# Crypto Bull Run Over?: Portfolio Moves for $DADSDEFISPACE

**Published by:** [Dadsdefispace.base.eth](https://paragraph.com/@daddefispace/)
**Published on:** 2025-12-15
**URL:** https://paragraph.com/@daddefispace/crypto-bull-run-over-portfolio-moves-for-dollardadsdefispace

## Content

The crypto bull run that many expected to continue into the end of 2025 has lost momentum. Several factors contributed to this shift, signaling a change from rapid growth to a more cautious market phase. We never subscribed to the "supercycle theory." For now, I'm better off farming and creating over on Base (be sure to follow us, links below), Tao Subnet staking, and consolidating plays into a core portfolio. The bull run could be ending right this moment, or are we just forming a base around the 100-week moving average? Key Momentum Indicators Showing Weakness Momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) have shown declining strength. The RSI has dropped below key thresholds, indicating selling pressure. MACD lines have crossed bearish, confirming downward momentum. These signals suggest that buyers are stepping back, and sellers are gaining control. Weekly MA Structure and Trend Confirmation Weekly moving averages (MAs) provide a clearer picture of trend direction. The 50-week MA has crossed below the 100-week MA, a classic sign of a weakening trend. The 200-week MA, often a long-term support, is being tested. If prices fail to hold above this level, it could confirm a sustained bear phase. Macro Environment: From Euphoria to Capital Preservation The broader economic environment has shifted from risk-taking to risk management. This change affects crypto markets, especially DeFi, where liquidity and investor confidence are vital. Liquidity Drain and Volume Imbalance Liquidity in crypto markets has decreased as investors withdraw funds to safeguard capital. Trading volumes have dropped, leading to less price stability and higher volatility. This imbalance makes it harder for large trades to execute without impacting prices significantly. Risk-Off Behavior Across Majors and Altcoins Investors are favoring safer assets, moving away from speculative altcoins and even some major cryptocurrencies. This risk-off sentiment means capital flows are shrinking in DeFi projects, which rely on active participation and liquidity. BTC Technical Breakdown and Strategic ReadBitcoin remains the market bellwether. Its technical condition often sets the tone for the entire crypto space. Weekly Chart Structure at the 50W, 100W, and 200W Bitcoin’s price action around the 50-week, 100-week, and 200-week moving es is critical. Currently, BTC is hovering near the 200-week MA, a historically strong support zone. A break below this could trigger further declines, while a bounce might signal a base for recovery. Support and Resistance Levels to Watch Key support levels lie around $78,000 to $79,000. Resistance is seen near $94,000 to $95,000. These zones will determine BTC’s short-term direction and influence DeFi market sentiment. Portfolio Moves for Dads in the DeFi Space For dads managing family responsibilities and crypto portfolios, balancing risk and opportunity is essential. The current market demands thoughtful adjustments. Rebalancing for Stability and Growth Rebalancing involves shifting assets from high-risk tokens to more stable ones. Consider increasing holdings in blue-chip DeFi projects with strong fundamentals and proven track records. This approach reduces exposure to volatile tokens while maintaining growth potential. Diversifying Across DeFi Protocols and Assets Diversification helps spread risk. Allocate funds across lending platforms, decentralized exchanges, and yield aggregators. Avoid concentrating too much in any single protocol, especially newer or unproven projects. Managing Risk with Defensive Positions Defensive positions include stablecoins and staking in reputable protocols. Stablecoins provide liquidity and reduce volatility. Staking locks assets to earn rewards, offering steady income even in sideways markets. I'm choosing Pendle and Contango as my main protocols, but I am always open to new yield plays. Create on Base I found the Base blockchain to be the path of least resistance to grow as a creator, analyst, and trader. This is the way to farm the Base airdrop, from the mouth of the creator of Base, Jesse Pollack. By being active on the Base network and providing liquidity on Aerodrome and considering supply stables on Avantis, Base is the interesting ecosystem play. The SocialFi growth with the Base app integration will help to monetize content for creators and the community. I have seen this flywheel effect he speaks of on Zora with my own $DADSDEFISPACE Creator Token. 