>100 subscribers

The Art of Forecasting
Comparing Polymarket and prediction markets with traditional public opinion channels.Polymarket has emerged as a rising star in consumer crypto, especially driven by the upcoming U.S. presidential election and the related events. Many crypto experts have praised Polymarket’s success in achieving product-market fit, notably without relying on tokens or external incentives. As of this writing, Polymarket has once again hit an all-time high in daily and monthly active users, as well as in daily ...

Polymarket’s Post-Election Resilience
The 2024 US elections were not just a pivotal moment in American politics—they also became a defining catalyzer for Polymarket, the most successful blockchain-based prediction market. In the lead-up to November 5th, Polymarket experienced an unprecedented surge in activity, with its main election market and numerous secondary markets fueling a meteoric rise in user engagement and trading volumes. Some anticipated a steep and definitive decline following the resolution of these election-relate...
The Future of Blockchain: Modular Design and Intent-Based Systems
ModularityBlockchain technology is undergoing a significant shift - transitioning from the monolithic model, where a single blockchain handles all functions including execution, consensus, settling, and data availability (as seen in Ethereum), to a modular design. This paradigm envisions a plug-and-play architecture, where each component of the blockchain stack is outsourced to a marketplace of third-party providers, enabling different blockchains to combine distinct elements for various func...

The Art of Forecasting
Comparing Polymarket and prediction markets with traditional public opinion channels.Polymarket has emerged as a rising star in consumer crypto, especially driven by the upcoming U.S. presidential election and the related events. Many crypto experts have praised Polymarket’s success in achieving product-market fit, notably without relying on tokens or external incentives. As of this writing, Polymarket has once again hit an all-time high in daily and monthly active users, as well as in daily ...

Polymarket’s Post-Election Resilience
The 2024 US elections were not just a pivotal moment in American politics—they also became a defining catalyzer for Polymarket, the most successful blockchain-based prediction market. In the lead-up to November 5th, Polymarket experienced an unprecedented surge in activity, with its main election market and numerous secondary markets fueling a meteoric rise in user engagement and trading volumes. Some anticipated a steep and definitive decline following the resolution of these election-relate...
The Future of Blockchain: Modular Design and Intent-Based Systems
ModularityBlockchain technology is undergoing a significant shift - transitioning from the monolithic model, where a single blockchain handles all functions including execution, consensus, settling, and data availability (as seen in Ethereum), to a modular design. This paradigm envisions a plug-and-play architecture, where each component of the blockchain stack is outsourced to a marketplace of third-party providers, enabling different blockchains to combine distinct elements for various func...
Share Dialog
Share Dialog
The Internet has transformed the way we communicate, access information, and engage with others and the digital world. However, a few social and content platforms have emerged as dominant gatekeepers, accumulating and monopolizing large user bases and data silos. This situation is required to sustain the prevailing business model that relies on monetizing user data through advertising. This model, in turn, was brought about by the lack of a native value transfer mechanism on the Internet, a constraint that left companies with few other revenue options. Users found themselves commoditized and locked in walled ecosystems, unable to move freely across platforms and retain ownership over their digital identities and assets.
The key insight of mechanism design is that the outcome of a system is shaped not only by the participants' actions but also by the rules, incentives, and constraints that govern their interactions. In this case, even if web2 companies were to try to change direction, they would still face hard systemic constraints, which would make it a challenging task without undermining their product and financial viability. In fact, the opposite is often the case. As competition fires up and new players emerge, incumbents inevitably move to defend their market share. Like quicksands or knots, the more they move, the more entrenched they get, and the outcome is almost inevitably a tighter and more extractive system (see, for example, what recently happened at Reddit or Twitter as they tried to protect their positions).
Mechanism design’s goal is to design rules or mechanisms that align individual incentives with socially optimal or efficient outcomes. Web3 is promising because it’s founded on a completely new set of incentives and constraints, signifying a transformative shift and offering an alternative vision for the Internet. By integrating decentralized technologies like blockchain and smart contracts, web3 platforms can leverage a native value transfer mechanism. This shift in infrastructure aligns incentives with user ownership, openness, and interoperability, enabling applications to interact and enhance each other's functionalities and developers to leverage existing building blocks to create new experiences. This permissionless and modular approach reduces dependence on single platforms and fosters healthy competition, driving innovation and value creation.
It's time to set off on a journey where the Internet serves as a tool for empowerment, creativity, and collective progress. With web3, we have the chance to reset the rules and build a better digital world for generations to come.
The Internet has transformed the way we communicate, access information, and engage with others and the digital world. However, a few social and content platforms have emerged as dominant gatekeepers, accumulating and monopolizing large user bases and data silos. This situation is required to sustain the prevailing business model that relies on monetizing user data through advertising. This model, in turn, was brought about by the lack of a native value transfer mechanism on the Internet, a constraint that left companies with few other revenue options. Users found themselves commoditized and locked in walled ecosystems, unable to move freely across platforms and retain ownership over their digital identities and assets.
The key insight of mechanism design is that the outcome of a system is shaped not only by the participants' actions but also by the rules, incentives, and constraints that govern their interactions. In this case, even if web2 companies were to try to change direction, they would still face hard systemic constraints, which would make it a challenging task without undermining their product and financial viability. In fact, the opposite is often the case. As competition fires up and new players emerge, incumbents inevitably move to defend their market share. Like quicksands or knots, the more they move, the more entrenched they get, and the outcome is almost inevitably a tighter and more extractive system (see, for example, what recently happened at Reddit or Twitter as they tried to protect their positions).
Mechanism design’s goal is to design rules or mechanisms that align individual incentives with socially optimal or efficient outcomes. Web3 is promising because it’s founded on a completely new set of incentives and constraints, signifying a transformative shift and offering an alternative vision for the Internet. By integrating decentralized technologies like blockchain and smart contracts, web3 platforms can leverage a native value transfer mechanism. This shift in infrastructure aligns incentives with user ownership, openness, and interoperability, enabling applications to interact and enhance each other's functionalities and developers to leverage existing building blocks to create new experiences. This permissionless and modular approach reduces dependence on single platforms and fosters healthy competition, driving innovation and value creation.
It's time to set off on a journey where the Internet serves as a tool for empowerment, creativity, and collective progress. With web3, we have the chance to reset the rules and build a better digital world for generations to come.
No comments yet