
Milestones Towards a Long Position
As mentioned previously, I believe crypto-specific blow-ups and forced liquidation is behind us. Yet the gm Portfolio is in cash with the thesis that crypto will go down with the rest of the public markets should the economy enter a recession and public equities suffer a bear market. Here are some things we are monitoring as milestones along a way towards taking long positions in crypto: 1. Yield curves steepen (un-invert). Currently, the US Treasury 2-year/10-year and the 3-month/10-year spr...

Fair Launches and Neutrality
Are fair launches really that equal? And, if not, how can we improve them?(Fair) Launch CodesTo add context, here’s a quick primer on the concept. These are token distribution models which are designed to favor no individual or group. There are no founders’ allocations, seed round, or ICO that provides preferential coin or token access. Yearn.Finance is a prime example. Zero $YFI was allocated to presales or ICOs, or even the founder. Early distribution was primarily shared out between the fi...

Islands
The crossover between blockchain and AI seems to inspire more derision than usual from Crypto X/Twitter. I think this is largely due to the void of implemented use cases surrounding them. There’s an air of magical thinking about combining the two technologies that has a multiplying effect on any apprehension. The overlap feels like blockchain circa 2018, when decentralization was pitched alongside every major industry as a revolutionary ace card without sound explanation or proof.The reality ...
We’re builders and thinkers on a mission to further develop the crypto ecosystem through protocol research and incubation.

Milestones Towards a Long Position
As mentioned previously, I believe crypto-specific blow-ups and forced liquidation is behind us. Yet the gm Portfolio is in cash with the thesis that crypto will go down with the rest of the public markets should the economy enter a recession and public equities suffer a bear market. Here are some things we are monitoring as milestones along a way towards taking long positions in crypto: 1. Yield curves steepen (un-invert). Currently, the US Treasury 2-year/10-year and the 3-month/10-year spr...

Fair Launches and Neutrality
Are fair launches really that equal? And, if not, how can we improve them?(Fair) Launch CodesTo add context, here’s a quick primer on the concept. These are token distribution models which are designed to favor no individual or group. There are no founders’ allocations, seed round, or ICO that provides preferential coin or token access. Yearn.Finance is a prime example. Zero $YFI was allocated to presales or ICOs, or even the founder. Early distribution was primarily shared out between the fi...

Islands
The crossover between blockchain and AI seems to inspire more derision than usual from Crypto X/Twitter. I think this is largely due to the void of implemented use cases surrounding them. There’s an air of magical thinking about combining the two technologies that has a multiplying effect on any apprehension. The overlap feels like blockchain circa 2018, when decentralization was pitched alongside every major industry as a revolutionary ace card without sound explanation or proof.The reality ...
We’re builders and thinkers on a mission to further develop the crypto ecosystem through protocol research and incubation.

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The gm Portfolio is focused on decentralized exchanges which will be the majority of its core positions. Why DEXs?
At this early stage of the DeFi arc, the products that have found the highest level of product-market fit are DEXs, perpetual swap platforms, and lending platforms. Other niches, such as options and insurance, are still very much in their infancy.
So why focus more on DEXs and not on lending platforms or perpetuals platforms? Because they have additional layers of risk that DEXs do not. Anything that involves collateral can blow up from liquidation failure like MakerDAO did in March 2020, necessitating, at the very least, rescue via token dilution. And any protocol that uses outside price discovery risks oracle failure.
If I was the founder of a lending or derivatives protocol, I wouldn’t sleep easy at night. I would toss and turn, haunted by visions of a gaggle of ineffective liquidation keepers laughing at me instead of doing their job. I bet Hayden Adams suffers no such nightmares.
The universe has demonstrated a knack for finding weak spots in DeFi protocols and bludgeoning them with a sledgehammer. Smart contract risk is hard enough to manage on its own. It’s all the more difficult to manage additional layers of risk on top.
(Note that some DEXs do have collateral and/or additional layers of risk on top: THORchain has collateralization of synthetic assets, Bancor once had impermanent loss protection, etc. In addition, this bias of favoring DEXs as core portfolio positions is simply a starting point in portfolio construction.)
The gm Portfolio is focused on decentralized exchanges which will be the majority of its core positions. Why DEXs?
At this early stage of the DeFi arc, the products that have found the highest level of product-market fit are DEXs, perpetual swap platforms, and lending platforms. Other niches, such as options and insurance, are still very much in their infancy.
So why focus more on DEXs and not on lending platforms or perpetuals platforms? Because they have additional layers of risk that DEXs do not. Anything that involves collateral can blow up from liquidation failure like MakerDAO did in March 2020, necessitating, at the very least, rescue via token dilution. And any protocol that uses outside price discovery risks oracle failure.
If I was the founder of a lending or derivatives protocol, I wouldn’t sleep easy at night. I would toss and turn, haunted by visions of a gaggle of ineffective liquidation keepers laughing at me instead of doing their job. I bet Hayden Adams suffers no such nightmares.
The universe has demonstrated a knack for finding weak spots in DeFi protocols and bludgeoning them with a sledgehammer. Smart contract risk is hard enough to manage on its own. It’s all the more difficult to manage additional layers of risk on top.
(Note that some DEXs do have collateral and/or additional layers of risk on top: THORchain has collateralization of synthetic assets, Bancor once had impermanent loss protection, etc. In addition, this bias of favoring DEXs as core portfolio positions is simply a starting point in portfolio construction.)
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