is splitting in real time.
- [Cold Start Liquidity on Prediction Markets: Why LMSR Beats Empty Orderbooks](https://paragraph.com/@0x7a46ed1543d7218c9322d9d6ee8b72ea60ae025e/cold-start-liquidity-on-prediction-markets-why-lmsr-beats-empty-orderbooks)

## Blog Information

- [Homepage](https://paragraph.com/@0x7a46ed1543d7218c9322d9d6ee8b72ea60ae025e/): Main blog page
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