In the current situation of good employment, the time has not come for comprehensive stimulus codes. The “policy base” or has become apparent, but it often requires a process from the “policy base” to the “economic base”, and economic stability may occur in the second half of next year.

Core views:

The recent decline in both the Bureau of Statistics and the new PMI to near the bitter line has made the economic slowdown more visible. Widespread data also indicate that exports are in the process of deceleration. Nevertheless, domestic demand continued to be underpinned by the positive impact of increased capital financing support, erected real estate investments and individual income tax adjustments.

Financial restraints have relaxed marginally, but are subject to financial regulation and the delayed adjustment of financial requirements, and M2 and SMS are expected to maintain low-status shocks, as a result of successive precipitation and open market operations by central banks. In comparison with other emerging market economies, the depreciation of the people’s currency has been limited since this year, and it is expected that monetary authorities will seek a balance between increasing the tolerance for exchange rate fluctuations and preventing excessive depreciation, not necessarily maintaining fixed points.

It is a matter of concern that recent meetings of the Political Bureau have not referred to the relevant elements of real estate and leverage, “policy base” or have become apparent. Tax reduction measures will continue to be introduced and fiscal policies will be more positive. In the current situation of good employment, the time has not come for comprehensive stimulus codes. Historically, from the “policy base” to the “economic background”, a process is often required, and economic stability may occur in the second half of next year.

Corrigendum

The economic slowdown is more pronounced, but domestic demand is still underpinned.

The recent fall of the Bureau of Statistics and the new PMI to near the battery line, where most sub-indicators, such as production, ordering, have significantly declined, presupposing further economic slowdowns. On the price side, supply restraints are eased and oil prices adjusted, PPI will continue to decline at the same rate of increase and CPI will not be able to rise in the short term.

Widespread data also indicate that exports are in the process of deceleration. The “run” effect of trade between the United States of America in the previous period, or the growth in our exports of aid, has been markedly reduced by the recent export of related commodities subject to tariff escalation, and China has plunged its exports to the United States as a whole. Despite the stimulus of some commodity export rebate policies, PMI’s export orders have continued to decline in the near future, as well as the first negative growth since 2016 in export swaps. Against a backdrop of further global slowdown, the downward risks facing our exports in the short term have increased.

Internal demand remains underpinned by the positive impact of increased capital financing support, the persistence of real estate investments and the adjustment of personal income taxes. In the area of manufacturing investment, the short-term viability of manufacturing investment remains as supply-side constraints relaxed, coupled with the delayed impact of pre-liminary profits. In the area of capital investment, recent policies have strengthened support for capital financing, a clear vision of a stable base, a slightly stable or small scale of capital investment. With regard to real estate investment, land markets are gradually being cooled and land acquisitions will be higher, but construction investment is expected to be stable in view of the already high interest rates, both of which are still less resilient in the short term. On the consumer side, although sales of goods such as vehicles remain low, recent tax downwards will provide some support for the consumption of the population.

Note: Personal income tax is treated on average for six months.

Currency credit expansion is stretched and people’s currency exchange rates are not necessarily static

The M2 and SMS are also expected to maintain low-level shocks, as the central bank has been plunged on several occasions, such as precipitation and open market operations, and monetary supply constraints have relaxed marginally but are subject to financial regulation and financial adjustment. Interbank market liquidity will continue to be sufficient, but credit expansion in real areas remains limited. Financial regulation continues to contract out-of-pocket financing, with little remaining space for local debt distribution over the four-quarters period, and business bond financing is lower under low market risk preferences. Recent policies have focused on addressing private and SME financing, but the actual impact remains to be seen.

In comparison with other emerging market economies, the people’s currency has been devalued since this year, and it is expected that monetary authorities will seek a balance between increasing the tolerance for exchange rate fluctuations and preventing excessive depreciation, which is not necessarily static. The United States dollar index has increased by about 8.6 per cent since it was strong in April, while the People’s Currency Depreciated by about 9.4 per cent over the same period, broadly consistent with other emerging market countries. The Bank, on the one hand, is expected to manage excessive unilateral depreciation (to prevent panic under the effects of sheep) and, on the other hand, has in fact tolerated more exchange rate flexibility (for external shocks).

Note: The time frame is calculated here at a robust stage in the United States dollar index from April to present this year.