🪙DADSSPACE Creator Coin → https://zora.co/dadsdefispace 🪙Create your Own Creator Coin on Zora → https://zora.co/idadsdefi 💎Find me over on Base App: https://base.app/profile/dadsdefispace echnicalesis 🟠 BTCUSD Weekly2x weekly closes below 50W & 100W MAs → bearish continuation risk.Price hugging the 200W M3.2K) — historic bounce zone.Thesis: Watch for a corrective bounce off 200W before continuation vs. reversal is decided. DailyStoch RSI buried (~1.95) → bounce fuel exists.50/100/200D death cross = bearish regime.Red days on higher volume. Actionables (NFA)Look for longs off 100W with tight invalidation. "This is called knife catching for a reason."Until the reclaim, short alts into rebound pumps.Bullish shift only if ~$87.8K is reclaimed/held. Key BTC LevelsSupport: $83.2K (200W)Flip/Bias: $87.8K reclaimResistance sweep: $112–115KInvalidation: Weekly close < $98K ends the bull thesis 🟣 ETHUSD Strong own candle; lost 100W (~$3,059); hovering ~$2,686. Supports to watch$2,503 • $2,201 • $2,050. Bias: Bearish unless $3eclaimed. Idea: Base at $2.2K could become a long-term DCA zone. 🧬 AEROUSD (Daily) ower lowt $0.75; death cross active.Plan: No adds unless $0.75 is reclaimed; potential short on retest/reject; currently coiling n.63 with weak demand.Honestly, I'm fine farming AERO. (Considering purchasing some VEAERO on the open market.) 🧪 ZORA/USDC (Daily) Bds → a m developing.Range: $0.047–$0.057; slight accumulation signs.Plan: Early Base ecosystem bid—small accumulation; increasange breakout + hold. (Buying Zora and/or Creator tokens at .045-.05 - and selling after it hits .053 (This strategy is working well.)No bullish continuation until $0.0525 is reclaimed as support, and this one is extremely volatile anyway.Hard to trade, but lucrative if managed properly. 💼 Portfolio Update — Rotations & Rationale Adds / Active$JESSE (Base Zora coin; creator-narrative aligned)Farming the Base airdropSmall adds to BTC / ETH / AERO (sized down; risk-managed) RotationsSold Virtuals to pay down loan (Still farming VIRTUALS / USDC on Krystal Vault)Considering exit AVAX (relative underperformance)SUI → 50% WBTC (defensive rotation)RENDER + JUP → SOL (consolidation to a core) “Only adding Base ecosystem names. No more scattershot, minus a few high conviction plays ($TAO).” YieldNew SOL/USDC LP on Orca (stable fees > hero trades)Pendle research underway (fixed yield/LRT parking) ⚔ Tactical Game Plan (Q4 2025) Short-TermFade alt bounces at resistance; avoid chasing weakness.Consolidate into high conviction alts (ETH, SOL, ZORA, AERO, TAO, SUI?).Stay light; intraday momentum breaks quickly.Create on Base; video content on ZORA; move writing to WEB3 also (Paragrah.xyz).Farm Aerodrome. Mid-TermAlts = Base exposure only.Consolidate to BTC • ETH • SOL as core holdings.Build even more into stables (dry powder) positions.Look to short alt on pumps. YieldBuild a Pendle tracker (top APRs, LRTs, expiries).Prep to sell certain positions during the next relief rally.Keep an eye on any other "out of the ordinary" of the current cycle theory.Selective LPing: high APR with manageable impermanent loss. 