According to CME's Fed Watch, there is a 97.3% probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in January, and a 2.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by March is 79.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 19.7%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 0.5%.