To sum up, this book mainly tells us three things:

The first point is to be alert to black swan events. Even if a chance can make a lot of money, if the result cannot be tolerated, it is not worth doing.

The second point is to learn to use probabilistic thinking to think about problems, which will give us a great indication of our choices in life.

The third point is to pay attention to the fallacy of survivorship bias, learn to find those missing samples, and don’t be fooled by rare success stories.

To avoid the above misunderstandings, we must not rely on the original path, try our best to live like a blank sheet of paper every day, and avoid noise pollution and shield irrelevant information.