# Looking forward to the future

**Published by:** [wmdsj](https://paragraph.com/@dao100/)
**Published on:** 2022-01-26
**URL:** https://paragraph.com/@dao100/looking-forward-to-the-future

## Content

The big cake has been halved from the highest point. Other mainstream currencies, value currencies and leading currencies are even worse. For example, fil has fallen by more than 90%, and the general decline is more than 70. According to this decline, there is no problem in the bear market. Just like 519, the big cake is also close to halving, and all kinds of Shanzhai have fallen miserably. From the weekly line, 519 finally came out of a strong rebound after 14 weeks of decline and shock. The big cake broke through the previous high and reached a maximum of $69000. Just when everyone felt that the big cake was going to hit $70000, 80000 or even $100000, the decline suddenly came. Up to now, it has fallen for four weeks. If we look for the sword in the face of difficulties, it will fall for four weeks, That is, after the Spring Festival and the Lantern Festival, will the market start again? If $69000 is the highest point, then this bull market is a double headed bull. However, the increase after breaking through the highest point of $20000 in the last bull market is too low, which is not in line with the past trend and characteristics of big cake, but also in line with the general environment in which institutions and countries enter one after another. Be conservative, the possibility of this bull market rising to $100000 is still very high. At 519, many people also shouted about the bear market, and finally came out. In fact, no one knows whether it will turn into a bear this time, so they can only make decisions according to their own judgment. Personally, if there is no escape from the top, now the big cake cutting meat is no longer meaningful. If the level is not hit, it will drop to $28000. If the bear is really a bear, the final position is between $14000 and $20000, and the probability is more than $20000. Now cutting meat is also not cost-effective, so you have a bottom in your heart, so you don't have to worry. As for the counterfeit currency in hand, it's really hard to say, because the counterfeit currency falling by 90% is not the bottom. If it falls by 90%, it can fall by another 90%. It's very difficult to catch a hundred times, a thousand times or even ten thousand times, but it's really too easy to meet a counterfeit currency falling by 90%. Only by stepping on the pit, constantly learning, summarizing and trying to allocate positions reasonably. There is no problem in this market itself. What we need is to control our emotions, manage our positions and distinguish between life and investment. El Salvador is destined to be recorded in history. It was the first to take bitcoin as legal currency. Now you can say that it is difficult to ride a tiger. You can also say that it is a real warrior. The answer will be given at the last time. As long as El Salvador can successfully issue us $1 billion bitcoin bonds, and then build positions in batches from now on according to Martin's bendo win principle, so as to ensure that there will always be bullets in its hands, Then, for those who leave today, there must be some people who will eventually pick up the plate from a high position. It's also bitcoin. Isn't it more appropriate to buy it at $35000 than at $50000 or $60000? Of course, some people will say, wouldn't it be better for me to wait until $30000, $20000 or less? There are two questions here. The first question is whether we can get to these points. Only God can know. The second problem is that when they really get to these positions, many people are still afraid to buy, or they will wait until the next position they feel is lower. Finally, they will always be a spectator, watching it fall all the way, afraid to buy, watching it rise all the way, and finally see a new high, determine the bull market and start buying, Then buying did not continue to rise as expected. I was still secretly happy and finally judged right. However, soon the market turned bear again, successfully set it on the top of the mountain, cut it halfway up the mountain, and then leave the market sadly, or repeat the process. This is the operation of most leeks. Michael Saylor, CEO of MicroStrategy, is a crazy bull of bitcoin. Although the big cake bought a month ago has lost a lot, people are gold owners and don't care about this fluctuation. Moreover, U.S. stocks haven't fallen less during this period. The temporary fluctuation of the big cake can't represent the final result. Its investment cycle of bitcoin is worth our reference. We generally think that one or two years is the long term, and four years is the absolute long term. People think that four years is only a short term, ten years is a middle line, and the long term should be forever. It is too early to draw a conclusion now. In this market, many smart people do not make money or realize the obvious appreciation of wealth. On the contrary, those believers who look silly or even unreasonable are finally free. Let's wait and see.

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