Towards a clear policy base and a time-bound economic base

The recent meeting of the Political Bureau did not refer to the relevant elements of real estate and deleveraging, “policy base” or became apparent. The pace and direction of policies have not been fully consistent since this year, but at the current point, there have been significant signs of marginal deregulation. For example, the centrality of inter-bank interest rate levels has continued since the beginning of the year, and measures such as tax cuts have been introduced, and fiscal policies will become more positive. New rules, etc., have been slowed down in regulatory mode and strength. Nevertheless, in the current context of good employment, the time has not come for a comprehensive stimulus package.

Historical patterns suggest that a process is required from the “policy base” to the “economic background”, and economic stability may occur in the second half of next year. The transmission of macro-policies to the real economy, as well as the anticipated adjustment of micro subjects, often take time, although the policy base is apparent, it takes time. For example, if a monetary economy is to be seen, recent M2 has been built on a bottom-up sign that, according to the pattern of about one year’s gross domestic product (GDP) in its leading name, the economic base will appear in the second half of next year.

Basic findings

One is the recent decline in both the Bureau of Statistics and the new PMI to near the bitter line, which is becoming more pronounced. Widespread data also indicate that exports are in the process of deceleration. Nevertheless, domestic demand continued to be underpinned by the positive impact of increased capital financing support, erected real estate investments and individual income tax adjustments.

The second is the easing of monetary restraints, but subject to financial regulation and regulation, with many precipitation and open market operations by central banks.

Four years ago, in the Pingchang winter Paralympic Games, murakaka won the grand gyration event and became the first Japanese female athlete to win the winter Paralympic Games since 2006. In Pingchang, she also won 2 silver and 2 copper, becoming the first Japanese player to win gold, silver and copper in a single winter Paralympic Games since 1998. MURAOKA taojia is not satisfied with this. In order to break the women’s track and field record in Tokyo, she participated in the Paralympic Games two months after she was a child. Finally, she ranked sixth in the women’s 100m event at the Tokyo summer Paralympic Games.

Coincidentally, Oksana masters of the United States, who won the women’s short distance sitting position group champion of the Beijing winter Paralympic Games on the 5th, is also a “double master” across summer and winter events. As one of the most comprehensive athletes in the history of Paralympic Games, the 32 year old has participated in the Paralympic Games five times (three times in winter and two times in summer) and won a total of 11 medals, including five gold medals. At the age of 13, masters began his first event rowing. At the 2012 London summer Paralympic Games, she won the bronze medal in the double rowing event with her partner in the Olympic debut. At that time, they trained together for only one year. After that, masters had to give up rowing due to back injury and switch to cross-country skiing in winter. 14 months later, masters advanced to the 2014 Winter Paralympic Games and won one gold and one bronze. In the 2018 winter Paralympic Games, masters won 2 gold and 1 bronze in cross-country skiing and 2 silver in biathlon in winter. Meanwhile, in the 2016 liyoxia Paralympic Games, masters also participated in the hand bicycle project and won the fourth place. At that time, she participated in the project in order to return to the rowing project as part of the rehabilitation plan. Unexpectedly, she won two gold medals in road cycling at the Tokyo summer Paralympic Games.

Masters’ US team mate Kendall gretcher has a similar experience. Greg suffered from spina bifida since childhood, focusing on triathlon. After learning that triathlon was not included in the 2016 Summer Paralympic Games, she changed to cross-country skiing, won the gold medal in the 2018 winter Paralympic Games and won the winter biathlon. At the Tokyo summer Paralympic Games, she finally realized her dream and won the championship in the triathlon she was best at. On the 5th, Greg won the bronze medal in the final of the women’s short distance sitting position group in the winter biathlon and boarded the podium with masters.

The first recommendation: in the last 30 issues, there have been 13 numbers of No. 0, and 2 issues have been omitted at present, of which No. 6 has appeared twice, and 21 issues have been omitted at present; Number 9 appears 4 times, and 18 issues are missing at present; Number 3 appears 4 times, and 6 issues are missing at present; Number 0 appears 3 times, and phase 2 is missing at present.

The number of the first line 1 is 10, and phase 0 is missing at present. Among them, number 1 appears once, and phase 23 is missing at present; Number 7 appears twice, and 4 issues are missing at present; Number 4 appears 7 times, and phase 0 is missing at present.

At present, there are 50 numbers in the first phase and 2 numbers are missed in the first phase; Number 5 appears 5 times, and 8 issues are missing at present; Number 8 appears twice, and phase 1 is missing at present.

The first person in this period is expected to issue No. 0, Reference No. 9.

