I just put $100.00 behind my claim:
"Opinion markets will matter in 2026 — but we need to be careful what we optimize for.
I think opinion markets are going to be an important meta in 2026.
Not because they magically surface “truth,” but because they force people to care a little more about what they say. Money—used carefully—can turn a drive-by take into something closer to a conviction.
That’s the part I agree with wholeheartedly.
But after reading Confetti’s rebrand post, I keep coming back to a concern that feels important to articulate early, while this space is still forming.
*What exactly are we trying to incentivize?*
Confetti is very clear about its answer: opinion markets as a social game. You buy votes, rally friends, move a price curve, and if you’re early and on the winning side, you earn. Conviction is expressed through timing and risk.
There’s nothing incoherent about this. In fact, it’s probably the most legible way to get people..."
Do you agree? Put your money where your mouth is.