The a13a strategy is currently facing new challenges. Last night, ETH was trading at 3660, meaning the large short positions that the whale added at 3535 and 3410 were already underwater. He ended up closing some of those shorts at 3660, confirming his misstep. Accordingly, I closed my own short position at 3650, taking a $2,000 loss — a decision I’m ultimately grateful for. This morning, ETH reached 3725. Had I held on, I would’ve been liquidated and lost around $5,000.

In total, I earned $3,000 — the net result of a profitable first trade (short from 3850 to 3620) and a losing second trade (add-on short from 3535, closed at 3650). The whale’s wallet flipped from a significant profit to a small loss overnight, with a PNL dive of over $11 million — an insane move. Once again, he demonstrated strength in entry but weakness in exit, aligning with my original observation.

This suggests a clear refinement to my strategy: follow the whale’s initial entry, but avoid chasing the trend by adding on at worse prices. From observation, a ~150% PNL from the whale’s ideal entry appears to be a reasonable and safe threshold — one he reached (and even overshot), but failed to realize. A 150% return within a week is remarkable, even in crypto, and I will execute this refined principle the next time the whale opens a position.

As for my spot holdings, I regret selling 25%. That decision was influenced by external signals: the whale’s short position and several KOLs echoing bearish views. In hindsight, this violated one of my core principles: “Spot is Spot, Futures is Futures.” Spot represents long-term conviction. Futures are tactical tools. Moving forward, I will implement the following adjustments:

• Filter the noise. KOLs — and even whales — can be wrong.

• Stay clean. Keep strategies independent.

• Act from signal, not sentiment.

In the realm of sports betting, I placed two bets last night and lost both. The first was a typical "bot trade" under the favorite team strategy, which now stands at 3/8 — not ideal so far. The second was a personal pick, influenced by a KOL’s conviction. I feel particularly disappointed with that one.

To stay disciplined, I’ll follow these rules going forward:

1. Ignore KOLs entirely.

2. Avoid personal picks.

3. Bet only when the favorite team strategy criteria are met.

Final Thought:
My identity as both a crypto investor and a sports bettor is being tested — but I view this period as a sharpening process. Through reflection, pattern recognition, and strategic refinement, I’m confident that I will come out stronger and more convicted on the other side.

The a13a strategy is currently facing new challenges. Last night, ETH was trading at 3660, meaning the large short positions that the whale added at 3535 and 3410 were already underwater. He ended up closing some of those shorts at 3660, confirming his misstep. Accordingly, I closed my own short position at 3650, taking a $2,000 loss — a decision I’m ultimately grateful for. This morning, ETH reached 3725. Had I held on, I would’ve been liquidated and lost around $5,000.

In total, I earned $3,000 — the net result of a profitable first trade (short from 3850 to 3620) and a losing second trade (add-on short from 3535, closed at 3650). The whale’s wallet flipped from a significant profit to a small loss overnight, with a PNL dive of over $11 million — an insane move. Once again, he demonstrated strength in entry but weakness in exit, aligning with my original observation.

This suggests a clear refinement to my strategy: follow the whale’s initial entry, but avoid chasing the trend by adding on at worse prices. From observation, a ~150% PNL from the whale’s ideal entry appears to be a reasonable and safe threshold — one he reached (and even overshot), but failed to realize. A 150% return within a week is remarkable, even in crypto, and I will execute this refined principle the next time the whale opens a position.

As for my spot holdings, I regret selling 25%. That decision was influenced by external signals: the whale’s short position and several KOLs echoing bearish views. In hindsight, this violated one of my core principles: “Spot is Spot, Futures is Futures.” Spot represents long-term conviction. Futures are tactical tools. Moving forward, I will implement the following adjustments:

• Filter the noise. KOLs — and even whales — can be wrong.

• Stay clean. Keep strategies independent.

• Act from signal, not sentiment.

In the realm of sports betting, I placed two bets last night and lost both. The first was a typical "bot trade" under the favorite team strategy, which now stands at 3/8 — not ideal so far. The second was a personal pick, influenced by a KOL’s conviction. I feel particularly disappointed with that one.

To stay disciplined, I’ll follow these rules going forward:

1. Ignore KOLs entirely.

2. Avoid personal picks.

3. Bet only when the favorite team strategy criteria are met.

Final Thought:
My identity as both a crypto investor and a sports bettor is being tested — but I view this period as a sharpening process. Through reflection, pattern recognition, and strategic refinement, I’m confident that I will come out stronger and more convicted on the other side.