Tom Lee Trims Bitcoin’s Aggressive Target, Calls for One Final Rally Before Year-End
Bitcoin’s sharp October–November selloff rattled bullish sentiment and briefly dragged prices to $80,000. Yet as BTC rebounded above $90,000 this week, one of crypto’s most vocal optimists revised his outlook.

Tom Lee—co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors and president of BitMine—has withdrawn his year-end $250,000 target. He now offers a more grounded forecast ahead of 2025’s close.

Rather than a parabolic surge, Lee expects the remainder of the year to hinge on a few explosive trading sessions—a recurring pattern in Bitcoin’s history. He stresses BTC rarely rises linearly: most annual gains typically occur within roughly 10 critical days, while the rest remain relatively flat.

Data supports this: in 2024, the top 10 days delivered 52% of total returns—versus a modest 15% across the remaining 355 days. Given this asymmetry, Lee still views a final year-end surge as plausible—potentially pushing BTC past $100,000, even to a new all-time high.

His long-term optimism remains intact—but he admits $250,000 by December is now overly ambitious. Potential catalysts include improved sentiment, year-end ETF inflows, and the seasonal Santa Rally.

Crucially, Lee insists: the window remains open. He believes the year’s strongest phase may still lie ahead—not behind us.

VECS Commentary
Lee’s revision reflects analytical maturity: optimism without blind faith. He’s not denying potential—just calibrating timing to liquidity and market structure realities. Still, retail investors must beware: the “10 decisive days” narrative is often misused as a FOMO enabler. In truth, not all years repeat this pattern—especially amid weak macro conditions and low leverage. More importantly: never treat forecasts as trading signals. Use them for context, not execution. Success in crypto belongs not to the fastest reactor—but to the most disciplined risk manager.

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**This news was obtained and summarized from various sources on the internet.