The second recommendation: in the first 30 periods, the large number between 7 and 9 has been issued for 10 times, and 2 periods have been omitted at present, of which 9 has appeared for 3 times, and 9 periods have been omitted at present; Number 8 appears 4 times, and 3 issues are missing at present; Number 7 appears three times, and phase 2 is missing at present.

There are 9 medium numbers between 3 and 6 in the second place. At present, phase 0 is missing, of which phase 5 occurs once, and phase 19 is missing at present; Number 3 appears 3 times, and 8 issues are missing at present; Number 4 appears twice, and phase 1 is missing at present; Number 6 appears 3 times, and phase 0 is missing at present.

There are 9 trumpets between 0 and 2 in the second digit. At present, 4 issues are missing, of which 5 times are number 0 and 10 issues are missing at present; Number 2 appears 3 times, and 7 issues are missing at present; Number 1 appears 3 times, and 4 issues are missing at present.

The second place in this issue is optimistic about the trumpet between 0-2, and pay attention to number 1.

The third recommendation: the odd number of this digit appears 15 times in 30 consecutive periods, and 3 periods are missing at present, including 3 times for number 1, and 12 periods are missing at present; Number 3 appears 4 times, and 11 issues are missing at present; Number 9 appears twice, and 7 issues are missing at present; Number 5 appears 3 times, and 5 issues are missing at present; Number 7 appears three times, and three issues are missing at present.

The third even number has 15 issues, and 0 issue has been omitted at present, of which 4 has occurred 3 times, and 23 issues have been omitted at present; Number 8 appears 3 times, and 8 issues are missing at present; Number 2 appears 3 times, and 4 issues are missing at present; Number 0 appears 3 times, and phase 2 is missing at present; Number 6 appears 3 times, and phase 0 is missing at present.

The third place in this issue focuses on odd numbers and is optimistic about number 7.

Black Swan ranking III award No. 2022053 recommendation:

Two code attention: 1, 7, single bold attention: 1

Compound group 6 concerns: 126789

5 5 5 direct election attention: 13469 01238 14789

Note No.: 011 012 112 126 128 133 137 138 146 147 148 168 178 179 189

Direct election note: 917

[scan the code and download the app. More than 10 million experts who have won the digital color are here!]

Core tips

On December 17, 2020, the 15th UNESCO Intergovernmental Committee for the protection of intangible cultural heritage voted to include the “ship to the king” project jointly declared by China and Malaysia in the list of representative works of human intangible cultural heritage.

This is the first time that China has jointly declared a successful human intangible cultural heritage project with countries along the 21st century Maritime Silk Road.

“Send the king’s boat” is a ceremony created by the ancestors along the coast of Southern Fujian in the Ming Dynasty to comfort and sacrifice the shipwrecked victims. Minnan people call the victims of the shipwreck “good brothers”, and the local protective god of “patrolling and hunting on behalf of heaven” is “Lord”, “sending the king ship”, so it is also commonly known as “doing good deeds”. This custom is held by the temple or ancestral temple of the relevant community at the beginning of the northeast monsoon. It is generally held every three to four years, including welcoming the king, making a king’s boat, erecting a lamp pole, Pudu, sending the king’s boat (stepping on the street parade and burning the King’s boat).

With the sea trade and migration of people in Southern Fujian, the custom of sending King ships spread to Taiwan and the inhabited areas of overseas Chinese and ethnic Chinese in Southeast Asia from the 17th to the 20th century, which is an important legacy of the marine history and culture of Southern Fujian.

On the first anniversary of being selected into the list of representative works of human intangible cultural heritage, what kind of living inheritance has the activity of “sending the king’s boat” in Southern Fujian obtained in the context of local culture? This issue of “attention” presents you——

Zhang

“Ship” is bigger, and there are more ceremonies

Fujian Daily reporter Xiao Zhenping Yu Li correspondent Lin Jie Zheng Wendian

On the 19th, Baoquan palace in Shikeng community of Zhangzhou Development Zone held a lively activity of “sending the king’s boat”. Thousands of believers gathered in Baoquan palace to witness the triennial folk festival. Since the “King ship” was included in the list of representative works of human intangible cultural heritage a year ago, the “King ship” activity of representative communities in Zhangzhou has regained its luster.

The “King ship” with strange appearance is not just a model. It is completely modeled on Fu ship. The architecture on the ship restores the Xieshan roof in ancient China, and the ship body is painted with painted patterns representing good luck and peace. A “King ship” integrates a number of traditional skills of Southern Fujian.

