I will be sharing my impressions of the market and the current situation here from time to time.

-end of the introduction-

Let's start with Bitcoin.

The 100,000 mark has fallen. Even at the weekly close!!!

We are now in the up-only phase.

What makes me think that? Well, let's take a look at the chart

Bitcoin loves it to pump in 5 stages.

1. Stage: Initial pump

2. Stage: Consolidating

3. Stage: Second pump

4. Stage: little correction

5. Stage: Final pump

As you can see: After the breakout over 100.000 we entered the 3. Stage.

For now we have a ~30% upside potential. After that we will get a ~21% bounce back.

If you look at the timeline of the past cycles, you will see a dip at the "Day250 after halving" - mark.

This correction phase will last about ~25 days (historical) and will begin at ~ 12/26/2024.

The 4. Stage ends exactly when Mr. Trump takes office on 01/20/2025

-I wonder if that's a coincidence? I don't think so-

How high will it pumps? I don't know. The boxes in the chart only shows the average of the past fractals.

But this fractals can predict the timeframes pretty good.

So my prediction for the end of the final stage will be around 02/19/2025

What will happen after Feb 2025? Well... we will see.

There are many factors on which the further course depends. USDT.D, BTC.D, interest rates, etc.

I will publish another blog post soon in which I share my thoughts on this.

Stay tuned