TTD: UNPRECEDENTED INSIDER BUYING. Fact: CEO Jeff Green bought 6M shares for $148M on the open market. Stock +18% in a day. Logic: Market expects a strategic partnership with OpenAI. This isn’t just support — it’s a signal of a major catalyst. TRADE: Bias LONG, Entry Pullbacks (after impulse), Size Tactical 1–5%, Timing Early, Confidence 9/10. Stop: Denied partnership rumors.

NVDA/AMD: NEW MARGIN TAX. Fact: 15% of AI chip revenue in China → US government for export licenses. Logic: This isn’t just a "cost" — it’s structural margin compression. Revenue quality is changing permanently. TRADE: Bias SHORT / Underweight, Entry Sell into strength, Size Tactical 1–5%, Timing Early (Q2 earnings), Confidence 7/10. Stop: 100% pass-through into pricing.

ASML: MATCH Act Kill Switch. Fact: Bill restricts DUV exports + servicing in China via FDPR. 150 days for allies. Logic: Not just equipment sales at risk, but also stable service revenue. China = political discount. TRADE: Bias SHORT / Avoid, Entry Continuation / resistance tests, Size Tactical 1–5%, Timing Mid (bill in progress), Confidence 8/10.

MU/EWY: ROTATION INTO MEMORY (CORE BET). Fact: Appaloosa (Tepper) ×2.5 stake in Micron + $182M in Korea ETF. Logic: Smart money exits logic chips → memory infrastructure. HBM = next AI bottleneck. TRADE: Bias LONG, Entry Trend continuation, Size CORE 5–10%, Timing Mid (rotation ongoing), Confidence 9/10. Stop: AI CAPEX slowdown.

LMT/Defense AI: BYPASSING EU TENDERS. Fact: Denmark → Lockheed radars via Article 346 (national security exemption). Pentagon: $47M AI-coding. Logic: Procurement shifts from bureaucracy → urgency model. Defense tech = structural theme. TRADE: Bias LONG (sector), Entry ETF breakouts, Size CORE 5–10%, Timing Early/Mid, Confidence 8/10.

BR: DEFENSIVE INSIDER. Fact: CEO bought $1.03M in shares after a 4-year option grant. Logic: Proxy processing = unbreakable franchise. Margin confidence signal. TRADE: Bias LONG, Entry Pullbacks, Size CORE 5–10%, Timing Early, Confidence 7/10.

BMNR/RGTI: Founders Fund bets. Fact: Peter Thiel structures: 100% BMNR (immersion cooling), 90% RGTI (quantum). Logic: Venture-style public market exposure. Long duration, binary payoff. TRADE: Bias LONG (spec), Entry LEAPS / risk-defined, Size <1–2%, Timing Very long, Confidence 5/10.