📉 Prediction Markets Say Bitcoin Won’t Hit $100K in 2025 — Odds Drop to 30%
BTC is struggling to reclaim momentum after the Fed rate cut, and prediction markets now price in only a 29–34% chance that Bitcoin touches $100,000 before Jan. 1.
Key reasons sentiment flipped:
- Macro uncertainty and the post-FOMC fade continue to weigh on risk assets.
- Treasury buyers are slowing down — institutional appetite looks exhausted short term.
- BTC is stuck under heavy resistance at $93.3K–$94K, the yearly open.
Technically, BTC is forming an ascending triangle, but unless bulls can reclaim and hold above $94K, upside remains capped. Even a breakout may only reach the $98K liquidity zone, not a full push to $100K.
Meanwhile, prediction markets still give a 65% chance that Strategy (MSTR) adds another 1,000+ BTC this week — but not enough to shift the macro trend alone.
🏦 Yes, Trump’s comments definitely sound bullish for crypto, strong rhetoric about the U.S. “dominating” China in Bitcoin and blockchain fits perfectly into the current geopolitical narrative.
But let’s stay objective: price action still matters.
BTC remains under key resistance, and macro uncertainty hasn’t gone anywhere.
