The whale added to his ETH shorts at $3,535 and $3,410. His initial entry at $3,846 has performed extremely well, with ETH now dipping to $3,533, though his add-ons haven’t yet shown the same strength. Position sizes at each entry: 3M@3846, 6M@3535, and 2M @3410 Given his firm bearish stance, I offloaded 25% of my holdings over the past two nights. My USD reserve now stands at 66%, leaving me well-positioned to weather any black swan events and scoop up coins at discounted prices. If the mark...

The whale added to his ETH shorts at $3,535 and $3,410. His initial entry at $3,846 has performed extremely well, with ETH now dipping to $3,533, though his add-ons haven’t yet shown the same strength. Position sizes at each entry: 3M@3846, 6M@3535, and 2M @3410 Given his firm bearish stance, I offloaded 25% of my holdings over the past two nights. My USD reserve now stands at 66%, leaving me well-positioned to weather any black swan events and scoop up coins at discounted prices. If the mark...

Today marked a milestone in my crypto journey. As I closed an ETH short position I built earlier this week, I successfully locked in profits. The trade was executed using my copytrade strategy, and this time both the entry and the exit played out exactly as planned. To put it simply, the approach is built on tracking a particular smart whale whose strength lies in timing local tops. The insight behind this system is simple: his entries are consistently sharp, but his exits are often less prec...

Today marked a milestone in my crypto journey. As I closed an ETH short position I built earlier this week, I successfully locked in profits. The trade was executed using my copytrade strategy, and this time both the entry and the exit played out exactly as planned. To put it simply, the approach is built on tracking a particular smart whale whose strength lies in timing local tops. The insight behind this system is simple: his entries are consistently sharp, but his exits are often less prec...

Hestia was another gem I held but sold off too early at a loss. Since its January launch, the price action has been consistently bullish, climbing from $0.9 to $1.8 in just half a year—doubling in a market where most alts have been bleeding out. There still seems to be plenty of upside, supported by strong hands from key KOLs and a novel built-in deflation mechanism. I’ll be watching for a chance to buy the dip if ETH sees a significant pullback. What’s impressive is how underhyped it’s been ...

Hestia was another gem I held but sold off too early at a loss. Since its January launch, the price action has been consistently bullish, climbing from $0.9 to $1.8 in just half a year—doubling in a market where most alts have been bleeding out. There still seems to be plenty of upside, supported by strong hands from key KOLs and a novel built-in deflation mechanism. I’ll be watching for a chance to buy the dip if ETH sees a significant pullback. What’s impressive is how underhyped it’s been ...

Forward Testing and Early Lessons Over the past week, I’ve been forward testing my betting strategy, which had scored 17/21 in the historical database. In live conditions, though, it’s off to a rough start: just 2 wins out of 6, failing to match the accuracy seen during development. The good news, though, is that after an initial 4-loss streak, the last two games bounced back with wins. I might have lost heart and abandoned the strategy entirely if not for my consultations with GPT, which hel...

Forward Testing and Early Lessons Over the past week, I’ve been forward testing my betting strategy, which had scored 17/21 in the historical database. In live conditions, though, it’s off to a rough start: just 2 wins out of 6, failing to match the accuracy seen during development. The good news, though, is that after an initial 4-loss streak, the last two games bounced back with wins. I might have lost heart and abandoned the strategy entirely if not for my consultations with GPT, which hel...

🇫🇮 Veikkausliiga | Mariehamn vs Haka Mariehamn has been strong at home, but that was mostly due to their terrible pitch, which visiting teams have complained about. The league stepped in and demanded the turf be replaced — or the team would lose home status. So on July 12, Mariehamn installed new grass. That "home edge" is now gone. Plus, they’re dealing with several injuries. Haka, on the other hand, just reinforced their wings. The line moved to Haka -0.5, which, given recent form and hea...

🇫🇮 Veikkausliiga | Mariehamn vs Haka Mariehamn has been strong at home, but that was mostly due to their terrible pitch, which visiting teams have complained about. The league stepped in and demanded the turf be replaced — or the team would lose home status. So on July 12, Mariehamn installed new grass. That "home edge" is now gone. Plus, they’re dealing with several injuries. Haka, on the other hand, just reinforced their wings. The line moved to Haka -0.5, which, given recent form and hea...

