The Night Hunter https://paragraph.com/@The-Night-Hunter undefined Fri, 03 Jul 2026 18:01:35 GMT https://validator.w3.org/feed/docs/rss2.html https://github.com/jpmonette/feed en All rights reserved <![CDATA[Bitcoin surprised three "black swans"! The hidden danger of selling pressure coins is big. Who can "support" the market this week?]]> https://paragraph.com/@The-Night-Hunter/bitcoin-surprised-three-black-swans-the-hidden-danger-of-selling-pressure-coins-is-big-who-can-support-the-market-this-week LZ1Q4M9OWxpe1V8CEFUN Wed, 15 Jan 2025 03:15:34 GMT Three potential black swans are about to hit this week. The yen will hike interest rates, the U.S. bond cap, and the cpi rebound will be tested in turn. The global capital market is likely to face another critical blow! Do you know that there will be an unexpected shock before Wang comes to the stage? At present, the most worrying thing in the global capital market is that the US dollar index is rushing up 110. It feels like the water level is rising vigorously, and it doesn't pass the top of the head, which makes people breathless. Once the dollar index breaks through 110, all kinds of global assets, including the currency circle, will have to plunge sharply. However, this week, it is likely that three "black swans" will emerge one after another, pushing the dollar index up. The first "black swan" is expected to raise interest rates by the Bank of Japan. There was an interest rate meeting at the end of January, but there was no window guidance to the market last week. Everyone's eyes were focused on the last key window this Tuesday. At that time, Kazuo Ueda, Governor of the Bank of Japan, is likely to communicate with the market. Once there is a hawkish interest rate hike signal, the market is afraid that there will be a "big earthquake" this week, and the market will plummet. Let's look at the second "black swan", the expiration of the upper limit of U.S. bonds. Don't think it's a replay of the old tune. Even if it is solved on time this time, it will not be good but good. Why? Because as soon as the problem is solved, the U.S. government will rush to issue debt, which will absorb a large amount of market liquidity and drain idle funds. The liquidity of U.S. stocks, commodities and Bitcoin will be in a series of cases of liquidity and will be brutally killed. At present, the U.S. Bank of deposit reserves is approaching the lower limit of 8%. If the upper limit of U.S. bonds triggers a liquidity crisis again, the Federal Reserve is likely to be able to suspend or simply end the shrinkage to save the market, which may become the key straw for the market's "resurrection". There is also a "black swan" that has to be guarded against, that is, the U.S. December inflation CPI, which is closely watched by the market, will be announced next week. It is reported that the CPI is likely to rebound this time. Although the main reason is the low base in the same period last year, the market is now full of plants and trees. Investors are like drowning people, looking forward to the "life-saving straw" of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, treating it as the only small board to seize the vitality. But the reality is very cruel, and this "life-saving boat" does not seem to be reliable. As soon as the data of the big non-agricultural market came out last week, it far exceeded expectations. The market trend changed sharply. Everyone speculated that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates at most once this year, or even not cut interest rates at all. The boat of friendship will turn over. So which of these three black swans will break through the market this week? Do you know that there will be an unexpected shock before Wang comes to the stage? Why is Trump's inaugure a turning point? On the one hand, if he "shouts orders" for cryptocurrencies when he takes office, it will undoubtedly inject a dose of emotional "strong heart injection" into the market, which is a great benefit. Even if you don't do this, don't panic. Look at the officials he appointed, from the chairman of the SEC, the finance minister, to the encryption consultant, most of whom are friendly to the encryption field. In addition, it was previously revealed that after Trump took office on January 20, he would at least introduce a policy that was beneficial to the encryption industry, such as promoting ETH's ETF pledge application and imitation coins' ETF-related matters. Sol had already submitted an application before. Therefore, the key depends on the strength of the policy implementation after Trump came to power, and the market will basically follow this result.

Looking back on history, we will find that in the 100 days after the inauguration of the new president of the United States, the risk market often has a brilliant performance, which is a well-founded historical law. However, there is no absolute in the world. If you encounter extreme situations, it will be another matter. Therefore, friends who have already entered the market should pay close attention to the cost. If the cost is high, you may as well hang the order to pull the average price and reduce the risk as much as possible. If you haven't entered yet, don't worry. Be patient and wait for the right trading signal to appear. Stable entry is the best policy. In addition, many counterfeit coins are facing unlocking this week, and their market value should not be underestimated. In this case, if you want to lay out counterfeit coins, you should pay more attention, try to avoid these projects that are about to be unlocked, and don't accidentally step on the "thunder" and let your investment be wasted.

]]> the-night-hunter@newsletter.paragraph.com (Mechanical public enemy)