Why AI enthusiasts are panicking that AI has reached a plateau.
They were spoiled by perceived ultraspeed (🔴) during the initial 5 months (Nov'22 GPT-3.5 — March'23 GPT-4), quickly moving from 0 to level-3 paradigm to level-4 paradigm.
That led them to inflated expectations: "AGI next year".
And since those expectations were not met, they are now starting to believe that AI has stalled or reached diminishing returns.
The paradox of AI:
can solve humanity's current existential risks
can become a new existential risk itself
Solves: energy depletion, pandemics, climate change, meteorite collisions, global governance challenges...
Introduces: misaligned ASI, AI-powered totalitarianism, AI-powered lone-actor terrorism, AGI-associated genocide incentive
THE BIG HISTORY OF AI:
from Big Bang to ASI
I've condensed the state-of-the-art research in Big History into this 30-minute journey from the origin of our universe to the 4th evolutionary epoch that ASI is about to initiate.
https://youtu.be/Sqs_tMdyu0Q
