
The crypto landscape of 2024 is a stage for a clash of two opposing ideologies. On one side stand utility projects—with their elegant whitepapers, ambitious roadmaps, and promises to change the world—flying the flag of "fundamentals." On the other, memecoins—with their chaotic energy, fervent communities, and an outright admission that this is a game of narrative—chant the mantra of "number go up."
As a Venture Capital (VC) firm that has navigated multiple bull and bear cycles, we at FBG Capital are often asked: "Which one is better?"
Our answer might be surprising: This is the wrong question.
The question isn't which is "better," but "what role can each play within a diversified, risk-managed portfolio strategy?" In this post, we will dissect this debate through the lens of a VC, revealing how we perceive the value, risk, and opportunity in both asset classes.
Utility projects are the backbone of the Web3 vision. They are the engines building real infrastructure, products, and services.
Genuine Problem-Solution Fit: Is the project solving a real, genuine problem, or is it just creating a solution in search of a problem?
Credible & Experienced Team: The founders' background, track record, and execution capability are the number one determining factors.
Sustainable Tokenomics: Does the token have a clear and critical function within the ecosystem (e.g., gas, staking, governance), or is it merely a fundraising tool?
Measurable Traction: We look beyond the token price. What about active users, transaction volume, and developer activity?
Long-Term Value: Value is built on actual adoption and utility.
Cycle Resilience: Projects with strong fundamentals tend to survive and even thrive through bear markets.
Aligns with "Smart Money": These investments build our reputation as supporters of long-term innovation.
Long Development Timelines: Results can take years to materialize.
Regulatory Risk: Often a target for regulatory scrutiny as potential securities.
Fierce Competition: Must compete in an increasingly crowded landscape.
FbgCapital Verdict: Utility is the core of our core portfolio. This is how we gain exposure to transformative technology and build sustainable wealth.
Memecoins are a unique sociological and financial phenomenon in crypto. They openly admit: "This is a game of shared belief and momentum."
Narrative & "Memetic Power": Is the story catchy, easily spread, and reflective of current internet culture? "Vibes" are more important than a whitepaper.
Community Energy & Authenticity: Is there a highly-engaged, organic community? We distinguish between real communities and bot farms.
Liquidity & Access: Is the token listed on major DEXs/CEXs, facilitating easy capital flow?
Timing is Everything: We aim to enter during the early phase of a narrative, not at the peak of euphoria.
Explosive ROI Potential: Capable of generating 50x-100x returns in a very short timeframe.
High Liquidity: Makes it easier to execute large positions and take profits.
Pure Alpha: Less correlated with traditional fundamentals; it's purely about beating the market psychologically.
Extreme Risk & Volatility: The potential for rug pulls, scams, and the price going to zero is real and frequent.
Zero Intrinsic Value: Their value is purely speculative.
Reputational Risk: Being seen as too "degen" can damage institutional credibility.
FBG Verdict: Memecoins are a tactical satellite allocation. We treat them as a high-risk game with small, strictly sized positions.
So, how do we reconcile these two worlds? The answer lies in intentional portfolio allocation.
Content: Layer 1 & 2 utility projects, DeFi primitives, Infrastructure, and RWA/AI/DePin projects with clear roadmaps.
Goal: Long-term growth, capital preservation, and exposure to technological fundamentals.
Strategy: Buy-and-Hold (accumulate), staking, and participation in governance.
Content: Memecoins with strong narratives, experimental projects with crazy communities, and other momentum plays.
Goal: Generating short-term, liquid alpha.
Strategy: Active trading, strict risk management (stop-loss), and disciplined profit-taking to replenish the core portfolio.
With this framework, we don't have to choose. Our core portfolio is the sturdy fortress, while our tactical portfolio is the special forces team we deploy to capture high-risk opportunities. Profits from successful memecoin plays are used to strengthen our positions in our chosen utility projects.
Conclusion: You Don't Have to Choose, You Have to Allocate
If you are a Long-Term Investor: Focus on utility projects. Do your own research (DYOR) and be prepared for volatility with conviction in the fundamentals.
If you are a Nimble Trader: Memecoins offer unique opportunities, but treat them like playing with fire—do so carefully, with small position sizes, and always have an exit plan.
At FBG Capital, our philosophy is clear: We "Buidl" with utility, but we are not blind to the power (and opportunity) of meme culture. By disciplining both sides of this coin, we aim not just to follow the market, but to outperform it—both for long-term growth and short-term opportunity.
Disclaimer: This is an educational perspective and is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before investing.
-The FBG Capital Research Team-
FbgCapital
7 comments
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Nice insight
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When Airdrop?