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251222 Merlin Monday Summary

TL;DR

đŸŸ Merlin’s Path & Coinbase Validation

  • Grew from fair launch & inscriptions into BTCFi mainstream.

  • Coinbase perpetual listing confirms execution, compliance, and scale, not hype.

🍂 Ordinals & BRC-20 Reality Check

  • Ordinals weren’t “dead,” they sparked experimentation, then attention moved on.

  • BRC-20 declined due to fee leakage, fragmentation, and no shared liquidity, not Runes.

đŸ”¶ Bitcoin Ecosystem Gaps

  • Lacks coordination, leadership, and collaboration compared to ETH/Solana.

  • Too many isolated standards, too little ecosystem-level thinking.

Merlin’s Direction: Independent, Bitcoin-Native

  • Staying rooted in Bitcoin while building BTCFi, liquidity, and L2 bridges.

  • 2026 focus: liquidity first, risk-managed BTCFi, quietly incubating AI for the right moment.


Summary

Merlin’s Journey Through This Cycle: From Fair Launch to BTCFi Mainstream

Jeff: Looking back, this cycle really started in 2023, when there was no clear new narrative, until inscriptions and fair launch took over. It wasn’t just Bitcoin ordinals; we saw inscriptions everywhere, and fair launch became the core theme people cared about. During that phase, Merlin grew alongside multiple BTC-native experiments and products.

At the time, BTCFi was widely misunderstood, many thought it was unnecessary or even a scam, believing Bitcoin should just sit in wallets. But fast forward to today, BTCFi has moved into the mainstream. Institutions, governments, and major ecosystems are now discussing Bitcoin yield, bridging, and on-chain usage. Even large players are actively exploring it.

For me, the journey has been meaningful not just financially, but structurally, watching an idea go from ignored to inevitable. It’s rewarding to reflect on what we got right, what we got wrong, and how the ecosystem itself evolved, sometimes in healthy ways, sometimes not, but always forward.

Are Ordinals Really “Dead”?

Jeff: Looking back, the idea of “Ordinals are dead” actually started very early, even before the hype peaked in 2023. I still have one of the very first inscriptions literally saying “Ordinals are dead” in my wallet. Back then, despite low prices and skepticism, builders were everywhere. At the first Ordinals summit in Singapore, almost every core contributor showed up. We weren’t talking about price, but about new ideas like recursive inscriptions, novel inscription formats, and long-term experiments. Many of those ideas only materialized after that moment.

What’s interesting is that today, it’s not that Ordinals collapsed overnight. It’s that people stopped even arguing about whether they’re dead. Attention moved on. For me, that silence says more than the debate ever did. Ordinals weren’t just a hype cycle; they were a phase that sparked real experimentation. And like many early narratives in crypto, they didn’t disappear, they evolved, fragmented, and made room for what came next.

BRC-20’s Decline and Why Bitcoin Failed to Form a Real Ecosystem

Jeff: I don’t think BRC-20 would have survived regardless of Runes. This wasn’t about Casey or any single decision. Every asset ecosystem goes through cycles, and 90% drawdowns are normal across crypto. BRC-20 had deeper structural issues.

First, the cost structure was fundamentally broken. Unlike EVM ecosystems where liquidity stays in pools, BRC-20 burned massive value into miner fees. That money didn’t circulate; it disappeared. In my view, this alone drained long-term sustainability.

Second, Bitcoin lacks real collaboration. Builders focused on launching slightly different standards instead of working together. Everyone was minting new assets, not building shared liquidity, infrastructure, or composability. That’s not an ecosystem, that’s fragmentation.

In Ethereum or Solana, different players specialize and cooperate. DEXs, wallets, bridges, NFTs, all reinforcing each other. Bitcoin didn’t do that. There’s no foundation, no coordination layer, and too much politics. Builders chased short-term gains instead of long-term alignment.

