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The real story behind Toronto’s stalled population growth

Brandon Donnelly avatar Brandon Donnelly
Cover image for The real story behind Toronto’s stalled population growth

How quickly things can change. In 2024, the Toronto Census Metropolitan Area was the fastest-growing region in Canada and the US. Then, last year, it lost around 1,000 people and dropped to 443rd place. See above chart. The obvious explanation is Canada's concerted effort to reduce temporary workers and international students. But actually, Toronto is still one of the top regions when it comes to net international migration, adding 53,000 people in 2025. The real story, according to recent analysis from the Centre for Urban Research and Land Development at TMU, is that Toronto has simply gotten too expensive, driving massive domestic out-migration. Last year, Toronto lost 77,500 people this way, wiping out its natural growth and its net international migration gains. This is our regular reminder that we need to be far better at delivering attainable housing at scale.


Cover photo by Frank Huang

Chart from The Globe and Mail

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Daily insights for city builders. Published since 2013 by Toronto-based real estate developer Brandon Donnelly.