

Major Update: On October 24, 2025, Polymarket officially confirmed the launch of its POLY token and airdrop, scheduled for early 2026, following its U.S. relaunch. Meanwhile, Limitless (LMTS) launched on October 22, experiencing extreme volatility — plunging 70% from its ATH of $0.72 to $0.19, then rebounding 110% to $0.43, and now stabilizing around $0.28. Opinion Labs successfully launched its BNB Chain mainnet but has not yet issued a token (rumors of an OKX listing and 505% price surge are false).
Updated Strategy: Polymarket is now top priority (confirmed airdrop); Limitless presents elevated risk; Opinion Labs remains experimental.
Announcement Details:
On October 24, 2025, CMO Matthew Modabber officially confirmed during a Degenz Live (Rug Radio) interview:
“There will be a token, and there will be an airdrop.”
This marks the first official confirmation, ending months of speculation.
Source: CoinDesk
Timeline:
U.S. Relaunch First:
Relaunch via QCX subsidiary currently in invite-only beta.
Full U.S. rollout expected mid-to-late November 2025, post-government shutdown.
POLY Token Launch:
Expected early-to-mid 2026, once U.S. operations stabilize.
Design Philosophy:
Modabber emphasized a token with real utility, longevity, and permanence, inspired by Hyperliquid’s model to prevent short-term speculation.
Airdrop Hints:
Retroactive Rewards: Based on historical trading activity and early participation.
Anti-Farming Mechanisms: Modabber warned that Sybil detection will penalize multi-wallet “wash trading.”
Estimated Allocation: 5–10% of total supply — potentially one of the largest airdrops in crypto history.
Community Data: Among 1.35M wallets, only 1.7% traded >$50K, and 0.5% earned >$1K profit, implying a broad but tiered distribution.
Market Reaction:
Following the announcement, Polymarket’s TVL rose from $211M to $235M (+11%), and trading volume spiked 20–30%. Transaction count remained steady, likely due to weekend effects.
Source: Yahoo Finance
Launch & Volatility:
LMTS launched on October 22, 2025, via DEX and airdrop (not October 2, as some reports stated). It experienced classic post-launch volatility:
Date | Price | Change | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
Oct 22 | $0.7175 (ATH) | — | Launch & hype-driven peak |
Oct 24 | $0.1872 (ATL) | -74% | $3.8M team sell-off |
Oct 27 | $0.4293 | +110% | $166K team buyback |
Oct 28 | $0.2821 | -34% | Current price (still -62% from ATH) |
Key Metrics:
Market Cap: $98.9M (3.51B circulating / 10B total)
24H Volume: $7.67M
FDV: $282M
Top Exchanges: Base DEXs, small listings on WEEX and CoinEx
Team Controversy:
Post-launch, the team sold 5.63M LMTS (~$2.38M), triggering “rug” accusations.
Subsequent buyback at $0.34 partially restored confidence, but the 25% team allocation remains a major overhang risk.
Source: X.com
Important Clarification:
After full verification, Opinion Labs has NOT issued an OPINION token, and claims of a 505% OKX price surge are false — likely due to misinformation or name confusion.
Actual Progress:
Mainnet Launch: October 23, 2025, on BNB Chain (invite-only phase)
Rebrand: On October 14, renamed from Opinion Labs to Opinion, focusing on macroeconomic prediction markets
TVL: $37,593 (ranked 25th among 70+ prediction protocols)
Daily Volume: $169M (Oct 25 peak), 143K traders
Points Program: OPN Season 1 ongoing, minimum $200 trading requirement
Project | New Rating | Trend | Key Factors |
|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket | Top Priority | ↗️ Upgraded | Confirmed airdrop & clear 2026 launch window |
Limitless | 🔴 High Risk | ↘️ Downgraded | Token live, high volatility, team sell-off |
Opinion Labs | Cautious | → Unchanged | Stable mainnet, token unconfirmed |
1. Polymarket (Now Top Priority):
Start Farming Now: Retroactive airdrop eligibility still open.
Recommended Activity: $10K–$50K monthly trading volume per wallet.
Best Practices: Avoid repetitive or artificial trades; engage in high-liquidity, non-controversial markets.
Time Window: Until early 2026 for optimal track record building.
Expected Reward: Potentially several thousand USD or more, based on historical activity benchmarks.
2. Limitless (Risk Warning):
Current Situation: Token launched, airdrop completed — no further incentive upside.
Holding Advice: If holding LMTS, consider partial exit on rebounds.
Risks: 25% team allocation, thin liquidity, absence of major CEX listings.
Conclusion: No new entry recommended; best phase likely over.
