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Share Dialog
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The crypto space is having another one of its periodic identity crises, and this time it's about airdrops. The recent drama around the Loud experiment and Dan Romero's pointed question about airdrop recipients has exposed a fundamental disconnect between what builders want and what users actually do. The conversation has devolved into the usual finger-pointing: builders lamenting ungrateful "farmers" while users defend their right to do whatever they want with tokens they were promised belonged to them.
But here's the thing—both sides are missing the point entirely.
The Loud airdrop was fascinating precisely because it laid bare the mechanics of attention-based token distribution. Built as an experiment in turning social engagement into tradable assets, Loud promised to reward the "yappers"—those who generated attention and buzz on X. The results were telling:
Phase 1: 917 claimers, with 385 accounts (42%) selling everything immediately
Phase 2: 3,895 claimers, with 2,329 accounts (60%) dumping their entire allocation
Only 3% of users across both phases actually bought additional tokens. The rest? They took their profits and ran.
The builders' reaction was predictable: disappointment, frustration, and the inevitable blame directed at "snipers" and farmers. But this misses the fundamental dynamic at play. Users were promised assets that were theirs to control, and they acted exactly as rational economic actors should when faced with an asset they expect to decline in value.
Welcome to the airdrop prisoner's dilemma.
In the classic prisoner's dilemma, two prisoners are better off cooperating, but individual incentives push them toward betrayal. Airdrops create the same dynamic: everyone would be better off if recipients held their tokens, maintaining price stability and demonstrating community commitment. But individual incentives—particularly the expectation that others will sell—make immediate liquidation the rational choice.
This isn't about users being ungrateful or developers being naive. It's about misaligned incentives and the predictable behavior that emerges from them.
When Dan Romero posed his hypothetical about choosing between a user who holds airdrops versus one who sells immediately, the community's reaction revealed this disconnect perfectly. Users felt attacked for behaving rationally within the system as presented to them. Builders felt justified in wanting to reward loyalty over speculation.
Both perspectives have merit, but they're operating from fundamentally different assumptions about what airdrops are supposed to accomplish.
Airdrops have become crypto's equivalent of "Free Widget!" flyers from traditional retail or "100 free gacha spins" from mobile game ads. They work—kind of. They generate initial attention, create buzz, and can rapidly bootstrap a user base. But they also attract exactly the wrong kind of user for long-term growth.
My finger-in-the-wind analysis of traditional customer acquisition shows that 98% of users acquired through "free stuff" promotions churn immediately. The 2% who stick around can be valuable, but building a sustainable business around that conversion rate requires acknowledging what you're actually getting from these campaigns.
The crypto space seems to have collectively forgotten this basic marketing reality. Airdrops have become the default go-to for community building, despite mounting evidence that they primarily attract mercenary capital and temporary engagement.
The landscape has evolved dramatically since the early days of simple token drops. What started as a novel way to distribute tokens fairly has become a sophisticated ecosystem of farming strategies, Sybil detection, and ever-more-complex criteria.
Projects now employ advanced detection mechanisms to identify and exclude farmers. Farmers respond with more sophisticated techniques—managing hundreds of wallets, using automation tools, and studying historical airdrop patterns to optimize their strategies. Some hardcore farmers have turned this into a full-time profession, with organized communities sharing strategies and managing massive operations.
This arms race has created a Red Ocean scenario where projects spend enormous resources trying to distinguish between "genuine" users and farmers, while farmers invest equally enormous resources in gaming whatever criteria projects establish.
Meanwhile, the fundamental question remains unanswered: what happens after the airdrop?
The real issue isn't that users sell airdropped tokens—it's that projects haven't figured out what comes next. Airdrops are, at best, an initial marketing strategy. Expecting sustained growth from that burst is like expecting a grand opening sale to drive long-term customer loyalty without any follow-up strategy.
Users need to see, immediately and tangibly, how holding tokens benefits them. Holding is an investment, and investments require clear value propositions. If your token's primary utility is speculation on future utility, you shouldn't be surprised when recipients treat it exactly like that.
The most successful projects understand this dynamic. They use airdrops as the first step in a carefully designed funnel that provides immediate utility and clear incentives for continued engagement. They build systems where tokens have concrete utility from day one, where holding provides ongoing benefits, and where the community has reasons to participate beyond token appreciation.
Some projects are experimenting with alternative distribution mechanisms that attempt to address these fundamental issues. The "Yap-to-Earn" trend, pioneered by projects like Sanctum, focuses on rewarding actual community contribution rather than just financial participation.
