Has the Bitcoin Four-Year Cycle Broken Down?
1. The Cycle That Doesn’t Feel Like One From the April 2024 halving to the October 2025 all-time high of $125 k, Bitcoin took 18 months—right on schedule if you still count in “halving time”. But the ride was eerily calm: no 30 % daily candles, no taxi-driver shills, no Coin App store-top downloads. The blow-off top lasted three weeks and gave back 25 % in a single month. Retail never showed up; dominance is still 59 %. Alts rotated, but in short, disjointed bursts. Net result: a 7-8 × bounce...
Has the Bitcoin Four-Year Cycle Broken Down?
1. The Cycle That Doesn’t Feel Like One From the April 2024 halving to the October 2025 all-time high of $125 k, Bitcoin took 18 months—right on schedule if you still count in “halving time”. But the ride was eerily calm: no 30 % daily candles, no taxi-driver shills, no Coin App store-top downloads. The blow-off top lasted three weeks and gave back 25 % in a single month. Retail never showed up; dominance is still 59 %. Alts rotated, but in short, disjointed bursts. Net result: a 7-8 × bounce...
Why Do We Still Need Bitcoin After 17 Years?
Background & Current State: Bitcoin was born during the 2008 financial crisis, designed to address trust issues in the centralized financial system. Seventeen years later, global debt crises have intensified (U.S. national debt stands at $38 trillion, with annual interest payments of $1.2 trillion), exposing the fragility of the traditional financial system. Core Value:Decentralization & Inflation Resistance: With a fixed supply of 21 million coins, Bitcoin cannot be over-issued, offering an ...
Why Do We Still Need Bitcoin After 17 Years?
Background & Current State: Bitcoin was born during the 2008 financial crisis, designed to address trust issues in the centralized financial system. Seventeen years later, global debt crises have intensified (U.S. national debt stands at $38 trillion, with annual interest payments of $1.2 trillion), exposing the fragility of the traditional financial system. Core Value:Decentralization & Inflation Resistance: With a fixed supply of 21 million coins, Bitcoin cannot be over-issued, offering an ...
Bitcoin’s “SegWit” Trilogy in One Cheat-Sheet
0. 30-Second TL;DRSegWit v1 (2017) – move signatures out of 1 MB block → 4 MB weight, fix malleability, enable Lightning.SegWit v2 = Taproot (2021) – new sig algorithm (Schnorr), Merkelise scripts (MAST), shrink multi-sig, hide complex contracts, make Ordinals possible.SegWit v3 = Taproot Assets (2024-25) – keep asset data off-chain in “Universes”, anchor only proofs on-chain, give assets their own VM (TAP-VM) that can evolve toward Turing-complete while Bitcoin stays unchanged. → Path: pure ...
Bitcoin’s “SegWit” Trilogy in One Cheat-Sheet
0. 30-Second TL;DRSegWit v1 (2017) – move signatures out of 1 MB block → 4 MB weight, fix malleability, enable Lightning.SegWit v2 = Taproot (2021) – new sig algorithm (Schnorr), Merkelise scripts (MAST), shrink multi-sig, hide complex contracts, make Ordinals possible.SegWit v3 = Taproot Assets (2024-25) – keep asset data off-chain in “Universes”, anchor only proofs on-chain, give assets their own VM (TAP-VM) that can evolve toward Turing-complete while Bitcoin stays unchanged. → Path: pure ...
Poland's Draft Crypto Asset Bill Passes: Regulatory Upgrade with Significantly Higher Licensing Barriers
On September 26, 2025, Poland’s lower house passed the draft "Crypto-Assets Market Act," marking a new phase of comprehensive licensing regulation for the country’s crypto regulatory system. The bill aligns deeply with the EU’s MiCA framework, with key provisions including: Regulatory Scope: The bill covers crypto asset service providers (including trading platforms, wallet custody, payment settlement, etc.), token issuers, and foreign service providers. All operators must be licensed. Licens...
Poland's Draft Crypto Asset Bill Passes: Regulatory Upgrade with Significantly Higher Licensing Barriers
On September 26, 2025, Poland’s lower house passed the draft "Crypto-Assets Market Act," marking a new phase of comprehensive licensing regulation for the country’s crypto regulatory system. The bill aligns deeply with the EU’s MiCA framework, with key provisions including: Regulatory Scope: The bill covers crypto asset service providers (including trading platforms, wallet custody, payment settlement, etc.), token issuers, and foreign service providers. All operators must be licensed. Licens...
The Altseason Is Dead: Adapt or Die
Comfort Is the Enemy of Truth This article will bruise egos. Most readers will rage-quit halfway because the truth itches like cheap wool. I’m not here to coddle you; I’m here to pop the blister you call “hope.” If you are still praying for a universal “altseason,” you have already lost. It has been almost three years since Bitcoin carved out its last-cycle bottom at ~$15–20 k. In crypto, three years is a geological era—enough time for empires to fossilize. While you waited, your bags petrifi...
The Altseason Is Dead: Adapt or Die
Comfort Is the Enemy of Truth This article will bruise egos. Most readers will rage-quit halfway because the truth itches like cheap wool. I’m not here to coddle you; I’m here to pop the blister you call “hope.” If you are still praying for a universal “altseason,” you have already lost. It has been almost three years since Bitcoin carved out its last-cycle bottom at ~$15–20 k. In crypto, three years is a geological era—enough time for empires to fossilize. While you waited, your bags petrifi...
