Brandon Donnelly — Daily insights for city builders. Published since 2013 by Toronto-based real estate developer Brandon Donnelly. — Page 283

When we build next to transit, we often call this transit-oriented development. 

What’s interesting about this moniker is that it implies we’re doing something a little special — something out of the ordinary. And I guess that makes sense because, in many cities, it is often out of the ordinary. 

That’s why you don’t hear people at real estate conferences saying, “check out this new cutting edge car-oriented development that our firm is developing.” That doesn’t need to be specified.

But at the end of the day, I’m not sure how special transit-oriented development really is; it’s basically just urban development. Meaning, you put density on top of and next to transit stations and then more people take transit. That’s how this works.

On that note, here is an interesting study from the School of Cities that looked at Toronto’s transit network and how the populations around each station have changed (or not changed) between 1996 and 2021 (census data). 

If you look at the various transit lines, you’ll see that, in some cases, like downtown, we have added a lot of new transit-oriented development. This is good. Populations increased. 

But in many/most other cases, populations remained flat; or worse, they declined. This is a serious problem, and it shows how land use restrictions are forcing us to underutilize our existing transit assets.

Maybe what we need to do is stop thinking about transit-oriented development as something special, and instead remind ourselves that this is standard operating procedure. It’s just what you do next to transit.

Thanks to Sam Kulendran for sharing the above study with me.

“I think that street art is illegal and it has to stay illegal.” --Invader

I was in an Uber on the Don Valley Parkway today and, for some reason, all of the graffiti on its sound barriers caught my attention in a way that it hasn't before. Maybe it's because I don't travel enough by car or maybe the highway people haven't yet done their spring cleaning. Either way, I caught myself thinking, "Hey, a lot of this looks pretty cool. Here are boring and utilitarian sound barriers that have been covered with colorful things."

Of course, street art is a tricky thing. Because, at the end of the day, it is, as French artist Invader says, illegal. It is an act of vandalism. And so there is a fine line between street art and criminal behaviour. When I leave my home in the morning and I discover that someone has spray painted nonsense on one of its exterior walls, it absolutely pisses me off. How about I come spray paint your home?

But what if it wasn't nonsense? What if Invader had decided to " invade " Toronto and I instead found a pixelated neon green Pac-Man outside of my lobby? It would still be illegal and it would still be vandalism, but I would frankly feel excited that Invader had decided to come and bestow my home with one of his art pieces. I would then proceed to take a picture and send it to all of my family and friends.

Now, obviously it makes a difference when it's a known artist. Context matters. But Invader had to start his illegal pursuits somewhere. And I find it interesting to think about the line where something is able to pass, in our minds, from being an illegal nuisance to a desirable art piece. I experienced moments of that along the Don Valley Parkway today.

One of my arguments around return to office is that we have not yet reached a post-pandemic equilibrium. Meaning, we're still in the process of coming back and it's probably too early to say where exactly we will end up.

The latest data ( above ) from the Strategic Regional Research Alliance (which is for Toronto) seems to suggest exactly this. Office occupancy continues to steadily increase from its low point in the middle of COVID.

We are now seeing an average weekly occupancy of 63%, a low day occupancy (Friday) of 40%, and a peak day occupancy (Wednesday) of 73%. All of these figures are relative to the number of people working in offices prior to the pandemic.

It is, once again, hard to say where this will ultimately settle. But my gut tells me that this climb still has a ways to go.