Forward Testing and Early Lessons

Over the past week, I’ve been forward testing my betting strategy, which had scored 17/21 in the historical database. In live conditions, though, it’s off to a rough start: just 2 wins out of 6, failing to match the accuracy seen during development.

The good news, though, is that after an initial 4-loss streak, the last two games bounced back with wins. I might have lost heart and abandoned the strategy entirely if not for my consultations with GPT, which helped me step back and see the bigger picture.

For now, it’s still far too early to draw conclusions. Six games don’t make a meaningful sample. The real test will be the next 50. That’s when the numbers will tell me whether this strategy holds a genuine edge—or just captured noise in the past data.

Forward Testing and Early Lessons

Over the past week, I’ve been forward testing my betting strategy, which had scored 17/21 in the historical database. In live conditions, though, it’s off to a rough start: just 2 wins out of 6, failing to match the accuracy seen during development.

The good news, though, is that after an initial 4-loss streak, the last two games bounced back with wins. I might have lost heart and abandoned the strategy entirely if not for my consultations with GPT, which helped me step back and see the bigger picture.

For now, it’s still far too early to draw conclusions. Six games don’t make a meaningful sample. The real test will be the next 50. That’s when the numbers will tell me whether this strategy holds a genuine edge—or just captured noise in the past data.