众生平等，我们都是赌徒（测试）

miles@newsletter.paragraph.com (麦思_miles) — Mon, 22 Nov 2021 08:33:33 GMT

本质上，我们都是预言家，买股票，看的是未来一段时间涨价，你预期它会涨；做投机，你做多，你预言未来几分钟甚至几个小时股票会涨，做空，预言未来会跌。投资或者投资的真正可怕之处，就是一旦你预计错误，你将会拿着你的真金白银去实践，如果说好听一些，你是去投资，如果说不好听，就是去睹，其实我们从生下来的那一刻开始，就在开始赌博，只是你没有发现而已。

众生平等，我们都是赌徒

Buying stock in Amazon or pPet.com in 2000 was a bet on how the next decade would look, Getting married can be a bet on how you’ll feel about someone over the next half-century.It’s a big deal,right?

当然，如果你有预言未来的能力，这一切都不是赌，这就是你生活中很普通的片段而已。

Chinese God of Wealth

A bubble is an objectively irrational shared belief in a potential future
Buying stock it would have been partly a matter of luck.
the two things that kill a company during a bubble are excessive optimism,and the unwillingness to be sufficiently optimistic.
one way to mitigate this is to build a business around maximizing future,rather than present,hype.
At the peak of optimism,some companies will be tempted to announce vaporware,to bring investors closer and push competitors further away.
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