
Trading Moment: “TACO-Trade” Leads the Crypto Rebound—Bitcoin Back at $115 k, a New Cycle Begins?
Market Snap-back & Leverage Reset A single sound-bite did the trick. After Trump and Vance struck a noticeably softer tone on the U.S.–China trade war, equity futures flashed green and crypto followed in a violent relief rally. The brutal draw-down that preceded it is already being framed as the pivotal “cycle flip” of 2025. Funding rates on perpetual swaps have collapsed to lows last seen in the depths of the 2022 bear, proof that the market has just lived through one of the deepest de-lever...

Binance Wallet’s First Bonding-Curve TGE: What Makes Aptos DEX Hyperion Stand Out?
A New Way to Launch: Bonding-Curve TGE for RION Today at 16:00 UTC, Binance Wallet will debut its first-ever Bonding-Curve Token Generation Event (TGE), releasing the native token RION of Aptos-native DEX Hyperion. Participation is limited to users who hold Binance Alpha points; pricing and liquidity will be determined in real time by an on-chain bonding curve.Protocol Design: Hybrid Order-Book + AMM + Aggregator Hyperion is a hybrid decentralized exchange built natively on Aptos. It fuses an...

Which New AI Projects Are Worth Researching Ahead of the Hype?
Discovering protocols before they become hot topics and sharing them with you is extremely interesting. In my earlier "Be Early" series, I introduced projects like @TopHat_One, @Duck_Chain, @Cortex_Protocol, and @Infinit_Labs. These insights mainly come from the Moni Discover tool by @getmoni_io, an intelligent platform that helps users discover early-stage protocols. So, what new findings are on my January watchlist? Let's take a look! Limitus: A New Platform Integrating Web2, Web3, and AI @...
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Trading Moment: “TACO-Trade” Leads the Crypto Rebound—Bitcoin Back at $115 k, a New Cycle Begins?
Market Snap-back & Leverage Reset A single sound-bite did the trick. After Trump and Vance struck a noticeably softer tone on the U.S.–China trade war, equity futures flashed green and crypto followed in a violent relief rally. The brutal draw-down that preceded it is already being framed as the pivotal “cycle flip” of 2025. Funding rates on perpetual swaps have collapsed to lows last seen in the depths of the 2022 bear, proof that the market has just lived through one of the deepest de-lever...

Binance Wallet’s First Bonding-Curve TGE: What Makes Aptos DEX Hyperion Stand Out?
A New Way to Launch: Bonding-Curve TGE for RION Today at 16:00 UTC, Binance Wallet will debut its first-ever Bonding-Curve Token Generation Event (TGE), releasing the native token RION of Aptos-native DEX Hyperion. Participation is limited to users who hold Binance Alpha points; pricing and liquidity will be determined in real time by an on-chain bonding curve.Protocol Design: Hybrid Order-Book + AMM + Aggregator Hyperion is a hybrid decentralized exchange built natively on Aptos. It fuses an...

Which New AI Projects Are Worth Researching Ahead of the Hype?
Discovering protocols before they become hot topics and sharing them with you is extremely interesting. In my earlier "Be Early" series, I introduced projects like @TopHat_One, @Duck_Chain, @Cortex_Protocol, and @Infinit_Labs. These insights mainly come from the Moni Discover tool by @getmoni_io, an intelligent platform that helps users discover early-stage protocols. So, what new findings are on my January watchlist? Let's take a look! Limitus: A New Platform Integrating Web2, Web3, and AI @...
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If you enjoy my content, feel free to follow, share, like this article, and message me privately for a free portfolio strategy layout and guidance on naked K-line practical tutorials. I'm a seasoned trader with "thoughtful depth, emotional warmth, and data-driven precision."
Updates on Cryptocurrency Price Movements
Bitcoin (BTC): Today's price stands at US95,328.29,witha24−hourtradingvolumeofUS31,166,387,613. The price has increased by 2.42% in the past 24 hours and by 8.73% over the past seven days. The circulating supply is 19.86 million BTC, giving Bitcoin a market capitalization of US$1,892,978,674,725.