3. Opinion Labs (Cautious Opportunity):
Status: Stable operations, daily volume $10–50M range.
Farming: OPN Season 1 active; low barrier ($200).
Outlook: Token launch probable Q4 2025–Q1 2026 (backed by YZi Labs).
Recommendation: Small-scale test position ($500–$2,000).
Conservative Portfolio ($10K budget):
70% → Polymarket ($7,000)
20% → Opinion Labs ($2,000)
10% → Reserve ($1,000)
Aggressive Portfolio ($10K budget):
60% → Polymarket ($6,000)
30% → Opinion Labs ($3,000)
10% → Other Opportunities (e.g., Myriad, etc.) ($1,000)
Post-confirmation, on-chain data reflects strong traction:
TVL Growth: $162M → $213M (+31% in 30 days)
Daily Transactions: 8,413 (post-announcement) vs. 8,984 (pre-announcement) — minor drop due to weekend lull
Peak Day (Oct 27): 15,046 trades from 2,998 active wallets
New Wallets Added: +20,338 in 5 days post-confirmation
Metric | Polymarket | Limitless | Opinion Labs |
|---|---|---|---|
TVL | $213M | $665K | $37K |
Token Status | Confirmed (2026) | Live (LMTS) | Not Confirmed |
Market Share | 90%+ | 2–3% | <1% |
User Base | 5M+ | 100K+ | 1.6M (testnet) |
Investment Certainty | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | ⭐⭐ |
The official POLY token confirmation has fundamentally reshaped the prediction market landscape. As the dominant market leader (90%+ share) with strong institutional backing, Polymarket’s 2026 token launch offers a clear, high-confidence window for strategic accumulation.
In contrast, Limitless has already peaked post-launch, facing team sell-off risk and shrinking momentum, while Opinion Labs remains an interesting but uncertain play.
Key Takeaways:
Start farming Polymarket immediately — confirmed airdrop, large-scale opportunity, long runway.
Avoid chasing Limitless — token already live, risk > reward.
Cautiously explore Opinion Labs — promising concept, but unverified token path.
With weekly trading volumes surpassing $20B and ICE’s $2B investment, prediction markets are entering a mainstream financialization phase. Polymarket’s forthcoming token release will likely be one of the most significant DeFi events of 2026.
Investors now have an 18-month golden window to build eligibility and position themselves early in this emerging on-chain asset class.
Major Update: On October 24, 2025, Polymarket officially confirmed the launch of its POLY token and airdrop, scheduled for early 2026, following its U.S. relaunch. Meanwhile, Limitless (LMTS) launched on October 22, experiencing extreme volatility — plunging 70% from its ATH of $0.72 to $0.19, then rebounding 110% to $0.43, and now stabilizing around $0.28. Opinion Labs successfully launched its BNB Chain mainnet but has not yet issued a token (rumors of an OKX listing and 505% price surge are false).
Updated Strategy: Polymarket is now top priority (confirmed airdrop); Limitless presents elevated risk; Opinion Labs remains experimental.
Announcement Details:
On October 24, 2025, CMO Matthew Modabber officially confirmed during a Degenz Live (Rug Radio) interview:
“There will be a token, and there will be an airdrop.”
This marks the first official confirmation, ending months of speculation.
Source: CoinDesk
Timeline:
U.S. Relaunch First:
Relaunch via QCX subsidiary currently in invite-only beta.
Full U.S. rollout expected mid-to-late November 2025, post-government shutdown.
POLY Token Launch:
Expected early-to-mid 2026, once U.S. operations stabilize.
Design Philosophy:
Modabber emphasized a token with real utility, longevity, and permanence, inspired by Hyperliquid’s model to prevent short-term speculation.
Airdrop Hints:
Retroactive Rewards: Based on historical trading activity and early participation.
Anti-Farming Mechanisms: Modabber warned that Sybil detection will penalize multi-wallet “wash trading.”
Estimated Allocation: 5–10% of total supply — potentially one of the largest airdrops in crypto history.
Community Data: Among 1.35M wallets, only 1.7% traded >$50K, and 0.5% earned >$1K profit, implying a broad but tiered distribution.
Market Reaction:
Following the announcement, Polymarket’s TVL rose from $211M to $235M (+11%), and trading volume spiked 20–30%. Transaction count remained steady, likely due to weekend effects.
