LooksRare Economic Model Interpretation and Valuation Analysis

LOOKS allocation

Total amount: 1B

Allocation:

  • Airdrop 12%

  • Strategic Investment 3.3%

  • Liquidity Management 1.7%

  • Trading Reward 44.1%

  • Staking Reward 18.9%

  • Team 10%

  • Treasury 10%

Unlocking period: two-year linear unlocking

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Value Capture

100% #LooksRare's trading fees are distributed LOOKS stakers. Staking users can also receive a total of 18.9% of $LOOKS Staking rewards.

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Trade Mining

For the first 30 days, 2,866,500 $LOOKS per day will be distributed to buyers and sellers according to the transaction volume.

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Trade Mining Cost and Income

Trading cost : 2% transaction fee + 5%~10% copyright fee(set by NFT creators) + Gas Fee.

If choose to trade with NFTs of no copyright, our average cost is 2%.

Based on yesterday's trading volume of $325B, our trade on LookSware is profitable.

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Valuation Analysis

#Opensea's latest round of financing is valued at $13B. According to the burning data of Ethereum, LooksRare is 1/5 of Opensea.

So a reasonable estimate of LooksRare is $2.6B FDV.

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According to transaction volume, the transaction volume of #LooksRare on January 10 was still 1/5 of that of Opensea, but with the introduction of trade mining incentives, the transaction volume of #LooksRare on January 11 was more than twice of #opensea.

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It can be seen from the transaction volume ranking that #LooksRare and #opensea don't overlap, so there are many wash traders. This phenomenon is more pronounced in the first 30 days, so #LooksRare is valued at less than $2.6B.

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Summary

  • #LooksRare's valuation below $2.6B.

  • 2 year release cycle is fast.

  • The team is anonymous and GitHub has no content, so the transparency is low.

  • If the daily trading volume in the first 30 days is less than $427M, using 2 accounts to trade with each other is profitable.