Last month we dipped our toes into prediction markets with exact-score wagers on the Champions League quarter-finals. The response was terrific but we also heard the most common request loud and clear: “Let me back a winner, not a scoreline.” So we’ve levelled up.

What’s new?

Our latest markets are discrete-outcome pools. Instead of pinning down a precise score, you simply predict which side will prevail over the two-legged semi final tie. Win the tie, win the market. Simple.

• Outcome-based: Aggregate winner across both legs

• Same underlying rails: Onit prediction protocol, Base settlement

• Low fees: 6% protocol fee (2 % to Falsenine, 4% to Onit)

Markets now live

• PSG vs Arsenal | Opens Now | Closes Kick-off, 2nd Leg - 7 May

• Barcelona vs Inter | Opens Now | Closes Kick-off, 2nd Leg - 6 May

Why outcome markets?

Football supporters argue scores all day, but the real question is “Who goes through?” Discrete outcome markets surface that collective conviction instantly, turning hot takes into hard numbers. No more cherry-picked polls or pundit strawmen, just wallets and pride on the line.

How to play

1. Open the Falsenine Mini App on Farcaster.

2. Select your tie, choose a side, and stake.

3. Track live sentiment as the money flows.

4. Celebrate or cope when the final whistle blows in leg 2.
   

   

Looking ahead

These semi-finals are just the beginning. Expect rapid-fire markets for finals, transfer sagas, and season-end awards any moment where on-chain sentiment can out-predict the pundits. We see blockchain powered prediction markets as a great way of achieving our mission to bring to bring football onchain and are excited to continue building with the Onit team.

Head to the Farcaster Mini App, back your favourites, and let’s find out who really knows the beautiful game.

Powered by Onit. Built on Base.