《猩猩游戏》读书笔记
之前听了Traders' Talk播客Sarah采访海波那期,一直想看嘉宾提到的这本书《猩猩游戏:高科技潜力股投资指南》,这周末终于看完了。 本书的主旨是,比起短线交易或是分散化投资不同行业的多个股票,更适合个人投资者的策略是在高速增长行业中选出少数几家“猩猩公司”,并长期持有。 投资者的超额回报来自科技创新。有句话叫站在风口猪也能飞,猩猩公司正是在科技的迭代中占据了行业领头羊的地位,所以才能扶摇直上九万里。更美妙的是科技的发展遵循世界上很多事物的发展规律,它并不是线性稳步向上的,而是在沉寂中突然爆发,所以眼光好的投资者有很长一段时间观察埋伏。什么是猩猩公司?猩猩公司的优势在于它们靠自己的产品搭建了一套开放系统。上下游和终端的客户都依赖这套系统,转换成本极高,也就导致进入壁垒极高。这也是为什么Uniswap和Solana都在搞钱包,希望以此拉高用户的转换成本,毕竟把旧钱包的资产全部转移费时费力。不仅如此,其他依托在这套系统之上的公司和个体都会帮助它们做大做强,这就是猩猩公司的先发者优势,当有其他竞争对手想要和猩猩公司叫板的时候,它不是在和一家公司作对,而是在和一整个生态...
《十年一梦》读后感
上次更新还是一个月前,从NFT NYC回来之后随着市场持续走跌,我也远离了市场,回归了平凡的生活。其实投资本身就是个输出行为,它需要你把过去的经历和眼界浓缩成交易行为,然后用真金白银下注,所以从去年入圈到现在半年有余,在这疯狂的行情下感觉自己被掏空也是正常的。那么有出就该有进,熊市就该是好好汲取养分自我反省的时候。这本《十年一梦》是国内期货投资者青泽从自己五十多本札记中整理出的交易心路历程,虽然期货和NFT资产类别不同,但是交易的思路和该走的坑都是一样的。我想在本篇中结合自己的NFT交易经验讲讲对我最有启发的几点,几年后重看这本书希望又是不同的感悟。 第一点,也是本书中没有强调,却贯穿全书的主旨,那就是写交易日记。每一次操作一定要记录下自己的操作思路。大部分人搞投资花大量的时间在预测盘面上,作者却说预测市场只是投资很小的一部分,真正交易时下注多少,如果市场走势不如预期怎么操作,止损止盈,这些才构成了完整的交易思路。而NFT交易又比一般的投资多了一个项目考察,如果再加上宏观经济和量价分析,一笔交易要记的就不少。我在看这本书的时候也很惊讶作者连十几年前交易某只期货时的入场点位,当时的...
3Landers NFT项目凭什么起飞
太长不看合作:阵容强大画风:异域风情,画家过去成绩优异团队:全Doxxed,和谐融洽会玩技术:丝滑无瑕未来:可期最开始关注到这个项目是因为它强大的合作阵容,总量10000,3400个白单,每张可以mint 2个,剩下的荷兰拍,起拍价0.75。起拍价与白单mint价0.15之间的价差就意味着白单的分发要保证有足够多的钻石手,这样才能稳住地板。项目方为此选择直接和蓝筹项目合作,包括Doodles, Cool Cats, Ghxsts, Alien Frens等。这就意味着它的潜在持有者有两个特点:第一是在NFT圈相对有经验,毕竟过去的战绩是成功的。第二是不差钱,3landers发行价很有可能只是他们持仓中很小的仓位,不容易被市场情绪或者蝇头小利影响。我在预售过程中就已经看到有人把一只Azuki卖了买17个3landers,这种大佬一般有自己的alpha圈子,他的号召力会坚定很多人的信心。3Landers合作伙伴那么问题来了,它凭什么拿得到蓝筹项目的合作?相信这些蓝筹项目是不缺邀请的,每天新出的NFT项目都想和他们合作,3landers是怎么做到的?这就要说到艺术家3Land Boy ...
NFT Appreciator
《猩猩游戏》读书笔记
之前听了Traders' Talk播客Sarah采访海波那期,一直想看嘉宾提到的这本书《猩猩游戏:高科技潜力股投资指南》,这周末终于看完了。 本书的主旨是,比起短线交易或是分散化投资不同行业的多个股票,更适合个人投资者的策略是在高速增长行业中选出少数几家“猩猩公司”,并长期持有。 投资者的超额回报来自科技创新。有句话叫站在风口猪也能飞,猩猩公司正是在科技的迭代中占据了行业领头羊的地位,所以才能扶摇直上九万里。更美妙的是科技的发展遵循世界上很多事物的发展规律,它并不是线性稳步向上的,而是在沉寂中突然爆发,所以眼光好的投资者有很长一段时间观察埋伏。什么是猩猩公司?猩猩公司的优势在于它们靠自己的产品搭建了一套开放系统。上下游和终端的客户都依赖这套系统,转换成本极高,也就导致进入壁垒极高。这也是为什么Uniswap和Solana都在搞钱包,希望以此拉高用户的转换成本,毕竟把旧钱包的资产全部转移费时费力。不仅如此,其他依托在这套系统之上的公司和个体都会帮助它们做大做强,这就是猩猩公司的先发者优势,当有其他竞争对手想要和猩猩公司叫板的时候,它不是在和一家公司作对,而是在和一整个生态...
