Prediction markets are built on a simple truth: “A bet is a tax on bullshit.” By forcing participants to back their claims with real stakes, these markets filter out noise, bias, and bluster, leaving behind insights driven by genuine confidence and careful analysis. When people have skin in the game, their incentives shift toward aligning their actions with reality. This principle reshapes how we value information...

Prediction markets are built on a simple truth: “A bet is a tax on bullshit.” By forcing participants to back their claims with real stakes, these markets filter out noise, bias, and bluster, leaving behind insights driven by genuine confidence and careful analysis. When people have skin in the game, their incentives shift toward aligning their actions with reality. This principle reshapes how we value information...

Agents are all the rage these days, with people dreaming up everything they might do—from picking up laundry to chewing gum for them. I enjoy the near-fi and sci-fi of it all, but my focus remains on what works for me today. Since the launch of Custom GPTs by OpenAI—and even before—I’ve built dozens of custom bots to streamline my workflow. They’ve helped with various meticulous tasks,

Agents are all the rage these days, with people dreaming up everything they might do—from picking up laundry to chewing gum for them. I enjoy the near-fi and sci-fi of it all, but my focus remains on what works for me today. Since the launch of Custom GPTs by OpenAI—and even before—I’ve built dozens of custom bots to streamline my workflow. They’ve helped with various meticulous tasks,