# Relief Isn’t Resolution: Reading the Range

*Patience in a Relief Rally.  Could we touch the range lows again? Next Steps for DAD*

By [Dadsdefispace.base.eth](https://paragraph.com/@daddefispace) · 2026-01-11

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Relief Bounce or Liquidity Trap?
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Markets don’t usually turn cleanly.  
They hesitate. They fake. They test both sides.

Today feels like a **relief bounce**, not a resolution.

Bitcoin pushed back toward the 91K area after holding key support, helped along by softer macro data and a few structural headlines. That move matters — but what matters more is what _hasn’t_ changed.

The underlying tension is still there:

**Retail optimism vs institutional selling.**

And until that resolves, I’m treating this market with patience, not conviction.

* * *

Context Over Headlines
----------------------

It’s easy to get pulled into the daily narrative loop. A jobs print. An index decision. A rumor about inclusion or exclusion. All of it sounds important in the moment.

But markets don’t move on headlines alone.  
They move on **liquidity, positioning, and structure**.

Right now, structure still looks like a range.

Relief bounces can happen inside ranges. So can sharp sell-offs. Neither one automatically confirms direction.

That’s why I’m more focused on _where_ price reacts than _why_ it moved.

* * *

The Levels That Matter (To Me)
------------------------------

From here, Bitcoin likely does one of two things:

*   **Revisits the lows in the 86K region**, where liquidity has already been tested, or
    
*   **Finds acceptance above the yearly open around 93.5–94K**, which would change the conversation
    

Until one of those happens with follow-through, I’m not in a rush.

No FOMO.  
No forced trades.

Just observation.

* * *

How I’m Positioning
-------------------

I’m staying light.

That doesn’t mean inactive — it means **risk-defined**.

I’m letting existing positions work where structure allows, but I’m not aggressively adding until the market shows its hand. When price is stuck between key levels, patience is often the edge.

If support fails **on volume**, I’ll reduce exposure and reassess.  
If resistance accepts, I’ll adapt.

Nothing heroic. Nothing emotional.

* * *

Where I’m Watching for Opportunity
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One thing that stands out right now is **leverage imbalance**.

ETH positioning remains skewed heavily long. When that happens inside a range, it often creates opportunity — not because ETH is “bad,” but because crowded positioning tends to get tested.

If BTC stalls or rolls, that’s where I’ll be watching for a **liquidity sweep**.

Again, not a prediction. Just awareness.

* * *

Process Over Predictions
------------------------

I don’t approach this space trying to be right.  
I approach it trying to **stay solvent and adaptable**.

That means:

*   Process over outcomes
    
*   Invalidation over conviction
    
*   Liquidity over narratives
    

Markets are probabilistic systems. They don’t owe us clarity.

My job isn’t to call the next move — it’s to manage risk while information updates.

* * *

Final Thoughts
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Relief bounces feel good.  
They don’t mean the work is done.

Until structure resolves, I’m staying patient, flexible, and willing to be wrong.

I’ll keep watching how price reacts around the levels that matter — and I’ll adjust as conditions change.

Nothing more. Nothing less.

* * *

If you want these thoughts **as they’re forming**, not after the fact, they usually show up first in the Telegram:  
📢 [https://t.me/DADSDefiSpace](https://t.me/DADSDefiSpace)

More context, frameworks, and ongoing notes live at:  
🌐 [https://www.dadsdefispace.org](https://www.dadsdefispace.org)

Educational only. Manage your own risk.  
Everything here is optional and subject to change.

* * *

ABOUT DAD: "DAD" Kevin is**_About me:_** _I'm Kevin — a teacher by profession, a father by choice, and a crypto enthusiast by passion. I'm here to educate and empower anyone excited to explore the powerful opportunities in DeFi, WEB3, and crypto markets. Let’s grow together toward real financial freedom!_

🚀 _Ready to take your crypto and DeFi journey to the next level?_

🚀 _I’d love to hear your thoughts — drop your questions or comments below and join the conversation! Let’s build wealth together, one smart move at a time._ 💬

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Everything here is optional.  
Everything is on-chain.  
Everything is subject to change.

DISCLAIMER: Educational / Informaitonal only. Manage your own risk. DYOR. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE

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*Originally published on [Dadsdefispace.base.eth](https://paragraph.com/@daddefispace/relief-isnt-resolution-reading-the-range)*
