I haven’t posted in a while, mainly busy with a number of things, including the f(o)unding of @aori_io. Now that the market’s resolved (way overdue), I thought I’d do an introspective writeup on the US presidential election prediction markets and detail some of the stuff I learnt and some of the strategies that I ran. I had to do a lot of learning as a non-US-citizen very new to US politics, so here details a lot of that research, combined with some knowledge. Of course, this is not financial...