# How to evaluate fundamentals of a project？

By [cryptoxx](https://paragraph.com/@cryptoxx) · 2022-03-13

---

### Purpose:

Objectively evaluate the intrinsic value of assets, outperform the market on long time scales, and build long-term confidence (against short-term volatility)

### Classification of Fundamental Analysis:

*   Project Analysis
    
*   Economic Analysis
    
*   On-chain Analysis
    

### 1\. Project Analysis

*   Generally start with a project analysis
    
*   Read the white paper over and over again, a good white paper will make you want to go deeper into the project:
    
    *   The problem to be solved
        
    *   The technical solution
        
    *   Scenarios for token use
        
    *   Tokenomics
        
    *   Team background:
        
        *   Dig into academic citations & LinkedIn work experience
            
        *   You can see if the team is in it for a long-term vision or to make a quick buck
            
        *   If it's an anonymous team:
            
            *   Online presence
                
            *   dev's github activity
                
            *   Willingness to answer DMs
                
    *   Look closely at the roadmap:
        
        *   Is it the right time to invest?
            
            *   If it's not a product that's coming out in two years, don't rush into it yet
                
        *   Keep up with it as an assessment of ability to deliver
            
            *   Then how well the project progress is disclosed is important
                
*   Competitor Analysis:
    
    *   Who was the first to do this? How much MC?
        
    *   What are the advantages of this project over competing products?
        
    *   Has this product been successful in engaging users?
        
    *   Why would a user choose this product over his competitor?
        
*   Social Media Analysis:
    
    *   Do they have a media operation? Are there events being held? Is the strategy & content on point?
        
    *   Do they have a strong community? Are they happy to help with marketing?
        
    *   Is there a lot of online buzz (other than bots)?
        
    *   What is the quality of other people in the project's discord and telegram?
        
        *   Is there a deep discussion or are they just asking "wen WL"?
            
    *   Is there a good community meme?
        
        *   Memes show that the project's community is passionate and committed, and help it go viral
            
    *   Has a good tweeter written a project analysis of the project? Your own analysis may be lacking, so it helps to read others'.
        
*   UI/UX:
    
    *   If you need to google "how to use XXX" it means the product interface is not intuitive
        

### 2\. Economic Analysis

*   MC and FDV
    
    *   FDV
        
        *   FDV is often not a meme
            
            *   Especially if there is no product, no users
                
        *   The shib & solana ecology is a lesson
            
    *   MC
        
        *   MC also depends on liquidity, otherwise it is misleading
            
            *   Poorly liquid assets can easily be crushed by large investors when they cash out
                
            *   On DEX you can try entering large amounts and look at the slippage to get a feel for liquidity
                
*   Tokenomics
    
    *   Prices are influenced by supply and demand.
        
    *   Is token really necessary? What is its use in this?
        
    *   Token distribution, unlocking events, release speed
        
        *   May be different from the original white paper
            
        *   If you can't find it, it's probably not a good project
            
        *   New tokens entering circulation need to be able to be absorbed by the market, otherwise they will cause heavy selling pressure
            
    *   For live products, use [@tokenterminal](https://twitter.com/tokenterminal) to look at 1) protocol revenue 2) P/E and P/S of protocols and dApps
        
        *   If the revenue is promising, the protocol is growing well and the P/S is low, it is a good long-term value investment
            

### 3\. On-chain Analysis

*   Using [@glassnode](https://twitter.com/glassnode), [@nansen\_ai](https://twitter.com/nansen_ai) and [@DuneAnalytics](https://twitter.com/) DuneAnalytics)
    
*   Some metrics
    
    *   Number of addresses & active addresses
        
    *   Number of large addresses
        
    *   Number of long-term holders vs. number of short-term holders
        
    *   Exchange balances
        
        *   For example, if a large percentage is transferred to an exchange, it is likely to indicate that someone is trying to sell
            
    *   Wallet addresses worth watching
        
    *   ...

---

*Originally published on [cryptoxx](https://paragraph.com/@cryptoxx/how-to-evaluate-fundamentals-of-a-project-2)*
