
This is the moment every trader dreads and anticipates. Tomorrow evening, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)—the decision-making body of the U.S. Federal Reserve—will deliver its verdict on monetary policy.
As the "pilot" of global interest rates and liquidity, the Fed's every move has an immediate impact on your portfolio, whether you hold Gold, Bitcoin, or Ethereum.
1. The Rate Decision (14:00 > 20:00 France / 8:00 > 14:00 Washington ): The Calm Before the Storm
The consensus is clear: rates are expected to remain unchanged. This information is already "priced in" by the market. Barring a major surprise, the initial reaction should be limited, as investors have already factored this scenario into current prices.
2. Jerome Powell’s Press Conference (20:30 France / 14:30 Washington): The Real Game Changer
This is where volatility explodes. Powell doesn't just provide numbers; he offers "Forward Guidance." The market will scrutinize every word to decode:
The Fed’s latest analysis of persistent inflation.
Economic projections for the coming semester.
The timeline for future rate cuts or hikes.
Because this narrative isn't yet reflected in the charts, the speech systematically triggers sharp movements. The market hates uncertainty, and Powell’s tone is the ultimate wildcard.
History serves as our guide. In October 2025, a "hawkish" (firmer than expected) speech by Powell caused Gold (XAU/USD) to plummet by approximately 6.3% in a single session.
If we correlate this with the current market state—where Gold has seen a massive rally this week while Ethereum has shown signs of weakness—we must prepare for significant swings. Rather than betting on fixed numbers, we are watching how the market reacts to its major liquidity pools.
The BUHS Research View:
Caution is paramount. These events are often the stage for "stop-loss hunting" and extreme liquidations. If Powell’s tone is perceived as restrictive, we could see a rapid "flush" toward lower support levels to clear out over-leveraged positions before any potential recovery.
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This is the moment every trader dreads and anticipates. Tomorrow evening, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)—the decision-making body of the U.S. Federal Reserve—will deliver its verdict on monetary policy.
As the "pilot" of global interest rates and liquidity, the Fed's every move has an immediate impact on your portfolio, whether you hold Gold, Bitcoin, or Ethereum.
1. The Rate Decision (14:00 > 20:00 France / 8:00 > 14:00 Washington ): The Calm Before the Storm
The consensus is clear: rates are expected to remain unchanged. This information is already "priced in" by the market. Barring a major surprise, the initial reaction should be limited, as investors have already factored this scenario into current prices.
2. Jerome Powell’s Press Conference (20:30 France / 14:30 Washington): The Real Game Changer
This is where volatility explodes. Powell doesn't just provide numbers; he offers "Forward Guidance." The market will scrutinize every word to decode:
The Fed’s latest analysis of persistent inflation.
Economic projections for the coming semester.
The timeline for future rate cuts or hikes.
Because this narrative isn't yet reflected in the charts, the speech systematically triggers sharp movements. The market hates uncertainty, and Powell’s tone is the ultimate wildcard.
History serves as our guide. In October 2025, a "hawkish" (firmer than expected) speech by Powell caused Gold (XAU/USD) to plummet by approximately 6.3% in a single session.
If we correlate this with the current market state—where Gold has seen a massive rally this week while Ethereum has shown signs of weakness—we must prepare for significant swings. Rather than betting on fixed numbers, we are watching how the market reacts to its major liquidity pools.
The BUHS Research View:
Caution is paramount. These events are often the stage for "stop-loss hunting" and extreme liquidations. If Powell’s tone is perceived as restrictive, we could see a rapid "flush" toward lower support levels to clear out over-leveraged positions before any potential recovery.
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