# 不刺激（2022第12周研报分析）

By [YanWuDong](https://paragraph.com/@yanwudong) · 2022-03-23

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最近行情实在无聊，美联储加息没有带来高波动，反而小幅回升，自己都不想分析这行情，希望能来点刺激的

![](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/7f0adca2e20604775a067f8e730b70913c50817126c50edc101d7fdae012fd26.png)

真不如妹子好看，喜欢哪一款告诉我 推特[@yanwudong](https://twitter.com/yanwudong)

![](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/726a46b6fca03cc1964d5b649a7ea7cbcd72fd1349244bd1cb95848505c4035a.jpg)

![](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/04599a0568160a6bf535323a3b8abfa0d06e2b50f885abcb5123d9547ebd6efa.jpg)

![](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/39cc627ca88ea509717ae0e6548b330d9230b8b574814b7efb2db4ccab205527.jpg)

![](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/fc93a46214b44a25305b4b00cf80cb2e18ae87569bfdcd96dbedaeff602ea952.jpg)

![](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/1f87d21560a6394dd8b92d75800fb28f6470c2d895bc11d67ea41c8ed86aff43.jpg)

![](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/90ed5e22caabd9d21889f9acf20b196a99c070ddaf53933513e9fdefc933a965.jpg)

![](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/eb0955c43eeee50c5fbbe6664df55db9302881dbbccc21b1465232972b1d1cdd.jpg)

### 波动性正在增加

目前期货市场的杠杆率为1.94，一般未平仓合约达到比特币市值的2%，就会出现剧烈的去杠杆事件，预期5月份美联储的加息决定或者缩表会决定行情的走势，也会有一波大行情

个人认为，市场仍处于熊市，目前是较好的下车机会。

![](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/c8391ef692a8fbb8dd17579618c7b899ddfd30d4851b3df219db1f2422e74751.png)

![](https://storage.googleapis.com/papyrus_images/65b9a75a1148a08fe3165fe3a0bc2abedb81fd427a60875929551291d64f2df8.png)

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*Originally published on [YanWuDong](https://paragraph.com/@yanwudong/2022-12)*