“The ‘King ship’ in Shikeng community is now built of high-grade fir, which is solid and elegant. The statues and figures on the ship are made with color binding technology, which is lifelike.” Chen Yuanhui, head of Baoquan palace folk custom Learning Center, said that this year’s “King ship” is 8.9 meters long and 2.6 meters wide, “the largest ship since previous activities”.

Among the many temples, Jinfa palace, located in the Jiulong River Basin, is unique. It is the only “Water Temple” in the world, and its process of “sending the king ship” is completed on the water. It is reported that this is highly consistent with the lifestyle inherited by the local dans from generation to generation. Zheng Xiushan, President of the Council of the Jinfa palace, said that the third day of March of the lunar calendar is the birthday of the Jade Emperor. The “please king” invites the “Lord of the open sea” to “live” in the Jinfa palace for half a year to assist the gods enshrined in the temple and ensure the safety of the people. On September 13 of the lunar calendar, a ceremony of “sending the king” will be held.

In November this year, the activity of “sending the king’s boat” held in Jinfa palace added a celebration of successfully being listed as a “world-class intangible cultural heritage”. Yang Hui, a Zhangzhou cultural scholar who has been paying attention to the study of the dans’ customs in Jinfa palace, said that in previous years, the “King ship” turned auspicious on the river beach. This year, there was an additional “King ship” river patrol ceremony.

Experts believe that “sending the king ship” has become an important cultural carrier to connect the community people, promote the harmonious development of the community, and enrich the dialogue and cooperation between Fujian and Taiwan and even between China and Malaysia. It is a positive cultural phenomenon to promote righteousness and standardize behavior, which has been endowed with new era value.

At present, Baoquan palace folk custom Transmission Center encourages more villagers, especially young people, to learn the production skills and related knowledge of “King ship”, so as to ensure the living inheritance and intergenerational inheritance of the project. The younger generation of Zhangzhou Development Zone actively recorded and retained video materials, and publicized the humanistic feelings carried by “sending the king ship” by means of wechat, live broadcast and other new media.

“It was the older generation who did this before. Last year, the” send the king ship “successfully declared a world-class intangible cultural heritage, which made our younger generation realize the importance and urgency of protecting it. Under the leadership of our predecessors, we will do our part in inheriting it in our own way.” Zeng Minggui, a staff member of Baoquan palace, said.

Mansion

The “King ship” sailed to a new channel

Fujian Daily Reporter Lin Zegui

On the hand-made “King ship” with a length of more than 10 meters, colorful flags flutter, the painted dragons are vivid, and the paper people are also vivid… On the 19th, the triennial folk activity of “sending the king ship” was held in Shitang village, Songyu street, Haicang District, Xiamen, attracting thousands of people to participate. On November 28, fanghu society, Heshan street, Huli District, also held a 12-year “send the king ship” activity. Due to the requirements of epidemic prevention and control, the scale and links of the “King ship” between the two places have been reduced, but the scene is still very lively.

In the year when “sending the king ship” was included in the list of representative works of human intangible cultural heritage, more young people participated in ritual practice, and more “ship making” skills entered the campus. Relevant activities extended to cultural festivals, and to strive for activity space for the demolished villages… In Xiamen, the main application city, more and more representative communities and transmission sites paid more attention to its living inheritance and intergenerational inheritance, Strive to write the new “ship” theory of Haisi culture.

Keep the temple and continue to inherit

“Such a characteristic folk activity with a long history is not only people’s Carnival in respect of the sea and their simple desire to pray for peace, but also maintains the feelings of overseas Chinese and their hometown. It must be well inherited!” On the 19th, Ji Changmei, a Nanping native who works and lives in Xiamen, said she was deeply shocked after watching the “King ship” in Shitang, Haicang.

As the central area of the belief of “sending the king ship”, the inheritance and dissemination of “sending the king ship” in Xiamen is the most typical in the contemporary era. At present, 13 communities and villages, including Xiagang, Tapu and Hecuo in Siming District, Pukou, Zhongzhai and fanghu in Huli District, Zhongshan, Shitang, Haicang and Xinlong in Haicang District, lvcuo in Tong’an District and Houcun in Xiang’an District, retain large-scale folk activities of “sending King ships”.

“The ‘King sending ships’ in these 13 places are similar. They are generally held every three or four years at the beginning of the northeast monsoon in autumn. Most of them have’ King welcoming and King sending ceremonies’.” Shi Yilong, a retired professor in the Department of Anthropology and Ethnology at Xiamen University, said that at the beginning of the ceremony, people gathered at the seaside to welcome the “Lord”