# Mystery Boxes Solved

By [ blablaventures](https://paragraph.com/@blablainvest) · 2023-01-28

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### \*\*PRELUDE\*\*

_Hi! My name is Sasha, discord name_ **_blabla.invest#9660._**

_We are building CIS Community and maintain the organization's page on link3 -_ [_FOLLOW US_](https://link3.to/blablaventures)_._

`This article is based on simple mathematical formulas and, of course, there may be inaccuracies in it due to insufficient information.`

_But I wrote it anyway, because it is important for me to understand the issue and argue my purchases._

                                                                       **LINK3 MYSTERY**
    

#Link3 is meta project, which is part of the #cyberconnect ecosystem, where organizations and projects can interact with their audience - hold conferences, award badges (web3 Status tokens) and hold raffles to AMAs participants.

![Page with events. You can add them to your calendar, participate in them ang get your W3ST](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/1ad1d1e52574e79622980cd288f46752b4c578e33b464b9b700f38b2ef2a3cde.png)

Page with events. You can add them to your calendar, participate in them ang get your W3ST

Of course, the team also takes into account the interests of the crypto public, and has created 10,000 mystery boxes that are distributed extremely selectively and very metered. **This is a big plus!**

![Very selective drops and more then half still on team hand to motivate participants and newcomers to be active](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/c8de4e883a331bc4153a931b6c30b59a80476e7cbac793295e0eab06e04d9800.png)

Very selective drops and more then half still on team hand to motivate participants and newcomers to be active

The mystery of the boxes has recently become a reality, and now we know that each box contains a shard with the so-called t-value and a frame for the avatar:

![The key to solve mystery of mystery boxes is T-Value](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/8222be4b2b516170555be0c77f0a9d400f751bad6a02e802d204b7fd1f08ef41.png)

The key to solve mystery of mystery boxes is T-Value

                                                                                  **T-VALUE**
    

**Let's put the avatar frame aside, after all, it's more of a decorative bonus and let's talk about shards.**

The authors of the project said that mystery boxes are the most prestigious award in the cyberconnect ecosystem and I would like to think that this very t-value will apply to all products of the ecosystem.

`I conclude that t-value is a derivative of future benefits, rewards, perhaps even project tokens`

There is three type of Shards - **Silver, Gold and Obsidian.**

Each shard have:

1.  Different chance to drop
    
2.  Different T-Value Range
    
3.  Different T-Value
    

Silver - 50% chance to drop (T-Value Range 80-120)

**\*51% have this trait according to opensea metadata**

Gold - 35% chance to drop (T-Value Range 120-150)

**\*34% have this trait according to opensea metadata**

Obsidian - 15% chance to drop (T-Value Range 150-200)

**\*15% have this trait according to opensea metadata**

There is already second market fo both [Mystery Boxes](https://opensea.io/collection/link3-mystery-box) and [SHARDS](https://opensea.io/collection/the-shards).

`I noticed that sellers primarily come from the "color" of the shard, but not from its t-value!`

![You can see T-VALUE of SHARD in PROPERTIES](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/13ddb8207d9538041b1dd72e88abc600c321a3f3976ccf200741945c99236db1.png)

You can see T-VALUE of SHARD in PROPERTIES

**_Lets begin mathemagic!_**

                                                                                        **RAID**
    

So we have introductory, now let's imagine that we want to own 1% of the cyberconnect ecosystem.

We have - **10 000 MYSTERY BOX**, that means there would be **10 000 SHARDS**

*   5 100 SILVER
    
*   3 400 GOLD
    
*   1 500 OBSIDIAN
    

Average T-VALUE

*   Silver (80+120)/2 = 100
    
*   Gold (120+150)/2 =135
    
*   Obsidian (200 + 150)/2 =175
    

We can imagine that the total T-value of the project is:

_5100\*100 + 3400\*135 + 1500\*175_ = **1 231 500 T-VALUE.**

![Im genius, yes.](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/12164fe2cb36a6990183d16ad5a7d64e592e294e7b9d6e784d499a879bd6a5a1.png)

Im genius, yes.

**So, let's get back to our plan. Capture 1% of this greatest project!**

1% of cyberconnect ~ 12315 T-Value

Ok! We first, we wanna try our luck and buy Boxes instead of revealed Shards.

**Mystery Box SCENARIO**

_(based on average t-value)_

Floor price - 0.15 ETH

Byung 100 MB cost ~15 ETH.

We remember chances and let's pretend that our 100 boxes fit perfectly into the statistics - 51 Silver, 34 Gold, 15 Obsidian.

51 \*_100 + 34_ \* 135 + 15 \* 175 = 5100 + 4590 +2625 = **12 315** !

`Great, 1% is ours!`

**SHARDS SCENARIO**

_(based on average t-value)_

**124 SILVER** (floor 0.1ETH) = **12,4 ETH**

**91 GOLD** (floor 0.19) = **17,29 ETH**

**70 OBSIDIAN** (floor 0,38) = **26,6 ETH**

`*floor prices is actual by 20 jan 2023, but you also can see the logic in price difference between shards at any time:`

*   1 gold = 2 silver
    
*   1 odbisian = ~4 silver = ~2 gold
    

**Here we can see SOLVED MYSTERY! =** `SILVER SHARDS IS THE KEY.`

\*I'm already seeing opensea selling where higher t-value shards are cheaper than lower t-value shards

**I hope this article will help both sellers and buyers to reasonably form prices for shards, and also allow all interested parties to build the right strategy for participating in the future value of cyberconnect.**

![Love you guys!](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/3a7bec8cd1e82f53e167e08faca8ca9d787ab6089b7c8f8dd074ee648bf57de7.png)

Love you guys!

[https://cyberconnect.hashnode.dev/](https://cyberconnect.hashnode.dev/)

[

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*Originally published on [ blablaventures](https://paragraph.com/@blablainvest/mystery-boxes-solved)*
