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Housing affordability in Canada

Brandon Donnelly avatar Brandon Donnelly
Cover image for Housing affordability in Canada

By some measures, housing affordability is, in aggregate, the worst it has been in Canada going back to the 1980s. Below is a chart from RBC showing homeownership costs as a percentage of median household income.

The previous spike came around the early 90s, but following that, we saw 3 decades of relative affordability. In fact, for a large portion of this timeline, condo apartments look to be hovering around 1/3 of median household income. This is a common rule of thumb for measuring affordability.

Now obviously things changed pretty dramatically during the pandemic. But that time has ended and a reset is underway. New housing supply has slowed dramatically . Developers are sitting on record levels of inventory. And sellers of all shapes and sizes are clinging, as best they can, to yesterday's prices.

With so much uncertainty, it's challenging, if not impossible, to know exactly how all of this will play out in the coming years. But I suspect that, as time goes on, the above chart is going to start to mirror what we saw in the early and mid-90's. In other words, affordability is going to improve.

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