All Worlds End in an AI Singularity
All long-running fictional universes inevitably converge on an AI singularity. If a setting allows for compounding progress and automation, cognition eventually collapses in on itself. It appears to be universal and unavoidable. To continue the story, fiction authors must employ metering devices or apocalyptic events to reverse the singularity and recenter the story on humans. They have to do this because a singularity, by definition, is a point beyond which you cannot project or predict. The...
All Worlds End in an AI Singularity
All long-running fictional universes inevitably converge on an AI singularity. If a setting allows for compounding progress and automation, cognition eventually collapses in on itself. It appears to be universal and unavoidable. To continue the story, fiction authors must employ metering devices or apocalyptic events to reverse the singularity and recenter the story on humans. They have to do this because a singularity, by definition, is a point beyond which you cannot project or predict. The...
The Turing Scale
Measuring AI in a Post-Turing Test World
The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Tiny AI Models
Everyone’s obsessed with LARGE language models. That's understandable, after all, that's what LLM stands for. These are the premier models, requiring massive data centers that consume vast amounts of energy to stay cool and utilize every conceivable GPU to harness the planet's mass into intelligence. They're measured in hundreds of billions of parameters and represent the cutting edge of what's possible. But while everyone watches the giants, something stranger is hap...
The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Tiny AI Models
Everyone’s obsessed with LARGE language models. That's understandable, after all, that's what LLM stands for. These are the premier models, requiring massive data centers that consume vast amounts of energy to stay cool and utilize every conceivable GPU to harness the planet's mass into intelligence. They're measured in hundreds of billions of parameters and represent the cutting edge of what's possible. But while everyone watches the giants, something stranger is hap...
Web3 Growth Primitives
In web3, we face two questions: What to build and how to build it? There are plenty of ideas to answer the first question. All or none of them could work at different times and for various reasons related to investability, market sentiment, and regulation. The second question, of how to build, is more critical because it determines how many spins of the wheel we get and whether momentum compounds once a winner is hit. Successful founders will unanimously tell you that the game changes from bu...
Web3 Growth Primitives
In web3, we face two questions: What to build and how to build it? There are plenty of ideas to answer the first question. All or none of them could work at different times and for various reasons related to investability, market sentiment, and regulation. The second question, of how to build, is more critical because it determines how many spins of the wheel we get and whether momentum compounds once a winner is hit. Successful founders will unanimously tell you that the game changes from bu...