🔗 Resources & CTAs📢 Free Telegram → https://t.me/DADSDefiSpace | 🎓 Free DeFi Course → https://www.dadsdefispace.org/challenge |🐦 X → https://x.com/cryptozone1013 🪙DADS DEFI SPACE Creator Coin → https://zora.co/dadsdefispace 🪙Create your Own Creator Coin on ZORA → https://zora.co/invite/dadsdefispace 💎Find me over on Base App: https://base.app/profile/dadsdefispaceFollow on Farcaster🪙farcaster.xyz/thecaptain1013 Not financial advice. Manage risk; define invalidation; touch grass. Opportunities in the Current MarketDespite the downturn, opportunities exist for those who know where to look. Identifying Undervalued DeFi ProjectsMarket corrections often reveal undervalued projects with solid technology and teams. Research protocols with strong user bases, innovative features, and transparent governance. These projects may offer significant upside as the market recovers.Yield Farming and Staking StrategiesYield farming and staking remain viable ways to generate passive income. Focus on protocols with sustainable reward models and low risk of impermanent loss. Combining yield strategies with defensive asset allocation can enhance returns while managing risk. TAO Subnet Staking As we are still bullish on AI, this is an altcoin play I plan on farming for the next little bit. I plan to focus on strong real use cases, but we will have to just wait and see how this plays out. BASE META: CREATE ON BASE Remember, we are still actively creating, building, and farming this Base airdrop. Follow us on YouTube, X, and Base App to keep up to date. Check us out on ZORA /1. Is the crypto bull run officially over? Not necessarily forever — but the current structure shows the bull phase is over. When BTC and ETH lose major weekly moving averages and alts lead the downside, it signals a regime change. That’s why the Crypto Bull Run Over - Portfolio Moves Dads DeFi Space Market Update matters: it marks the transition from expansion to defense. Future bullish cycles will return, but right now, structure rules. 2. What’s the biggest warning sign that momentum broke? The clearest sign is multiple weekly closes below the 50W and 100W MAs, combined with sell volume dominance. When rallies become shallow and sellers control every bounce, the market enters correction mode. 3. Should long-term investors panic during this breakdown? No. Long-term investors historically perform best when they continue accumulating at structurally strong levels and avoid emotional decisions. BTC at the 200W MA and ETH near $2.2K are areas that have attracted long-term accumulation in previous cycles. 4. Why rotate from alts into majors like BTC, ETH, or SOL? Alts bleed far harder than majors during downturns. Rotating into BTC, ETH, or SOL reduces volatility, preserves capital, and provides easier exit/liquidity opportunities. This is why the Crypto Bull Run Over - Portfolio Moves Dads DeFi Space Market Update recommends defensive moves first, narrative plays second. 5. What role does the Base ecosystem play right now? Base is one of the few ecosystems showing organic growth, creator adoption, and strong community narrative momentum. While the broader market corrects, early-stage Base tokens (JESSE, ZORA, creator coins) offer asymmetric upside for the next cycle without overexposure. 6. How important is yield farming in a downturn? Yield becomes a stabilizer. When price action is choppy and directionless, generating passive returns through LPs or Pendle expiries helps reduce emotional trading. The key is staying selective, watching impermanent loss, and avoiding overexposure. For more yield research, sites like DefiLlama offer reliable analytics: https://defillama.com/ Conclusion: Staying Alive During a Regime Reset The Crypto Bull Run Over - Portfolio Moves Dads DeFi Space Market Update isn’t a fear headline — it’s a reality check. The bullish momentum that pushed prices higher for months has broken. Weekly structures flipped, altcoins lost relative strength, and liquidity shifted toward safety. But none of this is the end of the crypto story. In fact, it’s often during these quiet, corrective periods that the best long-term opportunities are found. Here’s the distilled truth: Defense buys survival. Narratives buy future upside. Yield buys peace of mind. Structure buys clarity. You’ve already made smart moves: reducing noise exposure, strengthening core positions, entering yield strategies, and focusing on ecosystems with real traction like Base. The next bull cycle will favor those who stay patient, disciplined, and structured. The market will turn again. Cycles repeat. Narratives rise. Being here to see it is the single greatest edge. Stay sharp. Stay solvent. Stay early. PEACE

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