This approach recognizes that traditional on-chain metrics—transaction volume, liquidity provision, smart contract interactions—can be gamed relatively easily. Social engagement, genuine help and education, and community building are harder to fake at scale.
But even this evolution faces the same fundamental challenge: if the end result is still tokens that recipients expect to decline in value, the underlying incentive structure remains problematic.
Moving forward, projects need to think beyond the airdrop itself and focus on the complete user journey:
Immediate Utility: Tokens should have concrete use cases from day one. If your token's only utility is governance or staking for more tokens, you're asking users to bet on your project's future rather than participate in its present.
Progressive Disclosure: Rather than front-loading distribution, consider mechanisms that reward continued engagement over time. Vesting schedules, loyalty rewards, and usage-based distributions align recipient incentives with project success.
Clear Value Accrual: Users should understand exactly how token value grows with project success. If this mechanism isn't obvious and immediate, you're essentially running a lottery with extra steps.
Community Beyond Speculation: Build reasons for people to participate that don't depend entirely on token price appreciation. Successful communities have shared interests, goals, and activities that transcend financial outcomes.
The current debate about airdrop selling misses the forest for the trees. Users aren't ungrateful when they sell airdropped tokens—they're responding rationally to the incentive structures projects have created. Builders aren't naive when they want recipients to hold—they're trying to create sustainable communities and value.
The solution isn't to shame sellers or create more sophisticated farming detection. It's to acknowledge that airdrops, as currently implemented, are fundamentally misaligned with the goal of building lasting, engaged communities.
Projects that want to create genuine value and community engagement need to look beyond the initial distribution mechanism. They need to build systems where holding tokens provides immediate, tangible benefits and where community participation is rewarding independent of token price performance.
The attention economy is real, and it's crucial for project success. But attention without a concrete pipeline to actual usage is just noise. If your post-airdrop strategy consists of complaining about farmers on Twitter, you've already lost.
The future belongs to projects that understand airdrops for what they actually are—expensive customer acquisition campaigns that work best when they're the beginning of a user journey, not the end goal. Build beyond that 2% conversion rate, create genuine utility, and design systems that align user incentives with project success.
Everything else is just theater.
The crypto space is having another one of its periodic identity crises, and this time it's about airdrops. The recent drama around the Loud experiment and Dan Romero's pointed question about airdrop recipients has exposed a fundamental disconnect between what builders want and what users actually do. The conversation has devolved into the usual finger-pointing: builders lamenting ungrateful "farmers" while users defend their right to do whatever they want with tokens they were promised belonged to them.
But here's the thing—both sides are missing the point entirely.
The Loud airdrop was fascinating precisely because it laid bare the mechanics of attention-based token distribution. Built as an experiment in turning social engagement into tradable assets, Loud promised to reward the "yappers"—those who generated attention and buzz on X. The results were telling:
Phase 1: 917 claimers, with 385 accounts (42%) selling everything immediately
Phase 2: 3,895 claimers, with 2,329 accounts (60%) dumping their entire allocation
Only 3% of users across both phases actually bought additional tokens. The rest? They took their profits and ran.
The builders' reaction was predictable: disappointment, frustration, and the inevitable blame directed at "snipers" and farmers. But this misses the fundamental dynamic at play. Users were promised assets that were theirs to control, and they acted exactly as rational economic actors should when faced with an asset they expect to decline in value.
Welcome to the airdrop prisoner's dilemma.
In the classic prisoner's dilemma, two prisoners are better off cooperating, but individual incentives push them toward betrayal. Airdrops create the same dynamic: everyone would be better off if recipients held their tokens, maintaining price stability and demonstrating community commitment. But individual incentives—particularly the expectation that others will sell—make immediate liquidation the rational choice.
This isn't about users being ungrateful or developers being naive. It's about misaligned incentives and the predictable behavior that emerges from them.
When Dan Romero posed his hypothetical about choosing between a user who holds airdrops versus one who sells immediately, the community's reaction revealed this disconnect perfectly. Users felt attacked for behaving rationally within the system as presented to them. Builders felt justified in wanting to reward loyalty over speculation.
Both perspectives have merit, but they're operating from fundamentally different assumptions about what airdrops are supposed to accomplish.
Airdrops have become crypto's equivalent of "Free Widget!" flyers from traditional retail or "100 free gacha spins" from mobile game ads. They work—kind of. They generate initial attention, create buzz, and can rapidly bootstrap a user base. But they also attract exactly the wrong kind of user for long-term growth.
My finger-in-the-wind analysis of traditional customer acquisition shows that 98% of users acquired through "free stuff" promotions churn immediately. The 2% who stick around can be valuable, but building a sustainable business around that conversion rate requires acknowledging what you're actually getting from these campaigns.
