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May 30

WAGMI: The %TOTAL Maximizer

This short story about “AI on blockchain” was originally published at my Substack on November 24, 2021, and is republished here with very minor changes as the first entry on my Mirror blog. In the half a year since I wrote it, the concerns implicitly raised in it have become far more acute. Predicted timelines for the appearance of “weak AGI” at Metaculus have compressed sharply in the past few months, as the scaling hypothesis - that is, the concept that banal increases in model size lead to...

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