# No Altcoin Season Until Bitcoin Stabilises

*As Bitcoin falls 30% from its ATH, crypto analysts claim altcoin season is due though only once Bitcoin's price stabilises.*

By [decentralised](https://paragraph.com/@decentralised) · 2025-11-24

crypto, altcoins, bitcoin, cryptocurrency

---

Key takeaways:

*   Majors must stabilise & establish price consolidation before "any sustainable rotation into alts" says Rohit Apte.
    
*   Analyst AO says altcoin season can't start if Bitcoin is in a downtrend.
    
*   Merlijn claims altcoin market cap in same pattern as 2020.
    

> Altcoin season refers to periods when altcoins (cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin) see significant price growth, outperforming Bitcoin.

* * *

The crypto market bleeds red as we enter a bear market headed by Bitcoin's 30% fall from its all-time high back in early October.

Crypto analysts on X claim the market is due for an altcoin season as Bitcoin loses dominance.

![](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/6db12945c741f39d3aa5432013e8bb66dab919fcfe2130e97c28d774150943fa.jpg)

Source: @merlijntrader on X

Analyst Merlijn The Trader posted this chart on X that represents altcoin market capitalisation over the years.

"Same pattern as 2020 and 2019" he claims as altcoin market cap nears key level (red line) similar to the pre-2021 rally.

> Altcoin season often occurs after a strong Bitcoin rally, as investors shift capital from Bitcoin to altcoins, leading to a decrease in Bitcoin's dominance.

[![User Avatar](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/260fe60cdba0dda63f80c3d1180fe07f469e4923f439ca53c4dbe0dcb0eba842.jpg)](https://twitter.com/MerlijnTrader)

[Merlijn The Trader](https://twitter.com/MerlijnTrader)

[@MerlijnTrader](https://twitter.com/MerlijnTrader)

[![Twitter Logo](https://paragraph.com/editor/twitter/logo.png)](https://twitter.com/MerlijnTrader/status/1992609085523386573)

ALTCOIN CHEAT SHEET: THIS CHART NEVER LIES  
  
Rejected the key level.  
Same pattern as 2020 and 2019.  
Pullback. Compression. Altseason ignition.  
  
I hope your bags are packed.  
Altseason 2025 is loading.

![](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/472d4849570f27a9e01cb28190de2409708c8cc94b3fca4af451a17bb1167964.jpg)

 [![Like Icon](https://paragraph.com/editor/twitter/heart.png) 838](https://twitter.com/MerlijnTrader/status/1992609085523386573)[

15:00 • 23 Nov 2025

](https://twitter.com/MerlijnTrader/status/1992609085523386573)

* * *

However, Rohit Apte, Head of Markets at Hex Trust, told Coindesk in an interview:

"For any sustainable rotation into alts, we would first need to see the majors stabilise and establish a price consolidation".

This echoes what analyst AO said on X a few days ago:

[![User Avatar](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/d309822b5b265b8ae3edf02561204aa1e21a2ac17af5782c19d9ee9cc49ee69f.jpg)](https://twitter.com/AO_btc_analyst)

[AO](https://twitter.com/AO_btc_analyst)

[@AO\_btc\_analyst](https://twitter.com/AO_btc_analyst)

[![Twitter Logo](https://paragraph.com/editor/twitter/logo.png)](https://twitter.com/AO_btc_analyst/status/1991477234331447726)

[#Altcoin](https://twitter.com/hashtag/Altcoin) season can’t really start if [#Bitcoin](https://twitter.com/hashtag/Bitcoin) is in a downtrend. Even if BTC dominance is in favor of alts, you still need some kind of upward momentum, even a short and local one, for altcoins to take off in a real and sustainable way.

 [![Like Icon](https://paragraph.com/editor/twitter/heart.png) 78](https://twitter.com/AO_btc_analyst/status/1991477234331447726)[

12:02 • 20 Nov 2025

](https://twitter.com/AO_btc_analyst/status/1991477234331447726)

* * *

![](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/55527bd8fc3be86e6409ee7f2be2dcacaea70ae995983991ee4ed49f7efeb6c8.png)

Source: CoinMarketCap

According to CoinMarketCap's Altcoin Season Index, altcoin market cap is in decline and nearing its yearly low from April 26th.

Though looking back at Merlijn's chart, April 2025's low preceded a short rally so if patterns repeat themselves, as Merlijn implies, and once majors stabilise and consolidate, as Rohit said, we may be at the doorstep of altseason.

> When altcoins boom, prices rise, and Bitcoin is outperformed.
> 
> Altcoin season has arrived, but by then it may be too late.

* * *

![](https://paragraph.com/editor/callout/information-icon.png)

Thank you for reading.

**Disclaimer**: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always DYOR & trade intentionally.

---

*Originally published on [decentralised](https://paragraph.com/@decentralised/noaltseasonuntilbtcstabilises)*