Ethereum (ETH): Today's price is US1,798.08,witha24−hourtradingvolumeofUS15,421,031,527. The price has risen by 1.79% in the past 24 hours and by 13.30% over the past seven days. The circulating supply is 120.73 million ETH, with a market capitalization of US$217,078,335,234.
Ripple (XRP): Today's price is US2.30,witha24−hourtradingvolumeofUS4,074,501,269. The price has increased by 2.92% in the past 24 hours and by 9.92% over the past seven days. The circulating supply is 58.44 billion XRP, giving Ripple a market capitalization of US$134,644,880,891.
The Peak of Bitcoin's Current Bull Market May Occur Around August 2025
After a thorough review of Bitcoin's two bull-bear cycles, I've identified a pattern: each bull market, from its lowest bottom to its highest peak, spans roughly 884 days, followed by a correction phase marking the onset of a prolonged bear market.
Specifics:
First Cycle: From the bottom in January 2015 to the peak of the bull market in December 2017, it took approximately 884 days.
Second Cycle: From the bottom in January 2019 to the next peak in November 2021, it also took about 884 days.
For the current bull market, with Bitcoin hitting a bear market bottom near US$15,000 in October 2022, projecting this timeframe suggests the peak may occur around August 2025.
Additionally, I've observed that the interval between the troughs of two consecutive bull markets is roughly 1,290 days. If this pattern continues, the next bear market bottom may emerge around June 2026.
[Image Placeholder]
BTC Bounces Back, Altcoins Diverge: A New Cyclical Singularity?
Trump's series of policies have sparked global market pessimism, evident in various K-line trends, pushing global markets into oversold territory.
However, amidst this backdrop, there's been a moderate shift in the political landscape, leading to a slight recovery in market sentiment. During this recovery, I've noticed a crucial detail:
While BTC has rebounded, the vast majority of altcoins have not followed suit, indicating a significant divergence.
Typically, Bitcoin, as the leader of the crypto market, drives altcoin movements, often with altcoins experiencing more pronounced price swings.
But this time, as Bitcoin has warmed up, most altcoins have been sluggish in response, suggesting:
Profound structural changes are occurring in the market.
From a Technical Perspective:
Bitcoin has broken through key resistance levels, standing firmly above the 200-day bull-bear dividing line.
Currently, Bitcoin's price has stabilized above US$90,000 for a week, making a short-term reversal less likely.
However, altcoins as a whole have yet to reach their expected positions.
Reflecting on historical data and past trading experiences, such divergences between BTC and altcoins often herald the start of a new trend.
[Image Placeholder]
My Perspective:
This divergence could mark a genuine trend reversal, the singularity of a new market cycle. (However, there may still be a pullback in May; the short-term move remains a rebound, not a full reversal.)
Considering the rhythm of liquidity release, I anticipate this cycle to last four months, with altcoins taking center stage.
In the second half of the bull market, Wall Street institutions are likely to pivot towards Ethereum as the market's main driver, propelling altcoins to soar (given its vast potential), effectively cutting the retail investors who recently switched from altcoins to BTC for safety another slice. I believe this scenario is highly probable.
Moreover, there's a subtle shift in the policy landscape:
Historically, global governments have adopted a conservative stance toward blockchain, as seen in China's ban, the EU's MiCA framework, and the former SEC chair's stringent regulations.
However, the appointment of the new SEC chair could signal a pivotal reversal in regulatory direction.
In the future, more tokens may list through stock market ETFs. Combined with global fiat currency inflation and liquidity release, this could propel the market to new heights.
Of course, the mass listing of ETFs is a double-edged sword:
Capital-driven bubbles may burst like the 2000 dot-com bubble, but they could also pave the way for a new order in their wake.
If you enjoy my content, feel free to follow, share, like this article, and message me privately for a free portfolio strategy layout and guidance on naked K-line practical tutorials. I'm a seasoned trader with "thoughtful depth, emotional warmth, and data-driven precision."
