1. The Economic Limits of Prediction Markets and Cognitive FinanceMatt Liston (Augur co-founder, Gnosis' first CSO) pointed out fundamental economic structure problems with prediction markets through a Twitter thread. In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, Polymarket predicted Trump at 60% when media and polls were showing 50/50, and it turned out to be correct. This proved that markets aggregate information better than experts. However, paradoxically, the bettors who provided billions of do...