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Sep 30

The Art of Forecasting

Comparing Polymarket and prediction markets with traditional public opinion channels.Polymarket has emerged as a rising star in consumer crypto, especially driven by the upcoming U.S. presidential election and the related events. Many crypto experts have praised Polymarket’s success in achieving product-market fit, notably without relying on tokens or external incentives. As of this writing, Polymarket has once again hit an all-time high in daily and monthly active users, as well as in daily ...

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Dec 9

Polymarket’s Post-Election Resilience

The 2024 US elections were not just a pivotal moment in American politics—they also became a defining catalyzer for Polymarket, the most successful blockchain-based prediction market. In the lead-up to November 5th, Polymarket experienced an unprecedented surge in activity, with its main election market and numerous secondary markets fueling a meteoric rise in user engagement and trading volumes. Some anticipated a steep and definitive decline following the resolution of these election-relate...

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Sep 7

The Future of Blockchain: Modular Design and Intent-Based Systems

ModularityBlockchain technology is undergoing a significant shift - transitioning from the monolithic model, where a single blockchain handles all functions including execution, consensus, settling, and data availability (as seen in Ethereum), to a modular design. This paradigm envisions a plug-and-play architecture, where each component of the blockchain stack is outsourced to a marketplace of third-party providers, enabling different blockchains to combine distinct elements for various func...