Source: Yahoo Finance
Launch & Volatility:
LMTS launched on October 22, 2025, via DEX and airdrop (not October 2, as some reports stated). It experienced classic post-launch volatility:
Date | Price | Change | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
Oct 22 | $0.7175 (ATH) | — | Launch & hype-driven peak |
Oct 24 | $0.1872 (ATL) | -74% | $3.8M team sell-off |
Oct 27 | $0.4293 | +110% | $166K team buyback |
Oct 28 | $0.2821 | -34% | Current price (still -62% from ATH) |
Key Metrics:
Market Cap: $98.9M (3.51B circulating / 10B total)
24H Volume: $7.67M
FDV: $282M
Top Exchanges: Base DEXs, small listings on WEEX and CoinEx
Team Controversy:
Post-launch, the team sold 5.63M LMTS (~$2.38M), triggering “rug” accusations.
Subsequent buyback at $0.34 partially restored confidence, but the 25% team allocation remains a major overhang risk.
Source: X.com
Important Clarification:
After full verification, Opinion Labs has NOT issued an OPINION token, and claims of a 505% OKX price surge are false — likely due to misinformation or name confusion.
Actual Progress:
Mainnet Launch: October 23, 2025, on BNB Chain (invite-only phase)
Rebrand: On October 14, renamed from Opinion Labs to Opinion, focusing on macroeconomic prediction markets
TVL: $37,593 (ranked 25th among 70+ prediction protocols)
Daily Volume: $169M (Oct 25 peak), 143K traders
Points Program: OPN Season 1 ongoing, minimum $200 trading requirement
Project | New Rating | Trend | Key Factors |
|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket | Top Priority | ↗️ Upgraded | Confirmed airdrop & clear 2026 launch window |
Limitless | 🔴 High Risk | ↘️ Downgraded | Token live, high volatility, team sell-off |
Opinion Labs | Cautious | → Unchanged | Stable mainnet, token unconfirmed |
1. Polymarket (Now Top Priority):
Start Farming Now: Retroactive airdrop eligibility still open.
Recommended Activity: $10K–$50K monthly trading volume per wallet.
Best Practices: Avoid repetitive or artificial trades; engage in high-liquidity, non-controversial markets.
Time Window: Until early 2026 for optimal track record building.
Expected Reward: Potentially several thousand USD or more, based on historical activity benchmarks.
2. Limitless (Risk Warning):
Current Situation: Token launched, airdrop completed — no further incentive upside.
Holding Advice: If holding LMTS, consider partial exit on rebounds.
Risks: 25% team allocation, thin liquidity, absence of major CEX listings.
Conclusion: No new entry recommended; best phase likely over.
3. Opinion Labs (Cautious Opportunity):
Status: Stable operations, daily volume $10–50M range.
Farming: OPN Season 1 active; low barrier ($200).
Outlook: Token launch probable Q4 2025–Q1 2026 (backed by YZi Labs).
Recommendation: Small-scale test position ($500–$2,000).
Conservative Portfolio ($10K budget):
70% → Polymarket ($7,000)
20% → Opinion Labs ($2,000)
10% → Reserve ($1,000)
Aggressive Portfolio ($10K budget):
60% → Polymarket ($6,000)
30% → Opinion Labs ($3,000)
10% → Other Opportunities (e.g., Myriad, etc.) ($1,000)
Post-confirmation, on-chain data reflects strong traction:
TVL Growth: $162M → $213M (+31% in 30 days)
Daily Transactions: 8,413 (post-announcement) vs. 8,984 (pre-announcement) — minor drop due to weekend lull
Peak Day (Oct 27): 15,046 trades from 2,998 active wallets
New Wallets Added: +20,338 in 5 days post-confirmation
Metric | Polymarket | Limitless | Opinion Labs |
|---|---|---|---|
TVL | $213M | $665K | $37K |
Token Status | Confirmed (2026) | Live (LMTS) | Not Confirmed |
Market Share | 90%+ | 2–3% | <1% |
User Base | 5M+ | 100K+ | 1.6M (testnet) |
Investment Certainty | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | ⭐⭐ |
The official POLY token confirmation has fundamentally reshaped the prediction market landscape. As the dominant market leader (90%+ share) with strong institutional backing, Polymarket’s 2026 token launch offers a clear, high-confidence window for strategic accumulation.
In contrast, Limitless has already peaked post-launch, facing team sell-off risk and shrinking momentum, while Opinion Labs remains an interesting but uncertain play.
Key Takeaways:
Start farming Polymarket immediately — confirmed airdrop, large-scale opportunity, long runway.
Avoid chasing Limitless — token already live, risk > reward.
Cautiously explore Opinion Labs — promising concept, but unverified token path.
With weekly trading volumes surpassing $20B and ICE’s $2B investment, prediction markets are entering a mainstream financialization phase. Polymarket’s forthcoming token release will likely be one of the most significant DeFi events of 2026.
Investors now have an 18-month golden window to build eligibility and position themselves early in this emerging on-chain asset class.
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