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Jun 12

Solving Prediction Market Liquidity by Re-Aligning Incentives

Back in April, I wrote about the core issues most prediction markets are facing, namely, liquidity and the underlying incentives. Long settlement times, zero-sum structure, and the absence of pricing anchors make them fundamentally unattractive to the three essential market participants: savers (passive), gamblers (degen), and smart money (active). That article ended with a hypothesis: What if prediction market incentives could be re-aligned to increase liquidity for long-tail markets? With o...

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Solving Prediction Market Liquidity by Re-Aligning Incentives

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Prediction vs Betting Markets

Why crypto needs Futarchy

Why crypto needs Futarchy

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Solving Prediction Market Liquidity.

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Apr 25
The Liquidity Problem: Why Prediction Markets Struggle
As someone who’s now been building an Info Finance protocol for the last 5 months, a constant hurdle I see across most protocols and dapps in Info Finance is the access to sustainable liquidity. The most successful platform Polymarket has seen massive adoption but also a drastic decline in volumes since the 2024 US presidential election.Pre vs post-election comparisonSo what seems to be the problem, officer? Whitaker & Mazlish go down an interesting path on reasoning in their article on why p...
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Apr 5
Prediction vs Betting Markets
After pitching robin.markets to several VCs and angel investors over the past weeks I have noticed a strong trend amongst investors & builders: prediction markets are a polarizing topic. Some investors are very bullish and excited about prediction markets, buying in to Vitaliks Info Finance thesis (I’m in this camp). Others are bearish prediction markets, saying prediction markets are just betting markets described using different terms.What's the real difference?While I don’t necessaril...
Why crypto needs Futarchy
Blog icon0xFudrick
Feb 27
Futarchy - a lovely market-driven governance theory coined by economist Robin Hanson over twenty years ago. The first time I heard about it I fell in love. As a long-time market believer and participant it aligned perfectly with my core values. When I saw Proph3t’s presentation of MetaDAO and Futarchy at Solana Breakpoint in Singapore I was sold. In my mind it was the perfect PMF product for crypto. In November 2024 I became fully futarded and started building an EVM-aligned decision market t...