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At the beginning of May Day, the main wheat producing areas harvested wheat in the grain filling period for cattle and sheep feed, which attracted extensive attention and Discussion on social media. The views of netizens are quite different: it is understandable for farmers to sell unripe wheat; Farmers are destroying grain by selling unripe wheat.

On May 10, the upstream news reporter obtained the notice on stepping up the verification of various wheat destruction problems issued by the general office of the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas, which showed that “the beginning of summer” has passed, and the wheat in the main production area has entered the grain filling period and is about to usher in the harvest season. Recently, there have been wheat destruction problems such as silage wheat in some places, which not only have an adverse impact on the harvest, but also have an adverse social impact. In order to resolutely put an end to similar incidents and ensure the safe storage of mature wheat particles, all localities, together with relevant departments, should pay close attention to the comprehensive investigation and investigation of all kinds of wheat destruction problems.

The notice requires that the main wheat producing areas should organize cities (counties) to comprehensively investigate whether there are various wheat destruction situations such as silage wheat, wheat destruction and planting trees, and dispatch whether there are breeding enterprises in the province to purchase silage wheat for feed and silage harvesting machinery for harvesting silage wheat. Find out the scale and analyze the specific reasons if any. Once the signs of wheat destruction are found, take effective measures to dispose and report at the first time, so as to minimize the adverse effects. Those preparing to use wheat for silage should be resolutely stopped. For the land requisitioned for construction and the wheat is about to mature, the work shall be started after the wheat is ripe and harvested. For those who destroy wheat and trees, we should strengthen the control of cultivated land use, find and correct them in time. Timely understand and report the handling of relevant responsible persons of wheat destruction events in various places.

A professor from Huazhong Agricultural University, who asked not to be named, said that based on the characteristics and price of wheat, it is impossible for farms to use it as silage, which is just a helpless “expedient” for a few farms. The notice issued by the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas is very timely. It is to prevent small changes and correct the bad signs in time.

▲ a few feed plants buy wheat in the filling stage at the price of 1500 yuan / mu. Image source / video screenshot

This article is reprinted from the upstream news. The original text was first published on May 10, 2022. The original title was “harvesting wheat as silage before ripening attracts attention, and the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas issued a notice to resolutely prohibit the destruction of wheat”, which does not represent the view of the outlook think tank.

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Henan express telegram:

Wheat cannot be used for silage

In the ranking of provincial grain output in 2021, Henan, the “granary of the Central Plains”, is second only to Heilongjiang. According to public reports, wheat production in Henan Province accounts for a quarter of the country, stable at more than 70 billion kg.

On May 8, before the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas issued the notice, the Department of agriculture and rural areas of Henan Province has issued an “urgent” internal telegram throughout the province.

The cable said that at present, wheat has entered the grain filling period, which is the key period for increasing grain weight and ensuring yield. There are only more than 20 days left from the beginning of harvest in a large area. Recently, there have been reports on the use of wheat for silage in some places on the Internet, which has been highly valued by the society.

The cable said that the destruction of wheat and the use of wheat as silage have exposed that a small number of cadres and relevant stakeholders in some places are not well positioned to safeguard national food security and have a weak awareness of protecting farmers’ interests. Agricultural and rural departments at all levels should fully understand the seriousness that wheat is the main ration and cannot be used for silage, and consciously shoulder the important task of food security from the height of stressing politics, the overall situation, discipline and people’s livelihood.

The message requires that from now until the end of the wheat harvest, no place, unit or person shall destroy wheat or use wheat for silage for any reason. All localities should rely on the strength of township and village grass-roots organizations to thoroughly investigate the events involving the destruction of wheat or the use of wheat for silage, leave no dead corners or blind areas, take resolute and effective measures to strengthen the protection of wheat fields, prevent the recurrence of all kinds of wheat destruction events, and strive to achieve a good harvest of summer grain.

After the message was issued, all parts of Henan Province actively implemented it.