《十年一梦》读后感
上次更新还是一个月前,从NFT NYC回来之后随着市场持续走跌,我也远离了市场,回归了平凡的生活。其实投资本身就是个输出行为,它需要你把过去的经历和眼界浓缩成交易行为,然后用真金白银下注,所以从去年入圈到现在半年有余,在这疯狂的行情下感觉自己被掏空也是正常的。那么有出就该有进,熊市就该是好好汲取养分自我反省的时候。这本《十年一梦》是国内期货投资者青泽从自己五十多本札记中整理出的交易心路历程,虽然期货和NFT资产类别不同,但是交易的思路和该走的坑都是一样的。我想在本篇中结合自己的NFT交易经验讲讲对我最有启发的几点,几年后重看这本书希望又是不同的感悟。 第一点,也是本书中没有强调,却贯穿全书的主旨,那就是写交易日记。每一次操作一定要记录下自己的操作思路。大部分人搞投资花大量的时间在预测盘面上,作者却说预测市场只是投资很小的一部分,真正交易时下注多少,如果市场走势不如预期怎么操作,止损止盈,这些才构成了完整的交易思路。而NFT交易又比一般的投资多了一个项目考察,如果再加上宏观经济和量价分析,一笔交易要记的就不少。我在看这本书的时候也很惊讶作者连十几年前交易某只期货时的入场点位,当时的...
3Landers NFT项目凭什么起飞
太长不看合作:阵容强大画风:异域风情,画家过去成绩优异团队:全Doxxed,和谐融洽会玩技术:丝滑无瑕未来:可期最开始关注到这个项目是因为它强大的合作阵容,总量10000,3400个白单,每张可以mint 2个,剩下的荷兰拍,起拍价0.75。起拍价与白单mint价0.15之间的价差就意味着白单的分发要保证有足够多的钻石手,这样才能稳住地板。项目方为此选择直接和蓝筹项目合作,包括Doodles, Cool Cats, Ghxsts, Alien Frens等。这就意味着它的潜在持有者有两个特点:第一是在NFT圈相对有经验,毕竟过去的战绩是成功的。第二是不差钱,3landers发行价很有可能只是他们持仓中很小的仓位,不容易被市场情绪或者蝇头小利影响。我在预售过程中就已经看到有人把一只Azuki卖了买17个3landers,这种大佬一般有自己的alpha圈子,他的号召力会坚定很多人的信心。3Landers合作伙伴那么问题来了,它凭什么拿得到蓝筹项目的合作?相信这些蓝筹项目是不缺邀请的,每天新出的NFT项目都想和他们合作,3landers是怎么做到的?这就要说到艺术家3Land Boy ...
NFT Appreciator

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March 2022 has been financially rewarding which is weird to say as we are still under the gloom of bear. I found price actions polarized between top projects and the rest, which means profits are more concentrated in good projects. Lesson learned:
Liquidity! Liquidity! Liquidity! I cannot emphasize this enough to myself, really need to stop impulse buy, oftentimes I burn liquidity due to FOMO my dream NFT, only to realize later I could have acquired the same piece at a cheaper price.
WOW released WOWG, BAYC issued Ape Coins, Azuki released Bobu and airdropped “something official”. Bluechips want to expand and attract both capital and talents, this could be a win-win for investors wanting to access the bluechip ecosystem in the long term, but be cautious to dive in right after the hype.
For PFP projects, flip pre-reveal is the go-to strategy, don’t wait till post-reveal as it’s statistically unintelligent to bet on 1% rare, or pump after the reveal. If you truly love the project, could always re-enter after the reveal and pick the one you like with higher ranks. BUT, for utility projects like passes or tools, flipping right away may not be the best strategy as the value only manifests itself after consolidation.
Minting in a bear market becomes very risky, don’t jump off the gun right after the pre-sale starts, if the OS price is lower than 0.1, it’s a no-go taking into account the mint price+royalty fee+gas. Don’t waste time on earning 0.01E bearing the risk of losing the initial cost.
Set boundary. NFT is a 24/7 space but you don’t have to follow the crowd. Grinding for WL and spending too much time in discord is still exchanging cheap labor for money, which is not very time-effective. At the end of the day, what you can carry with you besides ETH is the knowledge and the network you built, not those meanless conversations or discord levels.
If you care to see the detailed breakdown:
In total I made 13 WL mints in March, 6 no mints, several secondary trades.
