# Yield Curve inverted

By [Scott's Blog](https://paragraph.com/@scott-s-blog) · 2022-09-21

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![](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/4c89887fdf0ee236de0412b98b72fcf158e16c5863aad995f47f509c0deba5dc.png)

![](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/dc9f2bfd6b959bf0394f83c3f443f820bc86ed1d29d0b9ad2aab4748f7b2b130.png)

![](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/18f646ea5952ba5934dedd7405cfcf9e8ae2c817fe8f3ee8a0c3acea637e924b.png)

2 year > 10 year signaling recession.

Fed Fund rate is 2.33 add 75bps puts us around 3.08 still 1% behind the 2 year. They will keep hiking. 2 year will crash than rates will be above it and they will be forced to cut. Too aggressive when they should be cautious and too cautious when they should be aggressive.

Our government is a joke.

*   Scott

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*Originally published on [Scott's Blog](https://paragraph.com/@scott-s-blog/yield-curve-inverted)*