On May 10, the chief of Suiping County agricultural and rural Bureau in Zhumadian City, Henan Province, surnamed Li, told the upstream news reporter that after receiving the telegram, the bureau had made arrangements to prohibit the sale of wheat as silage. “Wheat can’t be sold until it’s ripe. If it’s sold, it will be held accountable.”

In Anhui, adjacent to Henan Province, a staff member of the agricultural and rural Bureau of Funan County, Fuyang City, also said that wheat could not be sold as silage.

On the morning of May 10, a staff member of the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas told the upstream news reporters that all localities will introduce requirements and regulations on wheat according to local conditions, which should be strictly implemented.

▲ a few feed plants buy wheat in the filling stage at the price of 1500 yuan / mu. Image source / video screenshot

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Expert opinion:

Silage corn is more suitable for silage than wheat

Professor of Huazhong Agricultural University introduced that cattle and sheep breeding feed is divided into three kinds: fresh feed, silage and dry feed. Silage is a kind of coarse feed obtained by chopping and fermenting the green feed with a moisture content of 65% - 75%. It is more resistant to storage than fresh feed and has stronger nutritional components than dry feed. All green plants that can be used as feed can be used as silage raw materials. The commonly used silage raw materials in China are corn, ryegrass, Bromus inermis, alfalfa, clover, milkvetch and so on. “Cattle and sheep eat it better than dry feed, and the quality of meat and milk is high.” According to its incomplete statistics, silage corn is the most widely planted.

The upstream news reporter noted that the document “several opinions on strengthening reform and innovation and accelerating agricultural modernization” released on February 1, 2015 mentioned that we should accelerate the development of grassland and animal husbandry, support the planting of silage corn and alfalfa, carry out the test point of the combination mode of grain to feed and planting and breeding, and promote the development of ternary planting structure of grain, cash crops and forage.

The professor introduced that special corn varieties should be used to plant silage corn, which has high yield and good green retention. Planting 2 mu of silage corn can solve the annual silage supply of a high-yield cow. Ordinary corn is harvested in advance for silage, and the yield is low.

In the professor’s opinion, corn is more suitable for silage than wheat. “For one mu of land, the output of silage corn is more than 4 tons; for one mu of land, the output of wheat is only more than 1 ton. Planting wheat has no harvest because of management problems. Based on the consideration of no waste, it can be used as silage.”

In addition to its own characteristics, breeding enterprises will also buy silage corn based on cost considerations.

May 10, Anhui

Throughout the track of China’s economic development, fixed asset investment has always been regarded as the main engine of economic growth, while infrastructure construction with “Iron Rooster (machine)” as the core is the tried and true “magic weapon” to stimulate investment and economic growth.

According to the just released economic data in October, the growth rate of China’s infrastructure investment rebounded for the first time in the year. From January to October, infrastructure investment increased by 3.7% year-on-year, 0.4 percentage points faster than the previous three quarters; Accordingly, the national fixed asset investment increased by 5.7% year-on-year, 0.3 percentage points higher than that in the first three quarters. This undoubtedly brought a turnaround for the investment that remained in the doldrums. But after all, the overall investment is still at a historical low, so it is too early to conclude that the inflection point of infrastructure investment appears. The short board of infrastructure investment is still the short board that needs to be supplemented urgently in current economic growth.

Throughout the track of China’s economic development, fixed asset investment has always been regarded as the main engine of economic growth, while infrastructure construction with “Iron Rooster (machine)” as the core is the tried and true “magic weapon” to stimulate investment and economic growth. Why will infrastructure investment become a drag on economic growth? This may be a confusing place for many people.

However, many indicators of China’s current economic operation clearly show us that it is an indisputable fact that the downward pressure on China’s economy has increased. It is investment that can lead the economy to quickly get rid of the shadow of the downward trend; Infrastructure is the short board that hinders investment growth at present.

First of all, the increasing downward pressure on the economy is an objective fact that we need to face up to. To stimulate the economy, we need to find new growth points.