So no, Runes didn’t kill BRC-20. The real issue was structural inefficiency, value leakage, and the absence of collective ecosystem thinking. Until Bitcoin builders learn to work together, it will keep repeating the same cycle under new names.

The Leadership Vacuum in Bitcoin’s Ecosystem

Jeff: Yeah, I agree. The core issue with Bitcoin is responsibility. Unlike Ethereum or Solana, there’s no founder figure or foundation to coordinate builders, and that creates a vacuum. When we built the Merlin ecosystem, I experienced this firsthand. Someone has to step up to organize roles, align incentives, and reduce destructive competition, even though it’s heavy, thankless work.

On Merlin, we didn’t try to control everything. Instead, we helped strong teams grow, connected protocols after launch, and focused on collaboration rather than fragmentation. That’s why liquidity and momentum could actually compound. In Bitcoin, though, everyone was acting independently. Builders weren’t talking to each other, liquidity was split, and politics often mattered more than progress.

I’m not saying it had to be centralized, but someone needed to take coordination seriously, regular communication, shared goals, and ecosystem-level thinking. Without that, Bitcoin never really became an ecosystem. It became a collection of isolated projects competing for short-term gains.

Merlin’s Coinbase Milestone and What Real Leadership Looks Like

Jeff: The Coinbase perpetual listing wasn’t luck. We applied in Q2 and went through months of deep review, covering regulation, custody, token mechanics, liquidity, volume, and team execution. Passing that process means MERL is now recognized as a major player like we already ranked CMC Top 100, and future integrations become structurally easier.

What matters to me is delivery. As a founder, you don’t just make promises or act as a symbolic OG. You take responsibility and execute. Many projects hide behind “decentralization” to avoid accountability, and that’s how ecosystems fade. We’ve done the opposite: step by step, we delivered what we said we would.

As Merlin grows, more attention comes with it. Even routine things like monthly unlocks get amplified now, not because anything changed, but because we’re big enough to matter. Seeing MERL ranked alongside or above projects like Stacks, Starknet, and nearing OP, Jupiter, and PancakeSwap shows consistent execution compounds.

This is just one milestone, but it confirms the direction: build seriously, take responsibility, and let results speak.

Merlin’s Independent Path, While Staying Rooted in Bitcoin

Jeff: I see Merlin growing on its own path, but still deeply connected to Bitcoin. From the start, we believed in retail users, real communities, and BTC-native innovation, and that hasn’t changed. Whether it’s Ordinals, Runes, or future Layer 1 and Layer 2 breakthroughs around Bitcoin assets, I continue to support them both personally and structurally.

We started from very early experiments, building recursive art and exploring new ideas when the ecosystem was still raw. Today, Merlin is more mature, but we’re still focused on bridging users, assets, and liquidity between Bitcoin and Layer 2 in a meaningful way. I don’t think Bitcoin-native assets are “over.” Some may be quiet now, but revival is always possible if real builders and real users come back, not just short-term capital.

So yes, Merlin will always carry that Bitcoin DNA. Not out of nostalgia, but because Bitcoin assets are the strongest link between users, liquidity, and long-term on-chain adoption.

Merlin’s 2026 Strategy: Liquidity First, Build Through Cycles

Jeff: Looking ahead to 2026, my view is very grounded. Liquidity is the real issue right now, after the shocks in late 2025, capital across the market is tighter than most people expected, even for big traders and funds. That reality shapes everything we do next.

For Merlin, the focus is clear. We will continue building around BTCFi, but we won’t force narratives that aren’t ready. If the flow isn’t there, we adapt. Going with the market matters more than fighting it. At the same time, we’re quietly incubating and investing in new products, especially around AI, waiting for the right angle where real users and real volume can emerge.

The biggest lesson from this cycle is simple: stay practical. No empty slogans, no oversized promises. Just build, manage risk, and survive. If you survive, you’ll be there when the next real bull run arrives.