Out of the 13 WL mints, 8 are profitable:
Kibatsu Mecha | 0.3 → 1.3 (+1E)
Loser Club | 0.088*2 → 0.15, 0.18, also flipped 0.08 during the pump (+0.32E), still keeping one that I like at 0.17E
Fortune Dao Genesis | 0.088 → 0.37 (+0.28E)
Sprite Club | 0.07*2 → 0.17, 0.22 (0.25E)
OKPC | 0.188 → 0.35 (0.16E)
Coniun | 0.15 → 0.25 (0.1E), still holding the other
Metroverse Blackout - still holding
AquaTools | 0.08 → 0.24 - still holding
5 are either break-even or lost gas: Happy Homies, Foodgod, Chumchum, Seekers, Oozoid.
6 no mints are: Courtyard, Astro Girls Society, Flair, NekoCore, Skylinez (rug), Loveless City Abnormal Jeans
Secondary trades:
sold Wonderpal at 0.87, re-entered at 0.57. Looking back could have been more patient.
sold Stapleverse Teabag at break-even price, price dipped post the seed flip as expected.
bought bobu post mint at 0.079, considered at a low entry point to the Azuki ecosystem, should wait a couple more days after the hype.
sold Starcatchers at 0.29, lost faith after the artist left the project.
got into several new art collections including: Mythic Guardians, Imaginary Creatures, Curious Cabin, The Cat Haus, Stickers Planet, Downpour, Ghxsts Culture, The Art of Seasons, Pilots in Cocoon. Those always bring me the most joy and keep me mentally sane.
bought WOWG at 1.6, holding long term.
sold FlyFish Club in order to acquire two more 3landers at 2.2, 2.3. should have saved half the liquidity for the dip later, plan to hold long term.
Thank you for reading till the end, I hope bull is back in April so we can enjoy the ride, just hang in there!
March 2022 has been financially rewarding which is weird to say as we are still under the gloom of bear. I found price actions polarized between top projects and the rest, which means profits are more concentrated in good projects. Lesson learned:
Liquidity! Liquidity! Liquidity! I cannot emphasize this enough to myself, really need to stop impulse buy, oftentimes I burn liquidity due to FOMO my dream NFT, only to realize later I could have acquired the same piece at a cheaper price.
WOW released WOWG, BAYC issued Ape Coins, Azuki released Bobu and airdropped “something official”. Bluechips want to expand and attract both capital and talents, this could be a win-win for investors wanting to access the bluechip ecosystem in the long term, but be cautious to dive in right after the hype.
For PFP projects, flip pre-reveal is the go-to strategy, don’t wait till post-reveal as it’s statistically unintelligent to bet on 1% rare, or pump after the reveal. If you truly love the project, could always re-enter after the reveal and pick the one you like with higher ranks. BUT, for utility projects like passes or tools, flipping right away may not be the best strategy as the value only manifests itself after consolidation.
Minting in a bear market becomes very risky, don’t jump off the gun right after the pre-sale starts, if the OS price is lower than 0.1, it’s a no-go taking into account the mint price+royalty fee+gas. Don’t waste time on earning 0.01E bearing the risk of losing the initial cost.
Set boundary. NFT is a 24/7 space but you don’t have to follow the crowd. Grinding for WL and spending too much time in discord is still exchanging cheap labor for money, which is not very time-effective. At the end of the day, what you can carry with you besides ETH is the knowledge and the network you built, not those meanless conversations or discord levels.
If you care to see the detailed breakdown:
In total I made 13 WL mints in March, 6 no mints, several secondary trades.
Out of the 13 WL mints, 8 are profitable:
Kibatsu Mecha | 0.3 → 1.3 (+1E)
Loser Club | 0.088*2 → 0.15, 0.18, also flipped 0.08 during the pump (+0.32E), still keeping one that I like at 0.17E
Fortune Dao Genesis | 0.088 → 0.37 (+0.28E)
Sprite Club | 0.07*2 → 0.17, 0.22 (0.25E)
OKPC | 0.188 → 0.35 (0.16E)
Coniun | 0.15 → 0.25 (0.1E), still holding the other
Metroverse Blackout - still holding
AquaTools | 0.08 → 0.24 - still holding
5 are either break-even or lost gas: Happy Homies, Foodgod, Chumchum, Seekers, Oozoid.
6 no mints are: Courtyard, Astro Girls Society, Flair, NekoCore, Skylinez (rug), Loveless City Abnormal Jeans
Secondary trades:
sold Wonderpal at 0.87, re-entered at 0.57. Looking back could have been more patient.
sold Stapleverse Teabag at break-even price, price dipped post the seed flip as expected.
bought bobu post mint at 0.079, considered at a low entry point to the Azuki ecosystem, should wait a couple more days after the hype.
sold Starcatchers at 0.29, lost faith after the artist left the project.
got into several new art collections including: Mythic Guardians, Imaginary Creatures, Curious Cabin, The Cat Haus, Stickers Planet, Downpour, Ghxsts Culture, The Art of Seasons, Pilots in Cocoon. Those always bring me the most joy and keep me mentally sane.
bought WOWG at 1.6, holding long term.
sold FlyFish Club in order to acquire two more 3landers at 2.2, 2.3. should have saved half the liquidity for the dip later, plan to hold long term.
Thank you for reading till the end, I hope bull is back in April so we can enjoy the ride, just hang in there!
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