Permissionless prediction markets. Create a market with a tweet. Trade, resolve, and share the future.
Permissionless prediction markets. Create a market with a tweet. Trade, resolve, and share the future.

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Prediction markets are changing fast. In 2025, new tools, new rules, and new platforms are shaping how people use them. This note explains what is happening, what the challenges are, and how Ipredict is building in this space.
AI use is growing. Projects like EigenBets use AI to resolve markets and reduce manipulation. TMR.NEWS uses language models to match headlines and predict outcomes.
Governance experiments. DAOs are testing futarchy. This means using markets to predict the impact of policies before voting. Uniswap funded Butter to explore conditional funding markets.
Integration with DeFi. Platforms like Storm Trade and Vooi combine prediction markets with trading tools, tournaments, and copy trading.
Adoption and growth. Polymarket has passed $900M in volume. Storm Trade on TON has seen $5.6B across hundreds of thousands of trades. SX Bet has handled ~$500M in sports wagers since 2019.
Liquidity gaps. New markets often lack enough traders. This makes prices unstable.
Manipulation risks. Attackers can push prices or spread false information. AI tools may help, but they also carry bias.
Regulation. Platforms face scrutiny. Polymarket was fined by the CFTC. Many countries treat prediction markets like betting.
User retention. Some platforms see sharp drops in active users after a few months. This shows the need for simple UX and steady incentives.
Prediction markets are not the same as betting. They are open systems for sharing beliefs with money on the line. They can forecast elections, crypto prices, or DAO votes. They can also guide resource allocation, as seen with futarchy.
But without better tools, they risk staying niche. Liquidity, regulation, and fair resolution are the main bottlenecks.
Ipredict is focused on simplicity. Markets start with a tweet. Users fund them together. Trading is handled by LMSR, a proven pricing model that keeps liquidity smooth. Resolution comes from a decentralized oracle or DAO fallback.
Our goals are:
Make market creation easy for anyone.
Keep trading liquid and transparent.
Use trusted resolution to reduce disputes.
We believe this approach helps people create and trade markets without needing deep technical knowledge.
Prediction markets in 2025 are expanding into:
Real world assets. For example, energy, sustainability, and commodities.
Governance. Futarchy in DAOs to guide decisions.
Meme and culture events. Markets around sports, elections, and social trends.
Hackathons and grants are driving new ideas. Billions in volumes show demand is growing. But structural limits remain.
Ipredict will watch these trends and build with them. Our focus is making prediction markets easier, fairer, and more accessible.
Prediction markets are changing fast. In 2025, new tools, new rules, and new platforms are shaping how people use them. This note explains what is happening, what the challenges are, and how Ipredict is building in this space.
AI use is growing. Projects like EigenBets use AI to resolve markets and reduce manipulation. TMR.NEWS uses language models to match headlines and predict outcomes.
Governance experiments. DAOs are testing futarchy. This means using markets to predict the impact of policies before voting. Uniswap funded Butter to explore conditional funding markets.
Integration with DeFi. Platforms like Storm Trade and Vooi combine prediction markets with trading tools, tournaments, and copy trading.
Adoption and growth. Polymarket has passed $900M in volume. Storm Trade on TON has seen $5.6B across hundreds of thousands of trades. SX Bet has handled ~$500M in sports wagers since 2019.
Liquidity gaps. New markets often lack enough traders. This makes prices unstable.
Manipulation risks. Attackers can push prices or spread false information. AI tools may help, but they also carry bias.
Regulation. Platforms face scrutiny. Polymarket was fined by the CFTC. Many countries treat prediction markets like betting.
User retention. Some platforms see sharp drops in active users after a few months. This shows the need for simple UX and steady incentives.
Prediction markets are not the same as betting. They are open systems for sharing beliefs with money on the line. They can forecast elections, crypto prices, or DAO votes. They can also guide resource allocation, as seen with futarchy.
But without better tools, they risk staying niche. Liquidity, regulation, and fair resolution are the main bottlenecks.
Ipredict is focused on simplicity. Markets start with a tweet. Users fund them together. Trading is handled by LMSR, a proven pricing model that keeps liquidity smooth. Resolution comes from a decentralized oracle or DAO fallback.
Our goals are:
Make market creation easy for anyone.
Keep trading liquid and transparent.
Use trusted resolution to reduce disputes.
We believe this approach helps people create and trade markets without needing deep technical knowledge.
Prediction markets in 2025 are expanding into:
Real world assets. For example, energy, sustainability, and commodities.
Governance. Futarchy in DAOs to guide decisions.
Meme and culture events. Markets around sports, elections, and social trends.
Hackathons and grants are driving new ideas. Billions in volumes show demand is growing. But structural limits remain.
Ipredict will watch these trends and build with them. Our focus is making prediction markets easier, fairer, and more accessible.
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