The crypto space seems to have collectively forgotten this basic marketing reality. Airdrops have become the default go-to for community building, despite mounting evidence that they primarily attract mercenary capital and temporary engagement.
The landscape has evolved dramatically since the early days of simple token drops. What started as a novel way to distribute tokens fairly has become a sophisticated ecosystem of farming strategies, Sybil detection, and ever-more-complex criteria.
Projects now employ advanced detection mechanisms to identify and exclude farmers. Farmers respond with more sophisticated techniques—managing hundreds of wallets, using automation tools, and studying historical airdrop patterns to optimize their strategies. Some hardcore farmers have turned this into a full-time profession, with organized communities sharing strategies and managing massive operations.
This arms race has created a Red Ocean scenario where projects spend enormous resources trying to distinguish between "genuine" users and farmers, while farmers invest equally enormous resources in gaming whatever criteria projects establish.
Meanwhile, the fundamental question remains unanswered: what happens after the airdrop?
The real issue isn't that users sell airdropped tokens—it's that projects haven't figured out what comes next. Airdrops are, at best, an initial marketing strategy. Expecting sustained growth from that burst is like expecting a grand opening sale to drive long-term customer loyalty without any follow-up strategy.
Users need to see, immediately and tangibly, how holding tokens benefits them. Holding is an investment, and investments require clear value propositions. If your token's primary utility is speculation on future utility, you shouldn't be surprised when recipients treat it exactly like that.
The most successful projects understand this dynamic. They use airdrops as the first step in a carefully designed funnel that provides immediate utility and clear incentives for continued engagement. They build systems where tokens have concrete utility from day one, where holding provides ongoing benefits, and where the community has reasons to participate beyond token appreciation.
Some projects are experimenting with alternative distribution mechanisms that attempt to address these fundamental issues. The "Yap-to-Earn" trend, pioneered by projects like Sanctum, focuses on rewarding actual community contribution rather than just financial participation.
This approach recognizes that traditional on-chain metrics—transaction volume, liquidity provision, smart contract interactions—can be gamed relatively easily. Social engagement, genuine help and education, and community building are harder to fake at scale.
But even this evolution faces the same fundamental challenge: if the end result is still tokens that recipients expect to decline in value, the underlying incentive structure remains problematic.
Moving forward, projects need to think beyond the airdrop itself and focus on the complete user journey:
Immediate Utility: Tokens should have concrete use cases from day one. If your token's only utility is governance or staking for more tokens, you're asking users to bet on your project's future rather than participate in its present.
Progressive Disclosure: Rather than front-loading distribution, consider mechanisms that reward continued engagement over time. Vesting schedules, loyalty rewards, and usage-based distributions align recipient incentives with project success.
Clear Value Accrual: Users should understand exactly how token value grows with project success. If this mechanism isn't obvious and immediate, you're essentially running a lottery with extra steps.
Community Beyond Speculation: Build reasons for people to participate that don't depend entirely on token price appreciation. Successful communities have shared interests, goals, and activities that transcend financial outcomes.
The current debate about airdrop selling misses the forest for the trees. Users aren't ungrateful when they sell airdropped tokens—they're responding rationally to the incentive structures projects have created. Builders aren't naive when they want recipients to hold—they're trying to create sustainable communities and value.
The solution isn't to shame sellers or create more sophisticated farming detection. It's to acknowledge that airdrops, as currently implemented, are fundamentally misaligned with the goal of building lasting, engaged communities.
Projects that want to create genuine value and community engagement need to look beyond the initial distribution mechanism. They need to build systems where holding tokens provides immediate, tangible benefits and where community participation is rewarding independent of token price performance.
The attention economy is real, and it's crucial for project success. But attention without a concrete pipeline to actual usage is just noise. If your post-airdrop strategy consists of complaining about farmers on Twitter, you've already lost.
The future belongs to projects that understand airdrops for what they actually are—expensive customer acquisition campaigns that work best when they're the beginning of a user journey, not the end goal. Build beyond that 2% conversion rate, create genuine utility, and design systems that align user incentives with project success.
Everything else is just theater.
Patrion
Patrion
4 comments
I've collected my thoughts on this and @dwr post last week about the "ideal" airdrop recipient. Article on Paragraph https://paragraph.com/@patrionxyz/the-airdrop-prisoners-dilemma
agree on the "A Framework for Better Token Distribution" opinion!!
Good luck
Here are my thoughts on airdrops. https://paragraph.com/@patrionxyz/the-airdrop-prisoners-dilemma