# Innovation Timeframes

**Published by:** [jer979](https://paragraph.com/@jer979-2/)
**Published on:** 2022-12-09
**URL:** https://paragraph.com/@jer979-2/innovation-timeframes

## Content

Where are we with the cycle of Web3 innovation? The answer depends a lot on the person with whom you are speaking. The long-time insiders seem to have reached a conclusion that Bitcoin will dominate the store-of-value market and Ethereum has too much staying power. They may be right. But I look at the world of people NOT in crypto. I think about how far removed they are from the powers of Web3 and I see the barriers to usage. For example, I can only publish this blog from computers that have the private key for this particular Ethereum account. And, for security reasons, I don’t have it on every computer. As a student of history, I just keep reminding myself of the distance between innovation and adoption. The one I use most frequently is powered flight. The Wright Brothers succeeded in 1903, but it wasn’t until 40 years later that the commercial jet aviation innovation crossed the chasm. I don’t believe that Web3 is quite ready to make that cross, despite everyone’s wish that it will soon. Which is why I have confidence that Radix has a shot, at least. And this is why.

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