Updates on Cryptocurrency Price Movements
Bitcoin (BTC): Today's price stands at US95,328.29,witha24−hourtradingvolumeofUS31,166,387,613. The price has increased by 2.42% in the past 24 hours and by 8.73% over the past seven days. The circulating supply is 19.86 million BTC, giving Bitcoin a market capitalization of US$1,892,978,674,725.
Ethereum (ETH): Today's price is US1,798.08,witha24−hourtradingvolumeofUS15,421,031,527. The price has risen by 1.79% in the past 24 hours and by 13.30% over the past seven days. The circulating supply is 120.73 million ETH, with a market capitalization of US$217,078,335,234.
Ripple (XRP): Today's price is US2.30,witha24−hourtradingvolumeofUS4,074,501,269. The price has increased by 2.92% in the past 24 hours and by 9.92% over the past seven days. The circulating supply is 58.44 billion XRP, giving Ripple a market capitalization of US$134,644,880,891.
The Peak of Bitcoin's Current Bull Market May Occur Around August 2025
After a thorough review of Bitcoin's two bull-bear cycles, I've identified a pattern: each bull market, from its lowest bottom to its highest peak, spans roughly 884 days, followed by a correction phase marking the onset of a prolonged bear market.
Specifics:
First Cycle: From the bottom in January 2015 to the peak of the bull market in December 2017, it took approximately 884 days.
Second Cycle: From the bottom in January 2019 to the next peak in November 2021, it also took about 884 days.
For the current bull market, with Bitcoin hitting a bear market bottom near US$15,000 in October 2022, projecting this timeframe suggests the peak may occur around August 2025.
Additionally, I've observed that the interval between the troughs of two consecutive bull markets is roughly 1,290 days. If this pattern continues, the next bear market bottom may emerge around June 2026.
[Image Placeholder]
BTC Bounces Back, Altcoins Diverge: A New Cyclical Singularity?
Trump's series of policies have sparked global market pessimism, evident in various K-line trends, pushing global markets into oversold territory.
However, amidst this backdrop, there's been a moderate shift in the political landscape, leading to a slight recovery in market sentiment. During this recovery, I've noticed a crucial detail:
While BTC has rebounded, the vast majority of altcoins have not followed suit, indicating a significant divergence.
Typically, Bitcoin, as the leader of the crypto market, drives altcoin movements, often with altcoins experiencing more pronounced price swings.
But this time, as Bitcoin has warmed up, most altcoins have been sluggish in response, suggesting:
Profound structural changes are occurring in the market.
From a Technical Perspective:
Bitcoin has broken through key resistance levels, standing firmly above the 200-day bull-bear dividing line.
Currently, Bitcoin's price has stabilized above US$90,000 for a week, making a short-term reversal less likely.
However, altcoins as a whole have yet to reach their expected positions.
Reflecting on historical data and past trading experiences, such divergences between BTC and altcoins often herald the start of a new trend.
[Image Placeholder]
My Perspective:
This divergence could mark a genuine trend reversal, the singularity of a new market cycle. (However, there may still be a pullback in May; the short-term move remains a rebound, not a full reversal.)
Considering the rhythm of liquidity release, I anticipate this cycle to last four months, with altcoins taking center stage.
In the second half of the bull market, Wall Street institutions are likely to pivot towards Ethereum as the market's main driver, propelling altcoins to soar (given its vast potential), effectively cutting the retail investors who recently switched from altcoins to BTC for safety another slice. I believe this scenario is highly probable.
Moreover, there's a subtle shift in the policy landscape:
Historically, global governments have adopted a conservative stance toward blockchain, as seen in China's ban, the EU's MiCA framework, and the former SEC chair's stringent regulations.
However, the appointment of the new SEC chair could signal a pivotal reversal in regulatory direction.
In the future, more tokens may list through stock market ETFs. Combined with global fiat currency inflation and liquidity release, this could propel the market to new heights.
Of course, the mass listing of ETFs is a double-edged sword:
Capital-driven bubbles may burst like the 2000 dot-com bubble, but they could also pave the way for a new order in their wake.
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