At present, under the combined influence of many factors, China’s economic growth is facing unprecedented uncertainty. Various factors, such as the uncertain growth of the Chinese and American real economy and the accumulation of labor and foreign exchange reserves, pose difficulties in maintaining the stability of the Chinese and American real economy. Due to the huge uncertainty of the Internet, it is urgent to deal with the uncertain future of labor and foreign exchange market.

Although according to the statistics disclosed by the government, the national economy still operates within a reasonable range. In the first three quarters, GDP calculated at comparable prices increased by 6.7% year-on-year, maintaining an overall stable and steady development trend; However, hidden worries have emerged, external challenge variables have increased significantly, the pain of domestic structural adjustment continues, and many economic indicators have shown downward pressure on the economy.

Statistics show that the national manufacturing PMI in October was 50.2%, lower than the expected (50.6) and the previous value (50.8), a new low since August 2016. Among the main sub indicators of PMI, demand, production, price and inventory fell across the board. Among them, new orders, new export orders and production index decreased by 1.2, 1.1 and 1.0 percentage points respectively; The ex factory price and the purchase price of raw materials decreased most significantly, by 2.3 and 1.8 percentage points respectively; The purchase volume, finished product inventory and raw material inventory index decreased by 0.5, 0.3 and 0.6 percentage points respectively compared with September. The change trend of manufacturing PMI generally reflects the current pattern of weak market supply and demand and weak internal and external. Industrial production continued to hover at a low level. In October, the added value of industries above designated size increased by 5.9% year-on-year, below 6% for the second consecutive month, consistent with the downward trend of PMI in October.

Secondly, the three major demands have differentiated in driving GDP, the growth rate of consumption has slowed down, the net export has continued to weaken, and the investment has the most imagination.

From the perspective of the driving force of economic development, the power on the supply side remains to be developed for some time, and the traditional Troika is still the basic perspective for studying and judging the economic trend. From the contribution and pull of the three major demands to the domestic economy in recent years: the contribution and pull of consumption (final consumption expenditure) to GDP continued to be high, the contribution of investment (total capital formation) to GDP continued to decline, and the contribution of net exports to GDP continued to be negative.

By the end of September, the contribution rate of consumption to GDP had reached 78%, an increase of 13.5 percentage points over the same period last year; Driving GDP growth by 5.2 percentage points, an increase of 0.7 percentage points over the same period last year. The contribution rate of investment to GDP was 31.8%, down 1 percentage point from the same period last year; Driving GDP growth by 2.1 percentage points, down 0.2 percentage points from the same period last year. The contribution of net exports to GDP was - 9.8%, down 12.5 percentage points from the same period last year; Lower gdp0 7 percentage points, down 0.9 percentage points from the same period last year (see Figure 1).

In fact, since June 2014, the contribution of consumer spending to GDP and fixed asset investment began to translocate, and consumption exceeded investment by 54.4%. The contribution of net exports to GDP shows a cyclical alternation of positive and negative, with great volatility: the contribution is negative from the third quarter of 2013 to the second quarter of 2014; Positive from the third quarter of 2014 to the second quarter of 2015; From the third quarter of 2015 to the fourth quarter of 2016, it was negative; From the first quarter to the fourth quarter of 2017, it was positive; Negative in the first three quarters of 2018.

Judging from the sustained driving force of the three major demands on the economy, it is obvious that net exports are the most uncertain. Although the import and export have shown rapid growth since this year, the export growth rate has returned to the double digits, rising from 7.9% in the whole year of last year to 12.6% in October, and the import growth rate has increased from 16.11% in the whole year of last year to 20.3%, the factors of order grabbing due to the Sino US trade war can not be ignored, especially the rapid rise in the export delivery value of the electronic industry, which has obvious traces of export grabbing, and the future trend is not optimistic. The strong trend of foreign trade data in the short term may just reflect the market’s concern about the prospect of trade war, and the year-on-year decline in net export growth remains unchanged. From January to October, net exports increased by 22.33% year-on-year. In the increasingly complex international trade environment, the pressure faced by exports may become more and more obvious, or it is difficult to get out of the depressed state in the short term, because the haze of the Sino US trade war will not pass easily.

There is no doubt that consumer demand plays an important role in economic growth