Quitting my PhD was not an impulsive decision. It was a slow realization that continuing down this path would cost me far more than it could ever give back. When I first enrolled, part of my motivation was to accompany my wife during her studies in Thailand. But as months passed, what began as a shared journey turned into a struggle with my environment, my identity, and my sense of purpose.The Weight of Mental InsecurityLiving in Thailand exposed me to a deep sense of mental insecurity. The e...

Quitting my PhD was not an impulsive decision. It was a slow realization that continuing down this path would cost me far more than it could ever give back. When I first enrolled, part of my motivation was to accompany my wife during her studies in Thailand. But as months passed, what began as a shared journey turned into a struggle with my environment, my identity, and my sense of purpose.The Weight of Mental InsecurityLiving in Thailand exposed me to a deep sense of mental insecurity. The e...

Last month, I applied for two crypto-friendly Visa ATM cards. One has already arrived, and the other is expected next week. The application process, however, wasn’t without hiccups. Neither card supported China KYC, so I had to ask my dad to mail me my Thai driver’s license as an alternative. On top of that, one of the issuers wouldn’t ship directly to China, forcing me to route the card through a third-party warehouse in Hong Kong. To navigate these seemingly minor technical hurdles—KYC work...

Last month, I applied for two crypto-friendly Visa ATM cards. One has already arrived, and the other is expected next week. The application process, however, wasn’t without hiccups. Neither card supported China KYC, so I had to ask my dad to mail me my Thai driver’s license as an alternative. On top of that, one of the issuers wouldn’t ship directly to China, forcing me to route the card through a third-party warehouse in Hong Kong. To navigate these seemingly minor technical hurdles—KYC work...

Doing House Chores Like a Thai While washing dishes after lunch this afternoon, I had an epiphany: I should be doing house chores like a Thai. Here’s what I mean. In my experience, Thai people carry a “sabai sabai” mindset—a kind of easy-going, go-with-the-flow approach to life. It can sometimes breed a lack of professional accountability, but it also gives them a rare serenity and autonomy when facing whatever life throws their way. During my stay in Bangkok, I often hired local housewives t...

Doing House Chores Like a Thai While washing dishes after lunch this afternoon, I had an epiphany: I should be doing house chores like a Thai. Here’s what I mean. In my experience, Thai people carry a “sabai sabai” mindset—a kind of easy-going, go-with-the-flow approach to life. It can sometimes breed a lack of professional accountability, but it also gives them a rare serenity and autonomy when facing whatever life throws their way. During my stay in Bangkok, I often hired local housewives t...

Last night, two games caught my eye. After watching some KOLs talk about them, I had a strong feeling the favorite teams would cover the handicap. Both did. And yet, I didn’t place a single bet. Not because I was asleep or distracted, but because those two games didn’t fit into my strategy. My system has a clearly defined set of criteria. These games were outside of it, and I chose to let them go. It stung for a moment. The human brain hates seeing “missed profits.” But that feeling was also ...

Last night, two games caught my eye. After watching some KOLs talk about them, I had a strong feeling the favorite teams would cover the handicap. Both did. And yet, I didn’t place a single bet. Not because I was asleep or distracted, but because those two games didn’t fit into my strategy. My system has a clearly defined set of criteria. These games were outside of it, and I chose to let them go. It stung for a moment. The human brain hates seeing “missed profits.” But that feeling was also ...

Investment as an Exam of Optional QuestionsInvesting—whether in crypto or sports—is like sitting for an exam where every question is optional. You can leave the entire paper blank and still outperform 90% of your peers. Buffett’s first principle, “Don’t lose your principal,” underscores this: focus on the sweet spot and the margin of safety. Sun Tzu’s Art of War echoes the same truth:“The victorious establish their victory first, then seek battle; the defeated fight first and then seek victor...

Investment as an Exam of Optional QuestionsInvesting—whether in crypto or sports—is like sitting for an exam where every question is optional. You can leave the entire paper blank and still outperform 90% of your peers. Buffett’s first principle, “Don’t lose your principal,” underscores this: focus on the sweet spot and the margin of safety. Sun Tzu’s Art of War echoes the same truth:“The victorious establish their victory first, then seek battle; the defeated fight first and then seek victor...