Cover photo

How to construct an alpha signal when the Opensea API is not correctly functioning?

Hi, it’s pinner.

The NFT tool pass meta in April reminds everyone how we need a good tool. However, most of the website only provides different information. And it’s up to user to interpret it.

Why don’t they provide a direct alpha signal?

First of all, Opensea API is not correctly functioning. It lacks some of the sales and people are not able to reconstruct the floor price of a collection.

Secondly, the rarity makes it complicated to define the price. We will never sell a zombie cryptopunk at 50 eth (current floor price of a punk) for example.

So how did I process it?

It’s quite hard to say. But I’ll just show some image below:

The floor price of Killer GF collection, reconstructed with Opensea API
The floor price of Killer GF collection, reconstructed with Opensea API

It’s clear that if some sales are not broadcasted by Opensea, and the floor price will be totally fucked up (blue line, 0 quantile).

This can be solved, with a mysterious way:

The floor price reconstructed in a mysterious way
The floor price reconstructed in a mysterious way

So, if we deal with the floor price NFTs (like the idea of NFTX), we do have a price. Anyway we know that we can buy at this price and sell not far from this price.

And Bang!

My alpha signal. red = buy, gray = sell
My alpha signal. red = buy, gray = sell

If we use a simple threshold at -0.5/0.5, we have the following entry/quit:

Entry/quit. Attention the scale of x-axis is not the same as the one above.
Entry/quit. Attention the scale of x-axis is not the same as the one above.

We have around 3 breaks even entries, whereas the third circle gains 0.4 eth.

This is only the beginning. I’m currently crowd funding to make this online. Mint the squarez (by the way the idea was to fuck the April meta with this NFT hehe) to get the first signal access when it is done. The mint price is very low since I can’t offer you much so far, but it will worth it.

Mint site:

https://pinner-studio.xyz

Join me on discord/twitter!

https://discord.gg/TQUJks2yDZ

https://twitter.com/Squarez_NFT

Author’s twitter. I can be doxxed with the information.

https://twitter.com/wayne567tw1