Key Takeaways:Bitcoin’s correlations with stocks and gold have recently dropped to near-zero levels, suggesting a decoupling phase from traditional assets—typically observed during major market catalysts or shocks.While Bitcoin exhibits low correlation with interest rates, shifts in monetary policy still influence its performance. During the 2022–2023 tightening cycle, Bitcoin showed strong negative correlation with rate hikes.Despite its "digital gold" moniker, Bitcoin historically displays ...

Key Takeaways:Bitcoin’s correlations with stocks and gold have recently dropped to near-zero levels, suggesting a decoupling phase from traditional assets—typically observed during major market catalysts or shocks.While Bitcoin exhibits low correlation with interest rates, shifts in monetary policy still influence its performance. During the 2022–2023 tightening cycle, Bitcoin showed strong negative correlation with rate hikes.Despite its "digital gold" moniker, Bitcoin historically displays ...

Based on different market perspectives and three time frames, the following four scenarios are most likely to unfold for Bitcoin：Scenario 1: No Catalyst and Gradual DeclineThe announcement of the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is a milestone, but the actual capital inflow is modest. Without new catalysts, as market enthusiasm wanes and funds shift to other assets, a gradual sell-off may occur. Time Frame: 1-8 weeks Impact: Low to moderate, but prolonged Key Indicators: Declining ETF inflows, ...

Based on different market perspectives and three time frames, the following four scenarios are most likely to unfold for Bitcoin：Scenario 1: No Catalyst and Gradual DeclineThe announcement of the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is a milestone, but the actual capital inflow is modest. Without new catalysts, as market enthusiasm wanes and funds shift to other assets, a gradual sell-off may occur. Time Frame: 1-8 weeks Impact: Low to moderate, but prolonged Key Indicators: Declining ETF inflows, ...